Feeky Magee

QUOTE (hi8is @ Apr 9, 2017 -> 04:41 PM) Serious question... from a somewhat stat n00b... How does one have a batting average on balls in play below their batting average? It doesn't count home runs, because it's a way to determine how lucky a player is getting on his balls in play being turned into outs, and home runs can't be turned into outs.

QUOTE (fathom @ Apr 7, 2017 -> 07:43 PM) Average below .250. Not looking like a first round pick. BABIP of .209, hitting .255/.488/.582, 22 walks, 8 strikeouts.

QUOTE (Chicago White Sox @ Apr 9, 2017 -> 11:32 AM) I agree with most of your list. However, Kevan Smith turns 29 this season and was recently taken off the 40 man roster. I don't see his value improving much this year. And I think Eddy Alvarez is incredibly overrated around here. His upside is reserve infielder IMO and as a 27 year old speed guy he's simply running out of time. Both Smith and Alvarez were late to baseball, so their ages come with something of a caveat. And I think both might surprise and make the majors this season, and produce positive WAR. That would qualify for improved value. And reserve infielder would be something for Alvarez considering he's not in any of the top 30 lists (admittedly his Birmingham assignment is a blow for that prediction).

Zack Collins 0-0, 2 BB

Not a breakout prospect per se but here's a list of players I think will be thought of more highly at the end of the year than they are now: Starting pitchers: Jordan Stephens, Dane Dunning Relievers: Aaron Bummer, Matt Cooper, Brian Clark Hitters: Eddy Alvarez, Nicky Delmonico, Danny Hayes, Jameson Fisher, Alex Call, Kevan Smith

Eddy Alvarez works an 0-2 count to 3-2 before lining a double. #RookieOfTheYear

QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Mar 28, 2017 -> 01:40 PM) A 31 year old with a velocity jump? Sounds suspicious to me. Article says he's added it over the past few years, coinciding with his rise in strikeouts: QUOTE (Feeky Magee @ Mar 28, 2017 -> 01:05 PM) Swarzak's velocity has been spiking over the last few years

QUOTE (Feeky Magee @ Mar 25, 2017 -> 11:40 AM) I obviously didn't go back over the rest of his career because if the rest of his career had been like that, he wouldn't have been available to the Sox. Maybe he changed something. Seems that he's simply added velocity.

QUOTE (Tony @ Mar 27, 2017 -> 10:11 PM) Rays have agreed to acquire Peter Bourjos from #WhiteSox for cash, according to two baseball sources. @DanHayes ... Curt Cashali?

Some guy is posting on Twitter that it's done, fwiw, and it's so minor I can't see someone lying about it. Adam Baird‏ @BastardlyAdam 4 minutes ago @TBTimes_Rays @Ry_Bass deal is done. Adam Baird‏ @BastardlyAdam 4 minutes ago @TBTimes_Rays @Ry_Bass I just texted his sister. He flys tomorrow. Hoping we can get Curt Casali for him. Redundant for the Rays now that they have Norris as well as Ramos and has mashed at stages in the minors and majors (also been awful at times and has consistently struck out a lot in the majors). Decent defensive rep too.

QUOTE (miracleon35th @ Mar 25, 2017 -> 05:41 PM) *If the decision for the last spots for position players on the 25 man roster came down to picking between player A and player B this is Iwhat I might decide: Bourjos v May - I'd go out on a limb and take May. Sox will probably take Bourjos. I'm fine either way. Asche v Avi Garcia = I'd take Asche and release Avi. Asche has more home run potential and I'm just kind of tired of Avi. Davidson v Delmonico - I'd take Delmonico and say goodbye to Davidson. Tough call there though. Yolmar Sanchez vs Leury Garcia Coin toss. I'd like to have both of them on the roster if possible. Any possible long shots? Danny Hayes? Kevan Smith? Probably not. Don't think it'll happen because of options but Danny Hayes has more of a chance at being something at DH than Matt Davidson imo. People sleep on Hayes a bit. .283/.381/.440 in A-ball. .248/.388/.360 in AA. Then the power came. .250/.358/.489 in AAA.

QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Mar 25, 2017 -> 12:13 PM) I doubt he makes the team for the 40 man roster's sake alone. Good chance he doesn't, but we'll have people up and down from Charlotte all year long.

QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Mar 25, 2017 -> 11:59 AM) No mention of his Korean League stint in 2015. He is on a minor league contract. The guy sucks. I was just pulling off Fangraphs, which didn't include that. I assumed he was injured. He probably won't amount to much, but he's at least intriguing. I got heat as well for saying Putnam could be something when the Sox picked him off the scrapheap, looking at his K:BB from similar samples, despite a pretty gaudy ERA. Swarzak isn't as intriguing, given his long history of bleh, but as I said maybe he changed something. It's at least worth a topic with one of the beat writers saying he has a shot of making the team.

QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Mar 25, 2017 -> 11:18 AM) You blew off his minor league numbers in 2015, focused on 13 innings in the major leagues. Used FIP for minor league numbers last year, but used SiERRA for his major league number, I am guessing because his FIP was over 6.00.. And are using spring training stats in games that don't count against AA players this year, and pretty much blew off the rest of the 31 year olds career. They are as cherry picked as can be. The reason this guy hasn't been optioned is because he already is a minor leaguer. His last 44 1/3 MLB innings he has 44 strikeouts. Other than that, he's pretty much been meat. Try again, Dick. I didn't blow off his 2015 minor numbers, he only had 5 innings pitched (5 strikeouts, a walk and 2 runs, if you're interested). I'll always use SIERA if it's available, I used FIP because SIERA or xFIP isn't available for the minor leagues. I don't particularly like FIP when you have such a clear outlier of a HR/FB. I obviously didn't go back over the rest of his career because if the rest of his career had been like that, he wouldn't have been available to the Sox. Maybe he changed something. And FYI he's still with the Sox because the Sox like him.

QUOTE (GreenSox @ Mar 25, 2017 -> 08:17 AM) Those stats are a lot better than some of the other high K guys they have picked up like Kahnle (who they actually traded for). The K BB numbers seem better than the ERA. I wonder what the problem is - homer prone? His ERA spike last year seems to be mostly due to a fairly ridiculous 27.8% homer per fly ball rate (career 9.7%). QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Mar 25, 2017 -> 08:23 AM) Tommy Kahnle is better than this dope. And the stats couldn't be more cherry picked. They're cherry-picked to the extent that they're the first stats I look for in a reliever, in addition to GB% (which he's average at). Tommy Kahnle can't throw strikes, which is probably the reason why Kahnle got optioned to AAA while Swarzak is still with the team.

Reliever who got a minor-league deal/spring training invite from the Sox. 2015 MLB with the Twins: 8.78 K/9, 2.70 BB/9, 3.38 ERA, 3.32 SIERA 2016 AAA with the Yankees: 8.29 K/9, 1.54 BB/9, 3.86 ERA, 2.96 FIP 2016 MLB with the Yankees: 9.00 K/9, 2.03 BB/9, 5.52 ERA, 3.21 SIERA 2017 Spring Training with the Sox: 11.6 K/9, 1.9 BB/9, 3.86 ERA, 2.58 FIP Interesting pick-up.

Brian Clark's gonna be a good major league reliever imo

Worth remembering that Nicky Delmonico ranks as the #93 prospect in baseball on the stats-only version of the KATOH prospect projection system on Fangraphs: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/katohs-2017...-100-prospects/

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Garrett Stubbs Garrett Stubbs Garrett Stubbs Garrett Stubbs Garrett Stubbs Garrett Stubbs

QUOTE (Chicago White Sox @ Jan 6, 2017 -> 11:39 PM) How well has KATOH with their rankings? Has Fangraphs done a post-audit on the system? It's only been around for a year or so I think. Not sure if it can be used to retroactively rank prospects.

Not seeing too much of Derek Fisher's name but he'd definitely be a name I'd be targeting. Projects as the #33 prospect in baseball per Fangraphs' KATOH statistical projection system (highest Astro aside from Bregman), in 2016 hit .245/.373/.431 at AA and .290/.347/.505 at AAA. Probably limited to left-field but a plus runner.

Eddy Alvarez, followed by Eddy Alvarez, then Eddy Alvarez, also Brian Clark, Nick Delmonico and Adam Engel but mainly Eddy Alvarez.

QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jan 6, 2017 -> 04:13 PM) Exactly. If he really had a demand, he wouldn't need to make the team, his money would be guaranteed. Orrrr Dan Hayes' reporting is right and they're doing it for 40-man-related reasons. Soto is making the roster bar him literally dying. It's the Rollins deal all over again. QUOTE (bmags @ Jan 6, 2017 -> 04:13 PM) I kinda cooled on him after a poster said in person he's the size of a jack in the box taco. Meh. He can be the size of Eddie Gaedel if he hits like that and receives as reported. Taller catchers tend to have big problems in framing.

I'll repeat my polite request from a couple of weeks ago: if we're dealing Quintana to the Astros can we please include C Garrett Stubbs in the return? Rated highly defensively (former Pac-12 Defensive Player of the Year), hit .325/.401/.517 at AA last year and is reasonably far enough down their prospects lists that you wouldn't think he'd be a deal-breaker.