southsider2k5

QUOTE (Steve9347 @ Oct 29, 2009 -> 01:53 PM) Did'ja take a gander at who's minding the net for Colorado? I always thought he got the short-end of the stick here. I did, but still, the guy hadn't really done anything worth mentioning until this year. Still I'd like to see the person who thought the Avs would be leading the western conference easily at this point?

QUOTE (AWhiteSoxinNJ @ Oct 29, 2009 -> 01:44 PM) Hermida is completely over-rated. Is this what's going to be all offseason? X team is going to trade X player, lets get him. Where have you been? That is pretty much every off-season around these parts...

Heh, more like the third standard deviation, versus the second...

QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Aug 28, 2009 -> 09:45 AM) I don't buy the modern bias anymore. It wasn't too long ago that people believed that the market has gotten so effecient at pricing in information, that a negative PE could be interpreted as a good thing. 10 years later over 90% of the dotcoms are busts or buyouts. I still believe in history and understanding what the numbers are telling you, and why they are saying what they are. The housing market has all of the signs of a deadcat bounce. Unemployment is still rising, as is the hidden unemployment of people who either have been taken off of the official roles because they have exhausted their benefits, or have taken much less paying/part time work out of desparation. The other big factor in homebuying is ease of credit, and that hasn't really changed that much in the last 10 months or so either. Also remember that employment lags confidence in the system by 6-12 months, and foreclosures also lag unemployment by about the same margin. There is still a large chunk of supply that hasn't come onto the housing market, not to mention, much like the hidden auto demand, there is also the hidden housing supply of people who want to sell their houses, but feel that they can't for one reason or another (worried about losing job, upside down on loan, houses not selling in area so not trying, etc). Even if hiring really did take off today, it would be a year to two years before you could really point to a true housing recovery. More numbers I have seen bantered around as proof are the durable goods and GDP revisions... This is pretty simple stuff to explain away as well. The two biggest components in durable goods are airplanes and autos. Autos numbers being reported are in the midst of the cash for clunkers bounce. Once you remove auto numbers from durable goods, that number becomes near zero growth. That same growth is also responsible for a good chunk of GDP growth. Remember, no one seemed to be able to forecast how successful this program would be, which means it wasn't factored in as "expected" in any of the growth figures for Q3. Now moving on to Q4 you have removed pretty much all automotive demand from this system, both pent up demand and the future demand from people who realized that this was the best deal they were going to ever see, so they moved and took delivery sooner than they probably would have. As for other durables, people who are employed and able to buy are also still scared of losing their jobs, as unemployment is still increasing. If you are scared of losing your job, you aren't going to run out and spend savings money to buy a new fridge or TV unless you have to do so. The proof here is that savings rates in the US are still at levels we haven't seen in decades, and again, even the slight dip in the number can be explained by the artificial demand of cash for clunkers spending. I also saw your point about articles of people investing in the stock market, but I am still reading articles about people who are afraid to invest in the same market, in other, less market biased media outlets. The Sunday Tribune just had one. Finally I really believe that we have to see unemployment take a real turn before I will believe actual growth is coming. The fundementals of the markets have to change, and not just by artificial government means. For all of those auto sales, does anyone think any jobs are going to be saved? That is the question we should be asking. Until jobs come back for real (not just accounting tricks brought on by people who can't file for benefits anymore, or are working part time/at a fraction of former salaries.) we aren't going to sustain anything. History bears this out, not just me. Well that ended up being pretty right, all of the way down to the "surprise" Q3 GDP numbers. Now we see how Q4 does.

QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Oct 29, 2009 -> 10:20 AM) This is not a broken promise of any kind. You are directing your ire in the wrong place. Now, Obama HAS broken promises - but he's not doing that here. Am I the only one who remembers that people weren't going to be able to buy access to the White House?

QUOTE (CaliSoxFanViaSWside @ Oct 29, 2009 -> 09:45 AM) I agree the budget is a major concern , however that just means that one of the high priced vets might have to be moved and unfortunately the most likely candidate is Mark Buehrle . Replacing MB with Hudson would be a huge risk especially with Garcia on his last legs. I wonder if the Nationals would be interesting in moving John Lannan and Nyger Morgan. Would take a decent package of say Buehrle + part of his salary , Getz , Hudson ..more ? I know , I know how could I even think of sending MB to the Nationals of all places ? I have no idea what the salaries of Lannan and Morgan are so I don't know how much salary could be freed up by such a deal. Too bad it seems like we're stuck with Rios. You lost me at Mark Buehrle being the most likely guy to go. The top of that list is Bobby Jenks. Buehrle is going to be one of the last guys to go. You can't trade the face of the organization after a down year. The general fanbase would go nuts. They are already trying to keep the season ticketholder base, you don't give them a great reason to cancel.

QUOTE (lostfan @ Oct 29, 2009 -> 09:32 AM) k, nothing to do with my point though. They watch movies, bowl, and play golf with the president. The horrors of our corrupt system of democracy! Again, then don't promise differently when you are running for President. Everyone who dared question these type of statements was mocked during the election cycle. Now that these stupid promises are getting broken, we get mocked for mentioning them.

The Avs are 10-1-2 with 9 of their games happening on the road so far? Wow.

QUOTE (KyYlE23 @ Oct 29, 2009 -> 09:02 AM) after watching that video of the pitcher again, wtf is with that strikezone. That ball was high and outside If it is a Japanese league, their strike zone is supposed to be huge.

QUOTE (Tex @ Oct 29, 2009 -> 09:07 AM) I imagine s*** like that happens in all 50 states. I gotta say, I have never heard of an exchange like that here in Indiana.

QUOTE (lostfan @ Oct 29, 2009 -> 09:16 AM) I wasn't aware that Obama promised to not accept campaign contributions and was going to seek re-election without doing so. Politicians have to raise money. Period. Even Obama said this during the campaign. If you don't raise money you won't stay in office unless you're an extreme anomaly. People need to stop acting surprised about this, yes we have a terrible system and in most European countries a lot of these things would probably count as electoral fraud but we already knew this and it's not about to change. Frankly, pretending to be shocked is f***ing stupid. Changing this fact would require a constitutional amendment. The campaign contributions weren't the thing he promised to do away with...

Guys, there is about zero chance that we sign a second baseman. We are young and cheap there with two kids, plus a CJ Retheford in the wings if he wanted. With the other holes on the team, and the tight budget we are going to be looking at, it isn't going to happen.

QUOTE (iamshack @ Oct 29, 2009 -> 08:09 AM) Well, they have managed to go 4-2 in the games they've played without Lee this postseason. I'm not sure where this perception is stemming from that they are all Lee and nothing else. Granted, he's been amazing, but Pedro and Hamels are no slouches themselves. Really pumped for tonight's game...can't wait to see Pedro pitch on the big stage again. They have faced nothing like the Yankees offense to this point in the playoffs. Plus they aren't facing a pitcher for the next game at least.

QUOTE (lostfan @ Oct 29, 2009 -> 08:20 AM) lol at the Washington Times article with the shocking revelation that the White House gives out perks to people who have given Obama a lot of money. Noooooooooo! Also at some point today it's going to be 3 pm, I wonder if there will be an article on that. He might want to update his campaign promises then...

QUOTE (Y2HH @ Oct 28, 2009 -> 12:55 PM) Because at some democratic function, in which Arnold was invited, that guy yelled out things like "you lie" during his speech. So this is how Arnold thanked him, whilst vetoing 5 of his bills. I hadn't heard that part yet, especially the part where he told Swartz to kiss his gay ass. How the hell was THAT not national news?

Why the best thing about Detroit is leaving it...

You are most likely going to see some decent improvement from at least two spots on the infield, as Getz and Becks start their second years. We already saw a large step forward from Beckham at 3B, to being an OK fielder. He range really improved as the season went on and he settled in a bit. Ramirez will probably also have a better year, being his second straight season at the same position in the majors. After that, it depends on what we do with the outfield. We already have Rios out there, who is a huge step over anything we have been running into CF or RF for years now.

Unmistakable.

One down, now they just need to figure out a way to win without Lee pitching.

The Dad of two preschoolers...

QUOTE (juddling @ Oct 29, 2009 -> 02:09 AM) Gentlemen (and i use that term loosely) i give you the A-Team!!! Great. Another horrible TV series turned even worse movie.

QUOTE (KyYlE23 @ Oct 29, 2009 -> 07:06 AM) I just got this 419 scam email: My response was: This should be good You are such a nice guy, letting that Mr Wheeler keep it all.

Sun Times is reporting Omiyale to the bench, Beekman taking over.

Marian Hossa skated non-contact drills today, and Brent Seabrook returned to practice. No Toews yet.

QUOTE (MexSoxFan#1 @ Oct 28, 2009 -> 09:22 PM) Lee is just filthy tonight,maybe Lee can win the WS for the Phillies.