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Predict the White Sox win total 2025


Predict Sox win totals  

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  1. 1. Sox 2025 win total



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I apparently voted for 45 ~ 48 wins.

I’m quite pleased so far with the team’s record, and even more pleased that it seems like there is some sort of cohesion and thought surrounding player development.

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The White Sox were 7-23 (.230) on the morning of May 1st. I believe that since then, they have swapped out better rookies and injured vets for guys like Jankowski, Vaughn and Amaya. Since 5/1, the Sox have played 16-21 (.420) baseball. 

If we assume that while swapping out better prospects for slumping regulars (Sosa/Monty for Capra, Fletcher for Palacios), they continue at a .420 pace, that would be a record of 17-25 in the remaining games before the TDL, or a 40-69 record on the morning of 8/1. 

I'm going to say the Sox decimate their bullpen, and maybe trade Houser and Davis, so that maybe they'll limp along for the rest of the season at the .230 pace they played through 4/30. That would be a 12-41 record the rest of the way, finishing 52-110. 

However, if their lineup and bullpen is fundamentally improved by prospects and play at a slightly better 19-32 (.333) pace, that leaves them at 59-101 on the season. 

This would probably mean their rotation is some grouping of Burke, Cannon, Vasil, Scholtens, Clevenger, Owen White, Evan McKendrie, and Tyler Schweitzer. Maybe Riley Gowens or even Jake Palisch get a shot at starts in the last 2 months. 

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  • 2 weeks later...

Update:

At the start of the year, I told myself the Sox need to win 5 out of every 16 games to get to 50 wins (and then they’d still have two games to spare). So I will break the season into ten different 16-game chunks. I’ll update every time we finish another 16 games. Here are the results:

  1. 4-12
  2. 5-11
  3. 5-11
  4. 7-9
  5. 4-12

Total:  25-55, on pace for 51 wins. 

Halfway there, and they’ve won exactly 5 out of every 16 games. 

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1 hour ago, SoxBlanco said:

Update:

At the start of the year, I told myself the Sox need to win 5 out of every 16 games to get to 50 wins (and then they’d still have two games to spare). So I will break the season into ten different 16-game chunks. I’ll update every time we finish another 16 games. Here are the results:

  1. 4-12
  2. 5-11
  3. 5-11
  4. 7-9
  5. 4-12

Total:  25-55, on pace for 51 wins. 

Halfway there, and they’ve won exactly 5 out of every 16 games. 

#4 is definitely looking like the outlier.  Pretty consistent in every other 16 game stretch.

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12 hours ago, SoxBlanco said:

Update:

At the start of the year, I told myself the Sox need to win 5 out of every 16 games to get to 50 wins (and then they’d still have two games to spare). So I will break the season into ten different 16-game chunks. I’ll update every time we finish another 16 games. Here are the results:

  1. 4-12
  2. 5-11
  3. 5-11
  4. 7-9
  5. 4-12

Total:  25-55, on pace for 51 wins. 

Halfway there, and they’ve won exactly 5 out of every 16 games. 

5 out of 16 is not a lot to accomplish but this could get uglier as some of these guys hit inning pitched that they've never reached before.

I used to think it would get bad when Roberts was traded but at this point trading him could be an upgrade.

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3 hours ago, Sox guy said:

I predict 56 wins.  3 straight 100L seasons like the 2010s Stros.

 

Who then proceeded to have 3 straight 100W seasons a few years later

Can't see that happening under any circumstances if you are trying to hint at a connection.

Just having a winning season with 82 wins would be a miracle right now.  

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19 hours ago, Lip Man 1 said:

if you are trying to hint at a connection.

Of course.  If their 3 straight 100L seasons led to 2 titles, then the same will happen to us.  

 

Seriously, tho, I'm optimistic for the future.  Gray skies will clear up, no doubt.  I predicted on reddit in 2021 that the Sox will be the Team of the 2020s.  It's still possible.  

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1 hour ago, Sox guy said:

Of course.  If their 3 straight 100L seasons led to 2 titles, then the same will happen to us.  

 

Seriously, tho, I'm optimistic for the future.  Gray skies will clear up, no doubt.  I predicted on reddit in 2021 that the Sox will be the Team of the 2020s.  It's still possible.  

Not sure you wanna admit to either of those things.

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On 6/29/2025 at 5:39 AM, Sox guy said:

I predict 56 wins.  3 straight 100L seasons like the 2010s Stros.

 

Who then proceeded to have 3 straight 100W seasons a few years later

The Asstros  had a little international guy they signed for 10K that no one else wanted . Hello Jose Altuve. They also got a power hitting LH LF from the Dodgers, Yordan Alvarez for relief pitcher Josh Fields. A Cuban who the Sox missed on somehow . So maybe Steven Wilson could get the Sox a  stud . Astros also drafted Springer, Correa, Tucker Bregman and Jeremy Pena under completely different drafting rules for rebuilding teams. 

I think they took pitcher Brady Aiken 1st overall in 2014 but somehow ended up with Bregman as compensation the next year with the 2nd overall pick because Aiken was damaged goods.

Mark Apple was another pitcher taken 1- 1 by the Astros who bombed but got traded for Ken Giles who was a key relief pitcher during the 2017 World Series win.

So basically the Astros said screw drafting pitchers we'll trade for the one we already know is a stud. So they fleeced the Tigers for Verlander. But they did manage to get Keuchel and McCullers in the draft too . 

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Comparing the Astros to the White Sox...........something is amiss

Somehow losing multiple 100 loss seasons becomes instant success.

They have to draft the true stud position player that breezes through the minors.  2 would be even better,

They will always come up short relying on other teams prospects. 

I see them losing closer to 90 than winning 90.  If by chance they would win 90 they would luck out with enough teams winning over 90. 

 They do have to spend money but I think the biggest problem is having a bad reputation that no free agent or everyday player from a winning organization would desire to play here.     I'm not sure the will heal in my lifetime.

This is the challenge for Ishba.  You have to create an atmosphere for players wanting to be here instead of hoping to get traded.  The Sox are not alone in this either

 The "culture" needs to change. Once again I doubt that will in my lifetime.

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18 hours ago, Milkman delivers said:

Not sure you wanna admit to either of those things.

I do wanna admit those things, r/whitesox is a good sub, and the Sox do have potential for greatness this decade.

 

There's a guy named sandman in the reddit sub who's a wealth of info, plus each game thread automatically posts game highlights.

 

as far as the Palehose go, once all our prospects develop, watch out.  So, I'll stick to my prediction that we will be Team of the Decade, like Giants were for 2010s, or NYY for 2000s and 90s.  See you here in 2029 to see if I was right.  *hits bookmark*

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4 hours ago, Sox guy said:

I do wanna admit those things, r/whitesox is a good sub, and the Sox do have potential for greatness this decade.

 

There's a guy named sandman in the reddit sub who's a wealth of info, plus each game thread automatically posts game highlights.

 

as far as the Palehose go, once all our prospects develop, watch out.  So, I'll stick to my prediction that we will be Team of the Decade, like Giants were for 2010s, or NYY for 2000s and 90s.  See you here in 2029 to see if I was right.  *hits bookmark*

This is my problem.  Even if by some miracle, ALL of the guys hit, I think we are still majorly short in the OF and corners for bats especially.

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