Balta1701

QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jun 7, 2011 -> 02:25 PM) Scott Snodgrass LHP Stanford 6'5" Wrong thread.

QUOTE (JoeCoolMan24 @ Jun 7, 2011 -> 02:12 PM) No, I'm not. "Until he becomes a starter" he's not a good pick. The point I'm trying to make is that there's a choice here, and it can be a good pick for the team even if he never starts because the team itself chose to put him in the reliever role.

QUOTE (JoeCoolMan24 @ Jun 7, 2011 -> 02:09 PM) Nevermind, we are clearly missing eachothers points. No, I get yours, you're telling me that a guy who is drafted at #13 who becomes a major league reliever is a failure of a draft pick. I'm disagreeing with that.

I'm sure it won't go anywhere, but Dick Durbin (D-IL) has a bill proposal coming forward today that would set up a national system where the Federal Government would collect sales tax from internet retailers on behalf of states and then pass along those sales taxes back to the states.

QUOTE (JoeCoolMan24 @ Jun 7, 2011 -> 01:52 PM) And that's what I had said. I said UNTIL he becomes a starter, like, until the Sox actually decide to use him correctly, then he is not a good pick at #13, because all he has ever been so far has been a reliever. And I'm disagreeing with this point. If a guy has the potential to be a a starter but winds up being most useful to the franchise in a bullpen role, that's fine for a #13 pick. That's the franchise deciding that the best way to maximize his value to them is in a bullpen role.

QUOTE (justBLAZE @ Jun 7, 2011 -> 01:53 PM) So do they White Sox pick Ozney? Round 21.

QUOTE (danman31 @ Jun 7, 2011 -> 01:49 PM) Not complaining about the pick, but very few guys are able to touch even 98 as relievers. If this guy can sit 96, even out of the pen, he's got elite velocity. No need to put out unrealistic expectations on him. Hence why I said "Mid to upper 90's".

QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jun 7, 2011 -> 01:45 PM) Kyle McMillen RHP Kent State 6'2" 200 lbs Running on pitchers after the first round. Can't say that's a mistake.

QUOTE (danman31 @ Jun 7, 2011 -> 01:41 PM) Just want to point out that touching and maintaining a velocity are completely different things. Maybe pro coaches can get this guy to stick around 96 consistently, but we shouldn't expect more than that. He has plus velocity, let's not go thinking he's going to hit 100 on a regular basis. Also, the 100 report came from him JuCo and not a scouting service. "Maintaining" it is always less of a concern for a reliever. If he's a pitcher that throws in the mid to upper 90's, that's reasonable for the 3rd round.

Link. That's my reply.

QUOTE (JoeCoolMan24 @ Jun 7, 2011 -> 01:24 PM) Soptic seems to have pretty solid mechanics, or at least nothing that looks like he will have injury problems. Not thrilled that he projects to be a reliever, but if he is coming out of the pen, maybe he can maintain that 100 MPH cheese. I have zero problems drafting closer candidates in the 3rd round.

QUOTE (maggsmaggs @ Jun 7, 2011 -> 11:10 AM) How can an owner say he is satisfied with his GM/Manager when his $125-million team is under .500? If he says anything else...what happens? "I'm dissatisfied and I'm considering breaking this team up". Oh, well, there goes KW's firesale leverage.

QUOTE (SpainSOXfan09 @ Jun 7, 2011 -> 01:16 PM) What kind of BA/OBP and Power numbers do we really expect from Rios to make a real difference? A BA of at least.260 with a .330 OBP and 20-25HR/70-80RBI? Is that un-reasonable to expect? At this point, if Rios could be Juan Pierre with the bat the rest of the way, it'd still be an improvement. 20-25 HR would be unreasonable, yes, he's only hit 20 in his career twice. If he could give us a .700+ OPS the rest of the way, at least that's something. It's not earning his salary, but at least we could play him without it costing us too many games.

QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Jun 7, 2011 -> 01:05 PM) Explain the bolded if you will. Core inflation would decrease the value of any fixed-interest rate debt over time. Right now, huge private debt overhangs from the evaporation of $8 trillion in housing wealth are still the single biggest problem in the economy...$8 trillion evaporated and the rest of the population is still struggling to rebalance itself by cutting back on spending. Moderate degrees of inflation...like what the Federal Reserve says its goal is (the goal that it has missed since 2008) would assist in increasing the value of hard assets relative to that debt. It would be a negative for the debt holder (the bank) which makes out like gangbusters right now because inflation is running below target. If you're holding a 15 or 30 year fixed rate mortgage, this below-target inflation is terrible for you, it's actually making your mortgage more expensive. Furthermore, moderate inflation is a motivation for both purchasers and investors to take money off of the sideline and invest it in job creation. Right now, most of the large financial firms are still sitting on enormous piles of cash and making money based on a version the carry trade, where they've borrowed huge sums at 0% interest rate and are making money by putting those funds into other still safe assets. THat is only possible because of the low inflation environment...you can't pull that off as a money-maker if you expect the value of the cash to erode with time, so you have to invest it in something that can grow faster. Edit: Note; this of course does not imply that "Infinite" inflation would be a good thing here, there is a limit to how much benefit you can get because eventually the holders of debt wind up routed in high inflation environments and worker salaries can't adjust to keep up. I should re-stress that a key word there is "Moderate"...similar to or perhaps 1% above the Federal Reserve's 2-3% inflation target.

QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Jun 7, 2011 -> 12:13 PM) Of course core inflation is an important difference - I say its a garbage measure because it fails to reflect real, full impact of inflation (which you are doing as well). Commodity inflation isn't just a real demand problem, nor is it just a reliance on things like oil and gas (though those are factors). Its also a market flight issue. People are going commodities because of the markets and the economy in general, and that will continue to some extent. And core inflation vs commodity inflation are not entirely different in cause, they are related. Furthermore, the effect on the economy is very much related. Right now, rising core inflation would be a very good thing for everyone in our economy except banks and people who are sitting on a lot of cash. It would be especially useful for homeowners. Therefore, the Federal Reserve, which is staffed almost entirely with people from the banking and investment sector, has decided that rising core inflation would be a bad thing.

QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jun 7, 2011 -> 11:39 AM) He had a pretty devastating fluke injury. I'm sure that the team isn't going to hold his start against him and draft his replacement because of that. However, it's ok to hold that fluke injury against the team when evaluating their draft performance.

Starting salaries in most industries haven't changed much since 2008.

White Sox's next selection is #80, 20th pick of round 2.

MLB Draft Day 2 thread is open.

Are you actively looking for anything else? If not, then you've got 2 choices...sit back and wait for a full time offer from wherever you're working now, or put yourself out there a little more to see if someone will make you a better offer before this place gets around to it.

Tennessee Athletic Director Mike Hamilton to resign.

QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Jun 7, 2011 -> 10:02 AM) "core" inflation is a garbage measure, in my view - and that was what I was referring to as the "basket", which is usually last to go (and will be here as well). And the price spike has not been anything like "reversed" - its come back a bit off highs, but they are still well above where they were. Core inflation is a big time difference. If you're seeing legitimate "Core" inflation, it is caused by something entirely different from commodity inflation and it has the exact opposite consequence on the economy. Inflation in commodity prices is caused by scarcity of the items, for whatever reason. When core inflation is going up, it has the same effect as a rise in interest rates...it eats away at the value of income. It is a negative for consumers, and furthermore it does not produce a spike in earnings. Core inflation on the other hand is caused by an overabundance of demand both for workers and for products that are produced. Core inflation hitting is a sign that the job market has finally reached its potential, it simply can't happen right now, because there is nothing to force core inflation when the economy is so far below capacity. The big difference is that if you raise interest rates to fight commodity inflation, you're hurting your economy without solving the problem, since raising interest rates and general inflation have the same effect...both erode people's purchasing power. We have a commodity price inflation problem...because our economy is overreliant on a few select commodities. The solution to that problem should not be "fewer jobs"...which is why its excluded from a reasonable measure of actual inflation.

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