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Everything posted by caulfield12
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This is why the GOP runs circles around the Dems, especially the Supreme Court now. Republicans never compromise. All of these years of moving rightward/compromising/attempting to work across the aisle has split the Democratic Party almost in two, and lost a good number of union and blue collar/non-college educated voters due to Clinton/Obama neoliberalism/globalist policies. Imagine getting 61-62% of union votes a huge victory under Truman, JFK or LBJ. Heck, even Jimmy Carter in 1976 and 1980. It’s also ironic that it (the party’s current strategy) has actually led to a phenomenon of more male Blacks and male Hispanics voting for “macho/masochistic” Trump. Being a Dem means being labeled a wimp/whiner/loser.
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So what should Obama’s reaction have been in that situation...every single position he took on racial relations as a Black man was essentially going to be a “no win” one. Support the police in any significant way=Uncle Tom/sellout. Support Black Crime victims=Second Coming of Antichrist/Malcolm X/H Rap Brown/SDS/Stokely Carmichael/The Weathermen.
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It’s supposed to expand before all is said and done (see CA), but the popular vote margin remains almost exactly the same as four years ago, roughly 3.5 million votes.
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Except Obama divided the nation just because his race directly threatened roughly 25% of the US. What policies did he enact that would justify rioting? Because he wanted to provide health care insurance to Americans? Take away everyone’s religion and confiscate everyone’s guns as well? Benghazi, lol?
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These are all things to be afraid of, the Atwater/Rove Playbook 101 ever since Ronald Reagan, welfare moms with Cadillacs/cell phones, and Willie Horton.. But what is a single Trump policy/plan proposed for his second term that you are actually for? Because being afraid of everything (“American Carnage” inauguration speech) is not a feasible philosophy for governing...it is one for deliberately dividing the country and alienating various groups of Americans, turning them against each other.
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Fulton County basically done, and looks like Perdue race will also go to a runoff in Jan from ajc.com Of that, he (Fulton County elections supervisor) said, results of 138,000 have been posted online and 1,200 more absentees that required more signature verification will come later today — meaning there’s a difference of roughly 7,000 between what’s been processed and what’s been posted. There are still 3,600 provisional ballots and an undetermined amount of military overseas ballots left to be finalized. The deadline for those is 5 p.m. Friday. UPDATE 7:27 a.m.: Fulton County elections chief Rick Barron said officials will release more vote totals around 11 a.m. Thursday.
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OAN is already there. Doubt he financially wants to undertake investing any of his own money. Prefers the branding angle with Trump name, where financial downside of actually owning it is limited. Bannon has forecast that direction for at least four plus years now (going back to October, 2016, when the grabbing women by the Billy Bush/Borat Subsequent Moviefilm comments came out.)
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Arizona: Joe Biden holds about a 69,000 vote lead in CNN’s count. Maricopa, the biggest county in Arizona, has released the second of two sets of new votes promised Wednesday night – shrinking the Biden lead there by just over 10,000 votes. Early this morning, the county tweeted that 275,000 remain and that its next update will come at 9 p.m. ET. Meanwhile, the next biggest share of votes come from blue-leaning Pima County. The state’s website said 46,000 votes remained to be counted in Pima as of last night. Georgia: Fulton County, in the Atlanta area, just added 8,300 ballots to its tally, further cutting into Trump’s lead in the state. Georgia’s largest county still has about 7,564 ballots left to count, Fulton County's Regina Walker said just after 5 a.m. ET. But remember: Georgia could be the next target for President Trump to request a recount. CNN reported a source familiar with the matter says that if Georgia is close, “of course” the Trump camp will ask for a recount if he loses. 10:30 a.m. ET: Georgia's Secretary of State will hold a news conference. There's currently a 33,000-vote margin between Trump and Biden, and there’s around 90,000 votes remaining to be counted. Nevada: Biden holds a slim 8,000 vote lead. Clark County — home to Las Vegas — has, by far, the largest share of votes in Nevada. After a full day of silence from Clark county and the state overall, all eyes will be on Clark when it updates at 12 noon ET. Pennsylvania: The state as a whole has about 750,000 mail-in ballots to be counted, according to the Secretary of State’s website, though this figure has not been updated recently. Allegheny County, which includes Pittsburgh, has finished tabulating mail-in and absentee ballots. Officials say the county will resume tabulating several precincts’ worth of in-person votes later this morning. www.cnn.com
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About 78,000 absentee ballots remained to be counted in Georgia Wednesday night as Joe Biden pulled within about 32,000 votes of President Donald Trump. Most of these uncounted absentee ballots are concentrated in highly populated areas, led by Fulton County in Atlanta and Chatham County in Savannah. There are likely additional absentee ballots left to be tallied that were returned to county election offices before Tuesday’s 7 p.m. deadline but hadn’t yet been processed. The large number of remaining absentee ballots could delay final election results into Thursday or later. But many county election offices said they’re planning to complete their vote-counting Wednesday. Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger said he wants counties to finish counting absentee ballots quickly so that close races can be decided. State law gives county election officials until Nov. 13 to certify final election results. “Officials in numerous counties are continuing to count ballots, with strong security protocols in place to protect the integrity of our election,” Raffensperger said. “It’s important to act quickly, but it’s more important to get it right.” https://www.ajc.com/politics/about-200000-absentee-ballots-still-need-to-be-counted-in-georgia/BYGJAXV5FRBGBAMA6JPIC7ZL34/
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Arizona back in play again and GA lead for Trump down to around 18,500 at 98% reporting. Fulton County alone still with 10,000+ not yet counted. AZ lead for Biden about 70,000 at this point.
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Pennsylvania will take the longest of the three to complete its count. As of Wednesday night, Trump still clung to a shrinking lead of some 190,000 ballots. But with nearly a million ballots still outstanding—the lion’s share of them coming from dark blue precincts in Philadelphia and elsewhere—Trump’s lead is expected to shrivel over the coming 24 hours and then disappear completely. How much Biden ultimately might win by is unclear. But it may not be by much more than Trump’s victorious margin four years ago of 44,292 votes. https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/11/04/three-reasons-biden-flipped-the-midwest-434114
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Pro-Trump protesters gathered at the Arizona Capitol and Maricopa County elections center to demand election workers keep counting votes. Former Vice President Joe Biden maintained a lead in Arizona over President Donald Trump, but his margin shrunk in a new batch of results posted Wednesday evening. Arizona voters who are worried their vote wasn't counted because the state's election site showed their mail ballot as "canceled," in most cases, should not be alarmed. The Arizona Attorney General's Office is investigating voter concerns about voting with Sharpie markers. Election officials say ballots will be counted regardless of what kind of pen voters used. Summary of tonight from the Arizona Republic https://www.azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/11/04/arizona-election-live-updates-2020-presidential-election/6093637002/
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https://www.politico.com/2020-election/results/president/ Politico has already given AZ to Biden, for another example of the different takes on that site...compared to other news organizations holding back on a call. 264-214 Trump would have to sweep Nevada, PA, NC and GA, as we've been saying for almost 24 hours now. "When Will We Finally Get Results In Unprojected States?" Podcast https://fivethirtyeight.com/videos/when-will-we-finally-get-results-in-unprojected-states/ Steve Coats Fox decision desk is still standing by their decision to call Arizona for Biden. "while additional votes are being counted, we do not believe that this will change the tenor or the texture of the race, and we strongly believe that our call will stand, and that’s why we’re not pulling back the call.”
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Looking for now like we'll still be waiting until around lunchtime Thursday (CST) before Nevada results clarified https://lasvegassun.com/news/2020/nov/04/nevada-official-more-results-may-come-wednesday-af/ Early results showed Joe Biden with a slim lead over President Donald Trump in Nevada, but it was too early to declare a winner in the race Wednesday with a large number of ballots yet to be counted. The top elections official in the most populous county said more results will be released Thursday morning that include mail-in ballots received on Tuesday and Wednesday. Biden was leading Wednesday afternoon by less than 8,000 votes. Clark County Registrar of Voters Joe Gloria said at a news conference Wednesday afternoon that he did not have a number for how many ballots had been received but uncounted in the Las Vegas area. The Nevada Deputy Secretary of State for Elections Wayne Thorley said in a text message earlier Wednesday that the state would likely release some additional results that afternoon but said a few hours later that the state would wait until Thursday morning. Election officials in Washoe County, Nevada's second-largest which includes Reno, said Wednesday afternoon that they would not be releasing more results until 10 a.m. Thursday morning. In Las Vegas, Gloria said he would be holding daily 10 a.m. news conferences until all ballots were counted, including provisional ballots that were cast by voters taking advantage of same-day registration, electronic ballots sent to overseas voters or for disabled voters. Results released so far have not included mail-in ballots received on Election Day, along with any mail ballots postmarked later than Nov. 3 that arrive over the next week and any provisional ballots.
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Kelly will be one of the principal reasons for the Biden win. Kelly at 4.6% up, Biden at "just" 2.8%. Without the motivation to go out and also vote for Senate, it's arguable that Trump would have had enough of his loyal and "highly motivated" voters to take the state.
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Welcome to divided government. It's what the people generally want. Look at the massive pushback just two years after Clinton and Obama were elected with coattails. The big question now is what the Supremes do about healthcare.
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One positive, we don’t have to spend the next two years consumed with court packing arguments unless the Dems pick off one of those two GA races in January and/or unless Manchin, Murkowski or Collins side with them as well. That could all change if the Supreme Court really goes ahead and invalidates Obamacare next week. Ossoff in GA will have received more campaign funds than any Dem in modern political history to keep losing, lol. A judge told USPS to search mail for ballots by 3 p.m. on Election Day. USPS said no. 300,000 ballots under scrutiny https://www.yahoo.com/news/judge-told-usps-search-mail-141505704.html Now the USPS faces a discussion Wednesday about its "apparent lack of compliance with the Court's order," according to an order filed by Sullivan later Tuesday. Sullivan acknowledged the efforts underway and said he was inclined to let them continue. The facilities targeted were in central Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Detroit, Colorado/Wyoming, Atlanta, Houston, Alabama, Northern New England, Greater South Carolina, South Florida, Lakeland, and Arizona. Plaintiffs in the lawsuit, which includes the participation-focused group Vote Forward, have sought redress for reported mail delivery obstacles ahead of the election. Similarly, Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel this summer joined a number of states in a federal lawsuit against the USPS after slowdowns in the mail service.
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PA has been on that same number for 8-10 hours at Yahoo. I would trust NY Times, CNN or WaPo more. Yahoo is based on AP? Also, wonder if Yahoo is going to dare to reopen their comments sections on articles or wait at least until election is certified.
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https://forward.com/opinion/457880/what-trumps-inroads-with-latino-voters-means-for-the-democrats/ Going by the tar and feather Democrats as Marxist/Socialists campaign strategy in South Florida...one writer wonders about the consequences for Dems going forward. Sanders vs. Trump would have been a much more interesting campaign, but not sure who would have prevailed in states like AZ, NV and the three Blue Wall Midwestern ones.
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Another one mentioned was Sterling Heights... https://www.yahoo.com/news/money-wasnt-everything-this-year-as-wellfunded-democrats-fell-short-173148997.html Democrats set all kinds of fundraising records for Senate races without very much to show for their spending
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You’d think eight consecutive years of seventy-somethings would be more than enough...especially when the Cold War with China is increasingly going to be waged over advanced tech. If you’re Haley, Pence, Pompeo, Rubio, Cruz this was about the worst possible result looking down the road to 2024. Maybe there’s an agreement not to prosecute Trump out of office if he makes an agreement not to ever run again...
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https://news.yahoo.com/remaining-vote-pennsylvania-appears-overwhelmingly-125954708.html Odds increasingly in Biden’s favor for PA as well...just in case.
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Yeah, it really looked positive for Florida and Ohio at that point. Iowa, you had a similar phenomenon. If they had another 2-3 weeks to go, Trump really had a great chance to catch Biden. That 100,000,000ish early count held up just enough against a late breaking Trump wave the last 7-10 days, especially with Hispanics in places like Miami-Dade. The GOP did surprisingly well in Senate as well as House. The candidate we talked about a lot two years ago, Abbie Finkenauer from Iowa, one of the youngest reps, lost by 3-4. Cheri Bustos had a real tight race on the NW Illinois side.
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Likely means Peters to the Senate as well from MI. Picked up CO, AZ...NC, IA, went the other direction, although still slim hopes for Cunninghan and Biden there. Not counting on either GA seat, although Loeffler would seem like the easier one to knock off. Jones lost AL, which everyone expected. Collins really looked like she was history heading into this election, straddling line between Trump and her moderate/centrist roots
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Five major urban centers still to go in MI...in the end, lots are now predicting MI won’t even end up all that close. Not to mention Genessee County/Flint hasn’t even turned blue yet. MI should have results by this evening, according to Secretary of State. Lots of Clark and another major urban area in Nevada outstanding...
