Everything posted by bmags
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2016 Democratic Thread
QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Feb 2, 2016 -> 09:48 AM) I think what Bernie supporters are hoping for is what happened in 2008. Going into the Iowa caucuses, Obama wasn't necessarily seen as a "serious" candidate, and Hillary had the votes "locked up" in many states, including the black vote. Once Obama made a couple of strong showings, though, things started to really shift in his favor. It also helped that Clinton's campaign apparently didn't understand how delegates were actually awarded. But Obama won Iowa by 8 points in 2008 and Clinton finished 3rd. Bernie's going to crush it in NH, but I think Clinton has this locked up by Super Tuesday. Your point about choosing the nominee heavily on states the party won't even win in the general is another mark against the Electoral College in my opinion. If we had a national popular vote, those Democratic votes in South Carolina and the Republican votes in Illinois would still matter. I mean, I guess I like that it gets some attention to local democratic party politics in those states to be a part of the events, but that's it. 2008 theoretically should have been a great jumping off point for local dem races but man did that not happen.
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Sox should trade for Andre Ethier
Sorry - forgot about 5/10. That is bit of incentive they may need. Yeah, I just don't know what to think here. Everything about it screams bad idea, but I think he could be one of those players that is very productive late in career as a DH. Also just think he'd be badass in a sox uniform.
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2015-2016 NBA Thread
QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Feb 2, 2016 -> 09:51 AM) Yeah, I don't think the Mayor is anywhere near Trestman level. Gar really set his "friend" up for failure. It is crazy Dunleavy is now suddenly Michael Jeffrey Dunleavy, savior, to many Bulls fans. He's 35 with a bad back. I will say the Bulls team last year had some really bad runs when Dunleavy was out of lineup, much stronger with him in it. He is one of the few players who plays within the flow of an offense. He always makes decisions quickly and keeps things moving. Love him as a player.
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2015-2016 NBA Thread
One thing that seems to be much different to me: -Under Hoiberg, when players have lost confidence, it seems like they are encouraged to go out and try and shoot more and create to get out of the slump. Play more individual. -Under Thibs, if you lost it, you earned your PT by focusing on the little things, playing d and rebounding and playing within your role, to then get time to shoot out of it. I think that plays a part of it. There's a "I need to shoot out of my struggles" we see more on this team, like Jimmy doing stepbacks galore yesterday.
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2015-2016 NBA Thread
QUOTE (Y2JImmy0 @ Feb 2, 2016 -> 09:28 AM) They don't even run his system though. It's all iso's and guys taking turns getting theirs. So you are telling me players that ran the most strict, structured system for defense and offense under last years coach are suddenly now refusing to run the coaches system, but its not an indictment of the coach.
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Sox should trade for Andre Ethier
This is a hard one to hypothesize on, not knowing how little we give up at full value vs if they eat some cost and expect a better prospect. I also don't feel like the dodgers feel at all like they need to "give away" ethier for cash.
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**2016 TV Watercooler Thread**
Yeah I'm actually excited for American Crime Story. I'm hearing great stuff.
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2015-2016 NBA Thread
Man I loved listening to Thibs on Simmons podcast. Biggest problem of Hoiberg for me is he has a "system" and is not out there minimizing his teams weaknesses well. He basically puts the weaknesses full on display.
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2016 Democratic Thread
Also, I have to say I'm almost disappointed Trump lost. I really don't see Cruz as any more "serious" and it's not like he hasn't peddled the same anti-immigration, anti-muslim nonsense trump has. At least with trump there was a feeling that he may actually make moderate dealings.
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2016 Democratic Thread
Just because something is obscure doesn't make it good, it just makes it novel. The caucuses are ridiculous which is why we of course give them so much prominence. I honestly don't buy that last night was good for Sanders. In 2008 Obama didn't just narrowly beat Hillary, she showed in 3rd place and Obama led the field by 8 points, when she was already polling behind in NH and tight in SC. Hillary now gets the "she won iowa" buzz even if delegate wise its a wash. Hillary's campaign is much better now. I mean, looking back its amazing how inept her campaign was which was a big reason it snowballed. They didn't know primaries weren't winner take all. They had lanny davis and Terry Mccullough on tv every day saying something dumb. She's much more disciplined now.
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A(not so?) Radical Idea: Employment as a right instead of a privilege
No, the important part of what Finland is doing is there is not often state run experimentation for UBI and the results will be very important which is why I mentioned it.
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Orioles DO NOT Sign Fowler
So, just to be clear, your contention is that if you took the best deal for Soler and Garcia they would be equal value... Soler will not get Q, but the difference between Q and DFA'ing avi garcia is a huge gap.
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Orioles DO NOT Sign Fowler
QUOTE (Baron @ Feb 1, 2016 -> 04:47 PM) Exactly and so far Soler is actually worse on defense And yet I'd love to see the return if Soler was traded vs. Garcia. It is not a question who is more valuable at this point, and all he cost was a relatively small sum.
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Orioles DO NOT Sign Fowler
QUOTE (Quinarvy @ Feb 1, 2016 -> 04:45 PM) Wait. Are you mad about Abreu over Soler? No, I'm saying I don't remember if ponying up for Soler would mean we could not have signed Abreu. In isolation, I'm mad we could not get Soler as it is a relatively cheap price to get you a lot of value.
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Orioles DO NOT Sign Fowler
Kills me we couldn't sign Soler (I don't know this counterfactual and whether it influenced us getting Abreu). We were just bidding $70 mill plus for aging talent when the potential, cheap bat of Soler will allow a great package of return or he develops.
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A(not so?) Radical Idea: Employment as a right instead of a privilege
QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Feb 1, 2016 -> 08:24 AM) An alternative to guaranteed employment would be a Universal Basic Income. It's an idea that's been around for a long time, has support from somewhat of a wide ideological range, and has been implemented in one form or another in multiple places. Alaska's Permanent Fund is sort of like a basic income, as is the Earned Income Tax Credit (and negative income taxes in general). Canada conducted a UBI experiment in the 70's. The results were positive, but it was limited to a single city for a short period. Democracy in the workplace is related but a separate concept. The John Lewis Partnership in the UK is an employee-owned-and-controlled company, unions can give some form of workplace democracy, etc. Re: first paragraph, Denmark is doing a state level experiment on UBI. I prefer that to guaranteed full employment which just seems like an expensive and inefficient nightmare.
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2016 Catch All Thread
question: My stepmom's father is moving to hospice care, I'm looking to send some package or something nice to the house. Are flowers applicable here? Any advice appreciated. Wife is in London and want to get something over.
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Bird out for '16 season
That sucks. Would be a shame if this derails his career.
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2016 Recruiting Thread
Mizzou finally has a press release about not terrible things: Alabama grad transfer Chris Black coming to Mizzou.. Mizzou is really thin on developed WR. he's not a game changer but our class last year was essentially a bunch of 3 star frosh and soph that needed time for bodies to develop. This is a nice depth get. Now they also really need a QB as they only have 2 on their roster. Which is annoying because you may need to burn a frosh's redshirt.
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Orioles DO NOT Sign Fowler
I forgot about Sands. What are we thinking then? - Sanchez - Avila/navarro (whoever doesn't start - Shuck - Sands - ...L Garcia?
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2016 Democratic Thread
Thanks, very necessary correction. I'm sure many were confused.
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Sox should trade for Andre Ethier
I'd be fine with Ethier. Means Melky would likely stay in left for 2 full years, though. I'd imagine we'd move Ethier to DH after LaRoche.
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2016 Democratic Thread
So we have been following a race for 9 months and today is only the first freaking primary.
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Here's a very good solution for dh/bench
QUOTE (soxfan2014 @ Jan 30, 2016 -> 07:14 AM) I don't think he's the odd man out in LA. I think they end up moving Guerrero this spring. I don't think LA has a concept of odd man out. I think they'll just hoard everyone.
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Hahn denies "3 year limit" on offers
I just don't agree with the" couldn't have done anything! Gordon/Cespy wanted to stay mets!" as if they signed some 3 year 36 million dollar deal. Does anyone feel they were underpaid? They took the contract that set them up best, or in Gordons case, they likely took a close enough to stay home.