If Wiscy gets down 10 early, I don't think they can muster a comeback like the one against NC State. We hear about tempo being important in almost every ballgame now but never has it been more true than for this one. We saw UNC's inability to produce consistently in the half-court even with May down low. We also saw how they can rain threes in the transition game.
Like Pearl said before the Illini game, if they're in it after the first 10 minutes, they'll be in it the whole game.