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bmags

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Everything posted by bmags

  1. Please let this continue https://www.statnews.com/2020/04/16/early-peek-at-data-on-gilead-coronavirus-drug-suggests-patients-are-responding-to-treatment/
  2. And in singapore it's their guest worker dormitories causing much of the recent outbreak. These close quarters like these are just spreading like wildfire.
  3. 125 dead in a 24 hour period in Illinois, first day over 100. 1100 new cases, again, if you average out the last few days we are basically just flat. I missed some of it, but Pritzker seemed to outline that some changes should allow a jump in testing next few days. edit, have grown closer to 6k per day. 10 k is still the goal.
  4. I'd also say that every year there has been a guy that the sox have been rumored to be all over and then they don't draft that guy. This year may be especially opaque given new head of draft plus insane circumstances. All of my favorites seemed to be locks for top 7 now so I have no idea. I think only college pitcher not especially into is Burns and BA had him way down so not that concerned anymore. It has felt like mlodzinski has the type of profile that sox like in pro pitchers, but who knows what they think with his shorter track record. Last thought, I know sox haven't been rumored around Abel at all but I still think it's possible just with their selection of dalquist, prior to that seemed like preps had to be in chicagoland area to get any notice from sox.
  5. I agree with you, but I will trust the scouts here. Sox have not been attracted to that prototype before so that they are here obviously could be related to Shirley but also could reflect their belief that Kelley is different (which hopefully they are right on but it's a dangerous game).
  6. It's definitely a relief that Chicago avoided capacity issues at hospitals, but it's a bit disappointing now how slow the curve has been to actually dip. It seems impossible to keep the R0 beneath 1 with our self quarantining sending people to homes with multiple people.
  7. I don't think many restaurants / bars will be able to run at 50% capacity. Still going to need a lot of grant money/subsidies.
  8. It definitely matters what US citizens believe about their governments decisions.
  9. The thing is, there is very little leverage. Higher ratings may not even turn into increased revenue because advertising sales have fallen off a cliff. https://www.broadcastingcable.com/news/virus-cuts-linear-tv-ad-revenues-by-27-iab No team or owner is going to thrive in this. They will do what they can to keep the league afloat including supporting teams with sharing.
  10. I'm assuming this from vanity fair: " __ I just have a couple of more lifestyle questions, then I’ll let you go. People are still holding out hope for some kind of abbreviated baseball season this summer, college football will start in late August. NFL right after that. Do you think those sports seasons are in jeopardy? Are we going to have college football this fall?__ You know, to be honest with you, Peter, I don’t know. I really don’t. And it’s sort of along the same line as the question you asked about the schools. It’s really going to depend on what actually evolves over the next couple of months. You know, regarding sports, I believe, and I think this is going to be implemented by the initiation and the initiative of the people who own these clubs. If you could get on television, Major League Baseball, to start July 4. Let’s say, nobody comes to the stadium. You just, you do it. I mean people say, “Well you can’t play without spectators.” Well, I think you’d probably get enough buy-in from people who are dying to see a baseball game. Particularly me. I’m living in Washington. We have the World Champion Washington Nationals. You know, I want to see them play again. But there’s a way of doing that because there have been some proposals both at the level of the NFL, Major League Baseball, National Hockey League, to get these people tested, and to put them in big hotels, you know, wherever you want to play. Keep them very well surveilled, namely a surveillance, but have them tested, like every week. By a gazillion tests. And make sure they don’t wind up infecting each other or their family. And just let them play the season out. I mean, that’s a really artificial way to do it, but when you think about it, it might be better than nothing. Yeah, the TV ratings would be through the roof. Oh, for sure." https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2020/04/anthony-fauci-on-new-rules-of-living-with-coronavirus
  11. The league is going to make sure the league is taken care of. There will certainly be revenue sharing, but baseball will certainly get more requests for national games than is typical, and hopefully real advertising revenue would show up on networks for that. The financial stuff to overcome doesn't seem like much of a hurtle because there isn't much alternative. It is what it is now, the keeping players and employees healthy is much more difficult than the revenue splits.
  12. flat, 1222 new cases, more than the 1075 yesterday. Curve has been very slow to bend here. Tests? still at 5k ?
  13. 5 minutes away from a very important day for illinois numbers. We have seen a drop 2 days in a row. But 3 days makes it much likelier to be a trend.
  14. We'll never know, but it is notable for how much nyk kept cleaning house that each new group kept him around and promoted him before he finally left for greener pastures.
  15. I think Hughes is a good pick. He was credited with drafting a lot of the knicks successes, and then the clips around the time they hired him were among the best functioning orgs in the game, so clearly he was well respected.
  16. I think they had an issue in their model of symmetry to when cases went down deaths did in same fashion, rather than cases as leading indicator. Maybe they fixed it.
  17. I would like to know this, some stat that's the equivelant to "tests performed/tests ordered". Because of early rationing, it's possible that the higher pos rate is in fact just the reality of fewer people with parallel sickness (seasonal flu, colds) as seasons change/hand washing takes over, so the only people with symptoms are getting tested are more likely to be covid positive. However, I'm thinking this would be a good sign to see if our testing and tracking pushes past its initial limitations. They have been passive, but for Illinois to get to 10k a day, you'd be testing people that came into contact with positive results.
  18. If you are an aspiring GM though that has to seem like a pretty big advertisement for the job!
  19. I don't know, Gar getting slapped down is pretty good. I don't know if you read Cowley last week. Was the typical bulls airing of the laundry, but I guess when the bulls honored Luol Deng last nov a bunch of former bulls were at the game and Forman was "aloof" toward them, angering the players. Word got back to reinsdorf and apparently that was the moment big reinsdorf removed Gar's protection.
  20. still at 5k tests/day (had a weird 8k jump yesterday).
  21. Illinois has now seen new cases drop 2 days in a row.
  22. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/projecting-the-cactus-grapefruit-league-standings/ This has the sox actually benefitting from the switch.
  23. The bulls are graduating from being a mom and pop shop to an organization. There are a lot of advantages there, and I do think their limited bandwidth hurt them in trade market. Now let's hope it's a well run organization, but I'm feeling very positive. It is as close to a clean house as you can get considering the multiple asst. gms coming in.
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