southsider2k5

To bump this thread, if you go to FanDuel right now, Baltimore, Detroit, KC, Miami, PIttsburgh, SF, and Seattle are all 500:1 for the World Series. You can get some pretty crazy flukes in a 60 game stretch and a 5 dollar bet would pay $2500. Colorado is 220:1 and Toronto is 100:1. FWIW the Sox are 33:1 still. I got them at 50:1 before they went all in for free agency. Sox are 16:1 to get to the World Series.

*61

I know they get paid if the opt out,, do they officially lose service time?

The problem is that it is also a near statistical certainty that we have been under-counting deaths as well. We know from comparing mortality numbers to historic mortality numbers, that there are a large number of deaths that we can't explain, in states that we know have had outbreaks. We also know that there are below average mortality rates in states where there haven't been outbreaks so the whole they are committing suicide trope isn't really working there either, otherwise they wouldn't be below normal. It is very clear in these studies that we are not getting the whole picture for COVID cases or deaths, and that is 100% what the government wants so it has the cover to send everyone back to the slaughter, oops I mean work.

The 2005 Astros also come to mind.

See you next year!

This has been hinted at in other discussions I have read on health. Basically the idea is just because we don't about them, doesn't mean that baseball players with underlying health conditions don't exist. In fact because aerobic fitness isn't a huge need in baseball, you are probably looking at a more "normal" distribution of health over the entire population. We know Jon Lester is a cancer survivor as is Rizzo. Those are the ones I know that could be potentially immunocompromised. I am sure there are others that I don't know about.

Yeah 0.3% is three thousandths or quite literally 3 in 1000.

Welcome to the last six months.

We see 60 game flukes all of the time both to the up and down side. We could also see something like someone hitting .400, or other crazy statistical anomalies.

And while it will cause kid casualties, the worst is going to be the parents and grandparents that they bring this home to.

The bigger problem isn't making it mandatory or not, it is supply and high school kids. #1- How you do you make sure each kid in a school system has enough masks to get them through. Is it one? Is is 5 to get them through a week? #2-How do kids get masks? Are they responsible? Does the school system have to find and procure them? #3-What happens if masks break, become contaminated etc? Are they are or the schools responsible for replacements? #4-What happens if a kid refuses to wear one? Kick them out of class? Put all of the non-mask wearers in one room to separate them from those who are wearing? Do you suspend them? If you suspend them, the school system looks bad because the state tracks suspension numbers and counts it against school systems in their grading. There is a lot to unpack here when you say "mandatory".

And I would have much rather of seen him beat Aaron than Bonds.

The Sox saved $1,195,500 with the signings if their 3rd and 4th round picks so far. The Kelley slot value is $1,580,200, which would allows them to offer Kelley $2,775,700 if they get no savings from their 5th round pick., and didn't go over their draft allotment at all. The Sox can add another $388,240 with their 5% overage which is allowed by MLB, meaning they could still offer $3,163,940 to Kelley with no savings from their 5th round pick.

I totally missed it.

Rowand would have left for the big money the year after anyway.

The good old Trader Kenny days.

In fact states have set up snitch lines for this exact purpose. They want to make sure that they get everyone off of unemployment as possible.

I mean it is sort of like drafting a college senior to save money for another pick. You can't take Coffey's status as a 3rd round pick and use it to say they like him more than their 5th round pick. It was a pick made for a strategic reason. The Crochet/Kelley order may well have been strategic and someone in the back office figuring out if they played their cards this way they get both of them, instead of one of them and a lesser second round pick.

And just to put my two cents in for historical reference, I think this is a great discussion. I think Crochet has the higher ceiling, being a lefty who has recently reached another gear. I think there is no doubt Kelley has the higher floor. Don't forget that Crochet was a pretty mediocre pitcher as of just one season ago. I know some are saying "reliever floor" or risk, but if he loses whatever he gained before this year, he won't get into the middle minors, let alone the majors. Kelley seems to be almost maxed out, but his max is still a pretty darned good pitcher. As of today, I would place Crochet SLIGHTLY ahead of Kelley because his ceiling is so high, but it is really close.

Is that an ARod shot? Did they have issues with each other? I don't know that I heard that one before.

I just wanted to point out with this line: The Sox couldn't get Crochet to slide to the second round, but because Kelley was a HS kid in the craziest draft in MLB history, he could legitimately use his draft status and bonus demands to push himself out of the other teams ranges and safety factors. The Sox may well have thought Kelley was the better pick, but there is no way that Crochet had the same leverage to push his status the same way that Kelley did. If the feelings were reversed there is no way Crochet falls more than 5 to 10 picks because he would come back as a college senior, and couldn't demand money the same way that Kelley did. In this way they got both of them. If they pick Kelley first, they don't get Crochet. They get a lesser second round pick. They played the system to get two first round picks effectively. I wouldn't use that as a definite way of rating how they feel about both players.

Wait, did YOU just tell people not to assume and jump to conclusions?

Another UDFA signing https://goseattleu.com/news/2020/6/20/baseball-jenkins-inks-deal-with-white-sox.aspx

Is $2 million enough for Cespedes?