bmags

I don’t know that I said that but that article doesn’t dispute that anyway.

well there is cause of and underlying cause of death, and quite a few steps. Ultimately we are talking about marginal cases and I don't know how much it really informs us anyway.

certainly still in fingers crossed mode but even yesterdays case count was just 13 or so percent. But we were stuck above 20% for weeks, then 15% after the testing jump. First real decline I feel.

It was just 10% on Monday.

Great news today. Tests: 17668 Cases: 1,677 %Pos: 9.5% 5 day avg: 12% positive, 2200 cases/day, 18k tests/day

If "Teams always need catching" you'd think catchers would go for a lot more than they do in FA.

Yeah that ain’t it.

Have you tried putting shaving cream on the classes and wiping em off? It’s not crystal clear but it’s better it does prevent a good amount of fogging

And centralized quarantine!

Daily new cases were headed slightly downward but this 4k number puts it upward.

Whew well things definitely got dumped as @StrangeSox said. 29,200 (!) tests reported in Illinois today 4000 cases confirmed 13.5% positive rate So more of that slow trudging downward trend in % pos. If you take the 5 day average it's 13%. Going down sl-o-o-o-wly

Greg you should definitely go riot right now.

Owning a house is as good an analogy to being a baseball owner as comparing it to businesses.

They own a franchise in a league association with incredible barriers to any competition (a legal monopoly!). There are markets in everything, there is business in baseball. But applying somebody starting an IT consulting business to buying a baseball franchise where you have legal right to prevent any other baseball team competition from operating for local dollars is silly.

That's a meaningless statement.

ha

Now do baseball.

Yes I do think there has been a poor attempt to solve clear problem areas while everyone has been sheltered down. There have been so many pressing needs though, first and foremost the month long fight just to get appropriate amounts of PPE, then appropriate levels of testing. They are just now getting to next protocols and now the logistics of nursing homes specifically are enormous. But ideally you at least get rapid tests to these facilities with enough supplies to do the testing you describe. But there still needs to be a backup for when the virus gets in and then there's a lot of difficult contingencies. Those places are built with the model of care being affordable through it being in a concentrated area, you separate that and you will need to find more nurses and help. It's tough.

They are a pretty massive population. Ideally you spread them out, pop-up some long term care facilities a la the pop-up ICUs they've done. But they made 3k ICU beds in chicago...and there are 100k people living in long-term assisted care facilities in IL. I do think it gets to testing. These are people that aren't mobile, so if you are short tests already you likely don't have anywhere near what's needed to just go to every one or ship portable test units and get accurate readings. It's a tough problem. When some "at home" test units are available it may be better to help identify problem areas earlier and possibly find places where they can move sick patients to while not infecting healthy ones.

I don't think global trends are that helpful in predicting IL. I watch that site daily and thur/friday being bigger testing report days and sundays being undercounted death days are about the only pattern. If tuesday was catch-up day in IL, you would see a bigger difference between Mondays and Tuesdays than you see below: Monday Reports IL May 11th - T: 12441 C 1266 %POS - 10% May 4th - T:13834 C 2341 %POS - 17% April 27th - T: 12676 C 1980 %POS - 16% April 20th - T: 5040 C 1151 %POS - 23% April 13th - T: 5033 C 1173 %POS - 23% April 6th - T: 3959 C 1006 %POS - 25% Tuesday Reports IL 5/12 - ??? 5/5 - T 13139 C 2122 %POS - 16% 4/28 - T 14561 C 2219 %POS - 15% 4/21 - T 6639 C 1551 %POS - 23% 4/14 - T 4848 C 1222 %POS - 25% 4/7 - T 5790 C 1287 %POS - 22%

So this is pretty good: https://www.dph.illinois.gov/covid19/testing-guidance Testing is also available for those with or without symptoms who: Work in a health care facility Work in correctional facilities, such as jails or prisons Serve as first responders, such as paramedics, emergency medical technicians, law enforcement officers or firefighters Support critical infrastructure, such as workers in grocery stores, pharmacies, restaurants, gas stations, public utilities, factories, childcare and sanitation

Sounds right, I wonder if the drive-thru centers are more liberal with appointments. I also know some immediate care places like the one downtown on michigan ave have testing, for places like that maybe it's whomever schedules an appt.

Sheer volume says it should be more open than that but a lot of testing centers by me that have been written about in papers say that you need symptoms.

Depends on the activities, housing, etc.

definitely for deaths, but I haven't seen it be much different in regard to %positive or cases though end of weeks definitely tend to see our biggest test #s.