And because we're living in a poorly written political thriller...

 

http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2017/12/i...court_rule.html

 

Alabama's Secretary of State, who believes you have to earn the right to vote, got an injunction filed so that he can destroy voting records from tonight. He also went to Russia last year to observe their elections and had glowing reviews.

 

Somehow, that is not an Onion article.

 

Are we sure he didn’t go there with Sessions?

 

Who funded that trip, exactly? What could possibly be gained from such a junket that would be of value to taxpayers?

*whispers to self* please don't look at exits please don't look at exits *clicks link to exit poll*

 

 

Moore supposedly needed at least 27% African American turnout to win. The women’s vote seems just as important, especially anyone close to independent/moderate. They all have to break towards Jones.

 

 

Nearly six in 10 voters for Democrat Doug Jones were black in these preliminary exit polls

Nine in 10 Moore voters were white. A slim majority of voters for Moore were white men.

 

(Three in 10 voters in this election are black in these initial results, a number that can change as more results come in throughout the night. That portion is on par with presidential elections in 2008 and 2012.)

 

Voters continue to be nearly evenly divided on a host of questions about the two candidates in Tuesday's election.

 

Alabamians are evenly split on whether they view Jones favorably, while Moore’s favorability rating is underwater by double digits in preliminary exit polling. CNN.com

Edited December 12, 20178 yr by caulfield12

Trump really put himself in a tough spot with this one. If Moore wins, he will take full credit, and would one really want to? If he loses, he campaigned for Moore opponent in the primary and lost, then campaigned for Moore, another loss would make him a loser. Sad.

 

I think he ultimately loses either way.

Trump really put himself in a tough spot with this one. If Moore wins, he will take full credit, and would one really want to?

Yes.

Yes.

Tonight is a win for Dems regardless of the outcome. Moore will be a political albatross for the GOP.

Exit polls, which mean nothing, have black turnout at 30%.

McConnell's in an even tougher situation if Moore wins, because it puts nearly every GOP Senator into a potential primary (against Darth Bannon), even in states like South Dakota, Nebraska and Utah.

 

Arizona (Flake's seat), Nevada (Heller) and Mississippi (Wicker) are going to be thrown into chaos if ultra-right wing candidates emerge there. Then you've got Corker's seat in TN and Ted Cruz/Beto O'Rourke as well in TX.

 

The odds would still have to be about 75% in favor of the GOP holding the majority, with the Dems having 3X more seats being contested and having to win ALL those toss-ups like McCaskill, Manchin (WV), Donnelly, Heitkamp and Tester. 8 seats for GOP, 23 for Dems.

With a whopping 1 percent in, Jones leads 321 to 103.

 

Shiiiit. In a normal off-off-year election, that might be the entirety of ballots cast.

Turnout expected to be around 25%.

 

Jones has been trending well with indicators like white college-educated women voters and chipping off 20% of moderate/liberal Republicans....but he's still behind by 1.5% with 5 per cent in so far.

Down 9.8% now...going in the wrong direction quickly in the last 10-15 minutes.

 

He has to sweep across those 9 majority African-American counties in the bottom 1/3rd of the state.

Edited December 13, 20178 yr by caulfield12

America won’t fail to disappoint.

-3.6% Tightening again.

 

With all the positives about Alabama in recent years, Mercedes-Benz, aerospace industry, Univ. of Alabama and Auburn both trending in a positive direction academically...had perhaps unjustified higher hopes compared to what we're seeing right now.

Edited December 13, 20178 yr by caulfield12

8:15pm CST, Jones has a 65% chance of working via NYT

 

77% now, 8:17

Of winning?

I’ll say this, him losing this race will be an even bigger embarrassment for Republicans who supported this pervert/pedophile.

Sorry, yes.

 

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/a...WT.nav=top-news

Please let this come to fruition.

dat needle doe

NYT seems to think that the majority of remaining votes go for Jones. They have 69% Jones winning. Nice.

77% Jones

Jones votes rolling in and its down to a 0.4% current Moore lead on NYT. They have Jones back up to 77%.

This is a nail biter

Jones leading.

You know, if Moore loses this, that will be two candidates that Trump backed in Alabama would have failed. He campaigned for Luther Strange against Moore and Strange(of course) lost.

Damn. Roll Tide.

Alabama people, you done good

Fake News called it too. I am shocked. Utterly shocked.

Fraudulent, illegal votes pay off for the dems. This must be investigated. Sad.