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Everything posted by caulfield12
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Is this one of those Saw or Hostel movies...? Texas Chainsaw Massacre? The way the last 8 months have gone, we’re heading towards Human Centipede.
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What are Archer or Greinke worth? deGrom/Thor?
caulfield12 replied to caulfield12's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Trust me, you’ll see plenty of non activity out of many posters by the second half of the season, after the draft and trade deadline pass and 1/2 of our top prospects are parked on the injured list. -
Of course this is 100% appropriate, right?...I warned this was the the point of the spear about barbs coming his way.
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What are Archer or Greinke worth? deGrom/Thor?
caulfield12 replied to caulfield12's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Hence, the need to simply “buy” or subsidize Greinke or “outcheap” the Pirates igpf they get buried way early in the NL Central by June...in that case, Polanco or Marte will be dangled out there as well. They’ve already demonstrated an ability to dump franchise cornerstones in McCutcheon and Cole. Ultimately, they’ll blink on Archer, who is exactly the type of veteran rotation anchor we need right now, and can easily afford in terms of less than $30 million in salary commitments through 2021. Of course, then he’d be on the Rodon timeline for FA again at age 32/33. -
LoL. Hahn/MerkinSpeak.
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The effect of “must face a minimum of three hitters per appearance” for relievers next year (minus a faked or real injury) will be interesting to watch play out on roster composition/pitcher usage. More Vendittes that are ambidextrous?
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The curse of Nardiwashere the SoxTalk member name strikes again.
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What are Archer or Greinke worth? deGrom/Thor?
caulfield12 replied to caulfield12's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I thought it was Goldschmidt/JDM, Bumgarner...? Or you’re NOW willing to elevate that to Sale/2+ years to Verlander (mutual option for Year 3)/Gerrit Cole, a generous Jimenez extension AND JDM/Goldschmidt/Rendon/Bogaerts/DiDi G? -
What are Archer or Greinke worth? deGrom/Thor?
caulfield12 replied to caulfield12's topic in Pale Hose Talk
How many more injuries to top pitching prospects do you think it will take for them to feel compelled to make a move to simply reverse the “rebuild is failing/fading” narrative? We’re already starting to see anomalous behavior...the biggest contract in MLB history for someone without any major league at-bats under their belt? Since when do we set precedents of actually increasing the cost of doing business by being overly generous? What allows them to be SO certain about Jimenez that they lacked the conviction to do so with generational talents Machado and Harper? -
What are Archer or Greinke worth? deGrom/Thor?
caulfield12 replied to caulfield12's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Elated you could add to your low “likes” count... -
What are Archer or Greinke worth? deGrom/Thor?
caulfield12 replied to caulfield12's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I’ll refer you back to the sarcastic/hyperbolic tenor of all your posts about moving to Nashville...of course they CAN afford to pay Sale, Verlander and Cole, but WILL they? You really want to double down again that we can add a Jimenez extension, one of those three pitchers and another $75-125 million on a position prospect/hitter? -
What are Archer or Greinke worth? deGrom/Thor?
caulfield12 replied to caulfield12's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Did your cat or dog pee on the carpet this morning? You really want four separate posts or threads, one outlining each pitcher? Covering a couple lines of simple/rudimentary statistics? Every time I see 2019-20 FA’s listed, there are always tons of names in these threads, with only seven of the being realistic top and second tier targets. If we were trying to acquire Manny Machado last offseason (2017-18) and during the actual season in order to convince him to sign an undervalue extension before he hit the market, one of the top players in all of baseball, why exactly would it be that hard to acquire Archer or Greinke? I think not, at least compared to the two young Mets’ pitchers. -
What are Archer or Greinke worth? deGrom/Thor?
caulfield12 replied to caulfield12's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Fine we have no prayer to get a really good FA pitcher because we just allocated all our money to Eloy Jimenez, so why not acquire one of four possible pitchers that might be available for various reasons before the trade deadline? Happy now...? Exciting stuff, for sure. Suggesting potential trades without mentioning realistic names is also quite thought-provoking. -
Let’s try it this way. JD Martinez, 50.3, -14.7, 5.9 Paul Goldschmidt, 40, -12, 5.1 Two pulled off this feat, and one was barely over 5. Brandon Nimmo and Matt Carpenter come close, but their defense wasn’t close to being a -10, either. And they were 4.5 and 5. Haniger would be the other at 4.6, so there aren’t any obvious parallels besides Eloy having to hit like JDM to be around 6. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=y&type=8&season=2018&month=0&season1=2018&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=19,d So one of five great offensive players in all of baseball...and having to equal JD Martinez. Not a high bar or standard, at all.
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Except he’s likely to be worse than Harper defensively and won’t pick up many assists either, which is how Avi made his defensive stats look much better than the overall reality of Avi in RF taking terrible routes and getting bad or late jumps. Who are these hitters with more than -10 defense who still ended up with 5+ fWAR numbers?
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Seems like one of the only solutions on the pitching front is a trade, if we’re unwilling to pay for Sale, Verlander, Cole... Buy out Greinke’s deal, something like $96 million remaining. 10.8 fWAR in the NL West over the last three years, 3.6 average. 3.6 x 9= $32.4 million of value Jameson Fisher and Yolmer/Leury for assuming remainder of Greinke deal? Much more realistically, Chris Archer would be 10 fWAR=3.33 3.33 x 9=$30 million of value $7.5 million salary in 2019, two options valued at $8.25 million for both 2020/21, $24 million total for next three years (age 30-32) $1.75 million 2020 buyout What would the Pirates need in return to make this work? Syndegaard I’m pretty sure with three years, deGrom’s two years make no logical sense without Machado/Harper. Cost would be Jimenez+...not sure they would accept Robert, Cease and Madrigal....and that would wipe out three core pieces of the rebuild that have to be above average major leaguers, anyway.
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Probably by striking out at a much closer rate to his walks, for one. In the minors, 59 bb vs. 87 k’s. Jimenez is 117 vs. 310, for one. In 2014 and 15, his walk and k rates were very similar, in fact. In his 9.3 season, 77.7 offense vs. -10.2 defensively.
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Why so much money if Jimenez’s fWAR is always going to be limited to the 3.5-4.5 range but Machado could easily come close to doubling that production and is a completely proven commodity?
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Entirely different bidding circumstances and Lat Am signing pool consequences for a player at Robert's age.
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Unless you count the 3 million fans from 2007. How many of those bottom 10 franchises have neared the 3 million mark? Maybe 2-2.5 million, or closer to 3 in first year of a new ballpark. We're also going to end up with a Top 5-7 media/broadcasting rights deal in terms of overall revenues (local/national/MLBAM) if Hahn and Williams don't f$%k it up too badly before they have to renegotiate yet again in another five years down the line (2024).
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The ONE signing that sort of made sense....at that price, and if he can get back to the 93-95 MPH range.
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Iowa might not even beat Illinois...lost 5/6, trailing at halftime 7 of last 8. Had five of those go down to last second miracle shots. At least Nebraska followed up the rally from 47-31 down and 8-9 in the final minute. Almost hope we lose again, to get a 7/10 matchup instead of 8/9, as you’re much unlikelier to take out a #1 with that Iowa roster. Need a #2 to get upset.
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Sox Therapy Thread-Enter at your own risk
caulfield12 replied to Jack Parkman's topic in Pale Hose Talk
That was actually the unofficial ending of Disco Demolition Night, just didn’t get printed out formally on the pocket promotional schedules. Plus, that used to happen about once a month in the hotel windows overlooking Skydome/Rogers. -
Chris Correa, banned for life.
