Texsox

With Obama, I distrust the polls the most. I believe we will see the greatest error of our recent Presidential elections.

http://www.cnn.com/2008/CRIME/10/09/toofat...l.ap/index.html

http://www.cnn.com/2008/SHOWBIZ/TV/10/09/p...ref=mpstoryview

http://www.cnn.com/2008/LIVING/10/09/heroes.top10/index.html Names available at the link

I'm a gun owner, member of the NRA, and if they read some of my posts here, they would probably refund my money. The Republkicans will let me have my guns, but no land use. The Democrats will give me recreation land, but no guns. And for the record, I am against guns for home protection when kids are involved. Start another thread for the whys

QUOTE (Soxy @ Oct 9, 2008 -> 12:57 PM) That actually happened to a friend of mine. They woke up, got served and told they needed to vacate. Although the other big problem out here is landlords not paying water bills, so the city was threatening to shut off the water to all of the affected apartments. Huge issue--since the tenants weren't responsible for the water bills. As a landlord I had mixed feelings about water bills. My first inclination was to have the tenants be responsible for the bills. That way if they were late with the rent, I wasn't also out the water bill as well. I was annoyed to be shelling out for utilities when they hadn't paid their rent. Then I had a tenant that shut off the drip irrigation system and destroyed the lawn and landscaping. He felt that since he was paying for the water, he should have total control over the bill. I couldn't really argue with him, although I really wished he had complained before doing that, I would have split the water bill with him.

QUOTE (scenario @ Oct 9, 2008 -> 12:34 PM) Interesting article. A good example of what can happen when an engineering graduate student has too much time on their hands. I found it interesting that the 2007 WhiteSox had the most consistent offense in MLB. Only problem was that they were consistently horrible. When I got to that part in the article I started laughing. Yep, consistently horrible.

QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Oct 8, 2008 -> 03:00 PM) If I weren't busy getting hammered every Saturday night of the year, I would actually take the time out to watch it. I might have to start DVRing it so I can watch it later. Back in it's prime, SNL was everyone prequel to going out.

QUOTE (NorthSideSox72 @ Oct 9, 2008 -> 12:01 PM) I really like the bolded above, and you are right. Those are two of the key reasons why it took me a while to really settle on Obama as my choice. McCain is, on SOME social issues, a little more liberal than his cohorts. He was also basically the only GOP candidate actually interested in the environment and alternative energy in some fashion. And yeah, the GOP is still stuck in the religious conservative control, though I think that is starting to wane (see: McCain's nomination). I have plenty I disagree with Obama on - his cowardly FISA vote, his lack of experience, his bizarre tax plans and general fiscal policy, his overreaching agenda, his support of affirmative action... there are others too. But it really came down to, I don't have to "resolve" anything. I just need to choose the candidate whose total package - issue and policy views, leadership and management skills - was better. These two candidates are the strongest pair we've had in my voting lifetime (this is my 5th cycle). A McCain Presidency, leaving the disaster that is Palin aside, would not make me nearly as angry as Bush has, I think. But Obama is even stronger, overall. There is so much here I strongly agree with. Well, except your final choice. Perhaps I should have used a different term than resolve. I would really like a pre-Reagan fiscal conservative. Someone who actually makes us pay for every program. I have respect for small government, small tax Republicans. I have respect for tax and spend Democrats. I really dislike and have no respect for the don't tax and spend spend spend leaders we have been electing in both parties and I see the start of that with Reagan. The business of America is business and neither candidate is addressing issues through that filter. Although I believe McCain has a slightly better handle than Obama. I also believe that McCain can successfully end the Iraq war quicker than Obama.

QUOTE (scenario @ Oct 9, 2008 -> 11:10 AM) The problem is that you have to assume pitching is a constant to make those comparisons meaningful. Since it's not, that makes the stats interesting but not very useful in the real world. Perhaps http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/...istency-is-key/ Interesting read.

QUOTE (Steve9347 @ Oct 9, 2008 -> 10:40 AM) They are definitely in the running. Zing. but is zing really the best term?

QUOTE (scenario @ Oct 9, 2008 -> 11:11 AM) Well... I think it goes without saying that inconsistently good is going to be better than consistently bad. That's were some tie back to league average needs to be made. Does consistent .3 runs below the league average top inconsistent .3 runs above the league average?

QUOTE (bmags @ Oct 9, 2008 -> 11:27 AM) Yeah what's wrong with you Tex? McCain in some tight jeans with no back pockets as to not mess with the lines...oh yeah you know, maybe a three way with his wife . . .

Staying friends works in movies

QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Oct 9, 2008 -> 09:58 AM) I'm not a statistician, but I would think you could normalize the std. dev. based on the average, and use that to compare across the league. Average for the team or against the league? How would you account for a team that doesn't score enough runs? Or another way, the question is how important is consistency. How would you compare a team who is inconsistent and scores say 5 runs per game against a team that is very consistent but only scores 2 runs per game? The lack of scoring would confound the study.

QUOTE (Steve9347 @ Oct 9, 2008 -> 10:54 AM) mmmm I'm hoping he didn't mean John

I would guess that different organizations have reputations that we would not know from living in the US and not being players. We can guess at what those reputations are, but I would say they are probably wrong.

It would seem Brian Anderson is better suited as posse then player

QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Oct 9, 2008 -> 10:43 AM) I agree there. Consistency is very important. Still, a small ball lineup that consistently puts up 3 runs a game isn't very good. I don't know how the statistics break down here, and I would be curious to know. Does Baseball Prospectus or anyone else do a "consistency" analysis? As for Detroit, they would have had a much better record, even with that inconsistent-but-powerful team, if their team ERA (4.90) wasn't 3rd to last in the AL. Same with Texas (5.37). There are a few tools that would allow you to check that. One of the researchers around here would have a better handle on the stats. A couple things you might want to compute is the standard deviation around each teams average runs per game. That would give you a number that shows how consistent a team scored around their average but not tell you much about their scoring compared to the league average. It might also be useful to compare teams consistency with runs allowed as well.

QUOTE (YASNY @ Oct 9, 2008 -> 10:23 AM) Do any of these three know what the "norm" is when it comes to Sox and the playoffs? Yeah, the studied Javy and Thome. Who were the non roster guys on the bench in 2005? That would be really interesting to see how it affected their careers.We know Anderson was there every step of the way.

http://www.matthew25.org/ I am using this as a jumping off point for a question. No candidate can possibly match your beliefs 100% unless your beliefs are incredibly pliable. How have you resolved issues with McCain and Obama that do not match your beliefs? I find it interesting that a Christian group could set aside any Pro-Life issues and support Obama, but in the bigger sense I always thought it was a fairly easy step to take. Just like I'm concerned about a couple of McCain's positions, but overall prefer him to Obama.

QUOTE (lostfan @ Oct 9, 2008 -> 09:14 AM) In fairness, he did specify "not here but elsewhere." Yes he did.

QUOTE (bmags @ Oct 9, 2008 -> 09:12 AM) This statement doesn't excuse posters on this site from the incredibly annoying characterization of Obama posters in the filibuster when, with the exception of one, it is without merit. For example, the first three posters in this thread discredited this, some Obama supporters, then PA spouts off about "how could Obama supporters make this an issue!?!?!" We specialize in incredibly annoying, gross misinterpretations, characterizations, and labels. Not just here but everywhere.

QUOTE (StrangeSox @ Oct 9, 2008 -> 10:11 AM) Those are educated guesses looking forward, not statistical analysis of what has happened. Historically, bunting has *usually* been a bad idea because you give away more potential runs than you gain. There are situations where it makes sense (bottom 9th, extra innings where one run = win/tie vs. lose), but bunting a runner from 1st to 2nd in the 5th inning? In a power-hitting, HR dominating lineup? That's just not very smart. I agree. And the statement that having someone who can bunt is worthless is also an educated guess looking forward. If the lineup is a power hitting lineup, bunting is silly. But the question in October is thus, should the team make an adjustment and move slightly away from power hitting by adding some speed and small ball capability. Obviuously some people believe no, that bunting is always a wasted out. Others disagree.

QUOTE (bmags @ Oct 9, 2008 -> 09:07 AM) If I'm going to get characterized the way PA and others have characterized every Obama supporter no matter how I act, I might as well get my moneys worth and start acting obnoxious. Obama is bringing new faces into politics. Younger voters especially are ignited by has candidacy. McCain's supporters are generally older, more subdued, and with more experiences to fall back on.So the styles of the campaigns are different and the supporters are generally from a much more diverse background. No wonder these types of comments arise.