Realistically, it won't be easy for the Sox to fall out of the top 5 or so. The bottom 3 teams have such a "lead" on the top picks, that even if the Sox play .500 ball for the rest of the season and finish 30 under, you won't get that many teams finishing with less than say 65 or 66 wins. These teams all have to play each other too, so there are wins out there. Last year the Sox finished 4th with 67 wins, with the Reds right behind them 5th at 68 wins. The 6th place team had 70 wins.