Everything posted by caulfield12
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Trayce Thompson/Montas
http://espn.go.com/mlb/team/stats/batting/...eveland-indians The Indians currently have 3 regulars over an 800 OPS. The key difference is in that 750-800 OPS range, which is where the majority of the team sit. http://espn.go.com/mlb/team/stats/batting/...S/texas-rangers The Rangers also have 3, not including Choo, who has been injured, and role players. Can also see that grouping of 750-800, minus the struggles from Fielder and Moreland to a lesser extent.
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The Second Wildcard
QUOTE (flavum @ Jun 26, 2016 -> 05:46 PM) Tor 41-36 -- KC 39-35 0.5 Hou 39-37 1.5 Sea 38-38 2.5 Sox 38-38 2.5 Det 38-38 2.5 NY 37-37 2.5 This week: Blue Jays - 3 at Col, 4 vs Cle Royals - 2 vs StL, 2 at StL, 3 at Phi Astros - 3 at LAA, 3 vs Chi Mariners - 2 vs Pit, 4 vs Bal White Sox - 3 vs Min, 3 at Hou Tigers - 2 vs Mia, 4 at TB Yankees - 4 vs Tex, 3 at SD Need NL teams to help us out, and the Sox to win 5 games this week. 5 of 6 with Sale only starting one of those games is really pushing it. Would just be happy with 4-2, with 3-3 the most likely scenario.
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Tim Anderson
A/A+ based on the position he was thrust into...to be the spark of the offense as a rookie, AND hitting leadoff, AND playing the most important position on the field other than catcher B+/A- based on actual performance, defense a lot better than advertised but the walks and inability (so far) to adjust to breaking balls and pitches out of the zone are the only significant concerns at the moment
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Of course Todd Frazier is hitting under .200
QUOTE (ptatc @ Jun 26, 2016 -> 05:31 PM) Someone posted an article in another thread showing that he has changed his swing. He now swings with more of an upper cut. This would cause the increased pop up rate and decreased line drives. I still think there is something about Comiskey that gets these guys to try to lift everything for a HR and really messes with them. Yeah, the Washington Post had a detailed article about it maybe 2-3 weeks ago. Can't remember where I posted it now. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fancy-s...en-a-nose-dive/ Here it is again.
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Trayce Thompson/Montas
QUOTE (soxforlife05 @ Jun 26, 2016 -> 05:33 PM) That was a big part of the reason why I was ok with trading Trayce for Frazier in the offseason. Late season callup who likely wasn't paid attention to much by scouts until the very end of the season. He's been a little better than advertised this season, but I think it would be a stretch to expect him to outperform his AAA numbers unless he miraculously figures things out. http://www.thebaseballcube.com/players/pro...Trayce-Thompson A 748 career minor league OPS and those K numbers over an extended number of minor league seasons...pretty doubtful you'd find many historical examples of someone out OPSing their MILB totals by 150 basis points, although that's what has happened for roughly one half of a full MLB season now. Jose Iglesias did it with DET for one year, but has since returned back to earth.
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Trayce Thompson/Montas
QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Jun 26, 2016 -> 05:26 PM) Hecor Santiago 5,27 ERA and loves to give up the long ball, not a good match with the White Sox. A genius Hahn trade. You can read the current Paul Sullivan article at the Chicago Tribune and write in a letter to the editor to defend his true "genuis" if you like. In some ways, they were fortunate to have acquired Jackson, because we never would have found out Eaton is one of the top 3 RFers in baseball without that move. I think most everyone has been shocked by how good his throwing arm plays from there, as compared to center.
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Trayce Thompson/Montas
They were just talking about it on the Astros' broadcast, about how Tyler White was Rookie of the Month in April and then the rest of the league adjusted and he couldn't adjust back. The book on Anderson is quickly becoming he can hit a fastball...but surely he will start seeing a steady diet of breaking pitches, even when ahead in the count. We're also seeing that readjustment period with Trayce...the pattern (twice now) has been a white hot month, followed by a 500ish OPS. Extremely streaky.
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The Second Wildcard
The problem with the WC equation now is the Astros...they are on a 22-9 run right now, and have a plentiful minor league system to draw from to make more moves at the deadline. So that leaves Boston/Balt/Toronto/NYY...KC/DET/CHW...and then the Astros and Mariners fighting for two spots. It certainly doesn't feel like we have a 2/8 chance of making it right now, more like 1/2 that, maybe 12.5%. With Cleveland playing the Braves, the division lead is likely to widen even further this week. Theoretically, we should take 2/3 from the Twins, but then we've got the Astros. Royals and Cardinals play 2 and 2, home and away.
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Pearce and Norris
What are you willing to give up for Reddick and Vogt? That's putting a lot of eggs in one basket, but at least it's a direction....not just standing pat. If Hahn wants to save his job, he's going to have to argue for a move like that or there's no way they're going to compete for a wild card spot.
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Of course Todd Frazier is hitting under .200
QUOTE (Steve9347 @ Jun 26, 2016 -> 09:34 AM) Why do we have such s*** luck with these farm boys? If Adam Dunn could've consistently hit .240, he'd have been great. Frazier has 21 bombs which is awesome, but hitting .199 is unacceptable. It just feels like the Sox are snake bitten lately. No one needs Todd to hit .320, but .199? Dammit what the f***!! Joe Crede and Mark Buehrle were farm boys, as well. So was Jim Thome. Don't think that's the common thread, unless we want to start arguing Mike Trout came from a farm, too.
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Trayce Thompson/Montas
Yeah, Anderson still doesn't have a walk but has a pretty decent OPS considering all of it is coming from BA and XBH. Chris Devenski has a 2.26 ERA for the suddenly white-hot Astros, now pitching out of their pen. He would definitely be a help to the current Sox struggles in middle relief. Don Cooper also doesn't get much credit for Hector Santiago (ironically, gave up Semien's 14th homer today as I was writing), but he was one of his biggest advocates in the beginning, particularly about being a successful starter at the MLB level. But yeah, it has been a long time since the days of Reed/Santos/Nate Jones or even Marte/Thornton/Jenks. 2012 was the last season IMO that Cooper was a really good pitching coach (especially the pen that year), extracting the most from all of those rookie pitchers. Addison Reed, somewhat surprisingly after AZ, has become a mainstay and 8th inning set-up guy for the Mets.
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Rick Hahn
http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/colum...625-column.html Paul Sullivan one of the first local Chicago media members to turn the accusing finger at Hahn.
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**2016 Films Thread**
Independence Day wasn't quite terrible, would put it in Batman vs. Superman territory. Really missed Will Smith and Randy Quaid, the younger actors were capable but nothing really stood out. Obviously, it was mostly about the special effects/CGI we've seen about 50 times now in disaster movies, going back to the original ID in the 90's. Nice to see Jeff Boldblum and Judd Hirsch again. And that damn spaceship was so out of scale huge that it just was TOO much.
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Brexit
QUOTE (Y2HH @ Jun 25, 2016 -> 08:27 PM) This is Bogelite investing 101. I agree with it to a degree, but I disagree about not being able to win via individual stocks. While I wouldn't put all my money on one, I've done really well picking safe bargain plays over the years with a high number of individual stocks. I've missed on some that I never bought because their fundamentals didn't add up too me, but it's not like I lost money since I never bought them. I've lost on a few, don't get me wrong, but I've made far more than I've lost. I also know what I'm doing, and that being said, I'm not an insider...I just didn't chase the million dollar dream when I was fine with making thousands. And that's the mistake most make...they chase dreams and turn investing into gambling. I think another mistake people in their 20's and 30's make it thinking they HAVE to discover the "next big thing," some tech company in Silicon Valley that's going to change the world and the way in which we live. Like Theranos, although that's obviously a privately-held one. Instead, it would have been easier just to have picked a blue chip company like Johnson & Johnson that manufactures products everyone understands (another Buffet idea, don't invest in something you can't explain in one minute or less) and has had a great rate of return for the last 20-25 years or so.
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Trayce Thompson/Montas
Haha...well, I'm not even sure how to feel about it. On one hand, we were hoping against hope that Trayce would prove immune somehow to being dragged back into alignment with his minor league numbers...that, just magically, something had clicked and he'd taken his game to the next level. If the White Sox could have produced an All-Star position player, even with another team in another league, it would almost have been heartening. It would have sucked, too, knowing another team was enjoying the benefit of his cheap, cost-controlled services, but it would have been a huge positive sign for the farm system, some type of indicator things were "ticking" up. Obviously, Hahn wasn't GM when Trayce was picked, it was part of a KW drafting athletic trend (Mitchell/Walker, Mike Jacobs from th Red Sox, etc.) Montas out another 4-8 weeks after missing three months (February-April)...PTAC alarmed http://www.truebluela.com/2016/6/24/120265...odgers-4-8-weks
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Trayce Thompson/Montas
And ultimately, the problem lies with the timing. Market's not developed yet, and we've got three teams ahead of us in the standings all equally or more motivated to make moves to improve themselves, the Royals in particular with their starting pitching at the back end (easier fix than an 800+ OPS hitter or a solid 7th/8th inning set-up guy). That doesn't even count Boston, Toronto, NY Yankees, Baltimore, the Rangers (need starting pitching with Colby Lewis out and two other pitchers with uncertain status, including Darvish) and Mariners and POSSIBLY the Angels, although we're close to the point where they can be called "dead in the water" with all their issues. If it's NOT the Rangers or the Red Sox, the Astros might be the best team in the AL right now and they're also looking to improve their weaknesses. Finally, Tim Lincecum, two days ago, went 3 IP, 7 hits, 4 ER, 2 BB, 2 K's and took a loss against the A's (high pitch count victim). Marcus Semien hit his 13th homer for the winning side and is hovering around the batting average we expected out of Todd Frazier in the AL.
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Trayce Thompson/Montas
Thompson has finally fallen below the mythical 800 OPS number this year, and his average is nearing the .230's. Career OPS still of 839, but the real Trayce is returning, PROBABLY. Plus with Puig back from DL/Pederson/Van Slyke/Hernandez/Venable and eventually Ethier...he's going to fall back to a bench/PH/spot starter role. And, according to DA, Montas broke some more ribs/had a setback.
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Brexit
In terms of winning on individual stocks vs. insiders/institutional investors, there's no way Joe the Plumber can win. It's like Las Vegas or Macau. If we're talking about no-load mutual funds, like Vanguard/Oakmark/Legg Mason/Fidelity, etc., that's fine. Simple rules, 100 minus your age should be in stocks/mutual funds/equities, the rest in bonds. No more than 10% of your money in any one stock/company. Hedge your investments with a small amount of gold/precious metals. No more than 25-30% (tops) going into real estate/mortgage. Living here in China, there's no way in hell I would trust Alibaba, Baidu or any of the SOE's in terms of their numbers...no numbers can be trusted by banks, the government or individual companies. I invested in 500 shares of Tencent and 300 into Taiwan Semiconductor, but that's it, having lived here five years. Everything else is in a basket of mutual funds and individual companies that pay higher dividends, like phone/utility and energy companies...with some gold (Gold Line is a total ripoff, that's one company my father got tricked by) coins, stamps, baseball cards, but mostly in mutual funds (75%) and 25% in individual stocks through Edward Jones (I make all the trades, never have let them buy a single thing, I make all the stock picking and selling decisions).
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2016 AL Central catch-all thread
It's almost an exact "Interstellar" ending moment... May 6th, White Sox 23-10 and up 6-7-8 games on the Indians, Royals and Tigers. Here we are, six weeks later, everything's inverted (maybe upside down Inception influence, too)....Cleveland up 5-6-7 on the Royals, Tigers and White Sox. 13 games lost in the standings. Almost the exact same as the 2005 White Sox in August/Sept 2005, except those White Sox were still above .500 and the Indians were just on an ungodly tear of almost .800 baseball. Royals have to trade for another 4th starter or they're toast. Chris Young is simply killing them. Volquez was rocked the night before. Tigers also can't afford to stand pat while waiting for JD Martinez to return.
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Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays 6/25/16
QUOTE (greg775 @ Jun 25, 2016 -> 04:21 PM) That's what the score should be when you hit 7 home runs. Only the Sox can turn a seven-home run day into something worth mocking on Sports Center. If Ynoa keeps pitching like that I'm gonna scream, "Oh No" when he gets the call. The Sox haven't taken the field with the desire to fight in many years, starting with the days of Ozzie's Sunday lineups. He was conceding those Sunday games and we've conceded a lot since (and I worshipped Oz but that was a head scratcher). But resting those players in the first four months of 2005 is ONE of the reasons they survived that September charge from CLE. And look what happened the final two months of 2006. Guillen knew how to get the best out of his bench players and bullpen.
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Brexit
That said, as far as SS goes...how many Americans can really be trusted to manage their own investments, if they just ended that program (more than likely, phased out) and privatized it? 25%? Is it even that high? Do we want the government actively investing that money in the stock market (like here in China) to go for a higher rate of return instead of Treasuries/bonds? It's also an area a lot of people don't learn enough about (money management, in general) in either high school or college.
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Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays 6/25/16
QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Jun 25, 2016 -> 04:13 PM) Dan Jennings, the guy you wanted replaced with Brian Duensing, has a 1.45 ERA his last 56 innings. I kind of think having Jeff Banister, Ian Desmond and Duensing would trump your Ubaldo Jimenez, Jennings, Gordon Beckham, future HoF Robin Ventura and John Danks.
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Pearce and Norris
It's incredibly unfortunate we didn't have anyone to trade for Ozuna of the Marlins. He's quietly having a great season. Having him in CF would have solved so many problems. We'd be that DH bat short still. But a big what if for many teams. Michael Saunders. Trumbo. Desmond. Asdrubal Cabrera. Napoli. Daniel Murphy. Jay Bruce. Braun. Beltran. CarGo. Fowler. Zobrist. Wil Myers. Lucroy. Longoria. Blackmon. F. Freeman. Reynolds. Neil Walker. Votto. Chris Carter. Luis Valbuena. Jean Segura. Yunel Escobar. Kris Davis. Matt Kemp. Martin Prado. John Jaso. Rajai Davis. John Jay. Aaron Hill. Melvin Upton. Colby Rasmus. Chase Utley. Justin Bour. Surely, Rick Hahn could have picked from ONE of those names.
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Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays 6/25/16
QUOTE (Soxfest @ Jun 25, 2016 -> 03:59 PM) Hopefully Ventura will be unavailable Sunday Doesn't he have any more daughters he can attend graduations for on the West Coast?
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Chicago White Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays 6/25/16
QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Jun 25, 2016 -> 03:56 PM) On the bright side Beck looked good. It is laughable some here are blaming Ventura. People were calling for Ynoa yesterday. He was the only reliever to allow runs today. Coop has done a hell of a job with his rotation. Nicely done, now you're on Cooper's side, lol. Fine, Jennings has been pretty good, but he still doesn't 100% have Ventura's trust in games when the Sox are leading or in the 7th/8th innings unless he's already had to use Duke and then game conditions force him to also use Jennings. And the splits don't dictate pitching Jennings as a loogy. I'm done picking on Ventura. There's no point. Joe McCarthy or Miller Huggins couldn't win the AL Central with this current roster.