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2020 Election Thoughts

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19 minutes ago, Chicago White Sox said:

Based on my math (which could be wrong at this point), Philadelphia alone could add 600k votes for Biden.  Detroit will eventually flip towards Biden.  Wisconsin is a cone flip at this point.  If Biden can hold in Arizona, I like our chances.

This is true. 1million early ballots not counted yet in PA (nothing from Philly) and the same for Wayne County in Michigan. 

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This is the worst case scenario.

President Donald Trump railed against the Supreme Court on Monday for its decision to allow an extended count of Pennsylvania mail-in ballots postmarked by Election Day, tweeting that doing so would lead to violent unrest in the country.

I think this will come down to PA/WI/MI

For Biden's campaign I think you rank for likely to win as 1) PA, 2) MI and 3) WI.

There is going to a massive influx of blue votes in the coming days, I’m still optimistic but we’ll obviously have to see how this all shakes out

Really need to Arizona to flip

Its crazy to me they wait to count the votes. How have they not come up with a better system?

Trump slipping to -165 on Bovada.

Just now, Chicago White Sox said:

There is going to a massive influx of blue votes in the coming days, I’m still optimistic but we’ll obviously have to see how this all shakes out

Really need to Arizona to flip

Many places are calling AZ. VA looks like its shifting back too.

IMO the entire point of a Biden candidacy was to win PA.

1 minute ago, BigHurt3515 said:

Its crazy to me they wait to count the votes. How have they not come up with a better system?

GOP won't allow the change to happen to start counting early votes early.

Just now, BigHurt3515 said:

Its crazy to me they wait to count the votes. How have they not come up with a better system?

Every state has their own rules. State legislatures are really a mixed bag.

Just now, Soxbadger said:

Many places are calling AZ. VA looks like its shifting back too.

IMO the entire point of a Biden candidacy was to win PA.

The 2M main-in votes could represent an 800k influx for Biden, I still have a ton of faith there.

Just now, Soxbadger said:

Every state has their own rules. State legislatures are really a mixed bag.

The GOP controls 29 state legislatures at last count.

Just now, southsider2k5 said:

Trump slipping to -165 on Bovada.

Bovada sucks; they don't have anyone gambling there with a clue since they booted them.

Bookmaker dropped down to +126 though for Biden. Pinnacle still sitting at +225.

400k ballots still to count in DC metro in VA.

Similar counting problem in GA.

Just now, southsider2k5 said:

400k ballots still to count in DC metro in VA.

Similar counting problem in GA.

Did I hear someone say they have lost 300k ballots in PA? THe USPS?

WUHHHHTT

Just now, southsider2k5 said:

400k ballots still to count in DC metro in VA.

Similar counting problem in GA.

Was about to say that it looks like Biden may have a backdoor chance with Georgia. 

Just now, Look at Ray Ray Run said:

Did I hear someone say they have lost 300k ballots in PA? THe USPS?

WUHHHHTT

I believe a federal judge order that they all be found.  He was the same judge who is on the Flynn case and hasnt allowed DOJ to drop case against Flynn.

8 minutes ago, BigHurt3515 said:

Its crazy to me they wait to count the votes. How have they not come up with a better system?

Idk if you noticed or not, but there has never been an election like this

Just now, Soxbadger said:

I believe a federal judge order that they all be found.  He was the same judge who is on the Flynn case and hasnt allowed DOJ to drop case against Flynn.

I don't know how you can order someone to find something they are claiming they lost hahah

like... what if they don't find them? Do those people get to vote again? Do they know whose votes were lost?

19 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:

This is the worst case scenario.

Arizona is looking like it might flip - which creates an opportunity (even without Pennsylvania). But you need to get the 1 district in Nebraska, win all the states you expect plus take Wisconsin and I think that gets Biden to 270.  This is going to be tight - but the AZ news is probably the first shred of news for Biden backers thus far since polls have closed.  

MI/PA/VA/WI/GA have millions of votes hanging uncounted.  This was the GOP plan.  They blocked the counting as much as they could, and next will try to push this into the Supreme Court.

Just now, Chisoxfn said:

Arizona is looking like it might flip - which creates an opportunity (even without Pennsylvania). But you need to get the 1 district in Nebraska, win all the states you expect plus take Wisconsin and I think that gets Biden to 270.  This is going to be tight - but the AZ news is probably the first shred of news for Biden backers thus far since polls have closed.  

gets him to 269-269

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