Look at Ray Ray Run

Ill say, if the Mantle and Marris comment wasnt bait, it's an all-timer.

Love what Mune is doing and I always thought it was possible that the skills wouldn't deteriorate between leagues because that's how some players are - they play up to the competition. That said, I really think we're getting a little out in front of our skis here. As noted in the other thread, he's swinging and missing at nearly half the off-speed pitches he is seeing IN the zone. While "he's figuring out American pitching," hitting is a reactionary skill (which is why people can play up more than in other spots) but pitching is very strategic. Meaning, pitchers are learning about him and how to attack him. I need to see him adjust to what the league throws at him before I'm extending him for 10 years. His contact rate is literally in the 1% percentile. In the past decade, here are the players who have had a qualified season with a whiff rate of 40+%: Keston Hiura (2020), Miguel Sano (2020) , Luis Legend Robert (2020), Joey Gallo (2018), Javy Baez (2021). 2020 and the shortened season having 3 of the 5 points to how noisy the stat can be in smaller samples. Those seasons weren't all bad seasons, but it's a very high risk profile with not a lot of sustained success over a long period. Mune is at 41.7% right now. He's got to continue to get better too, which is funny to say for a guy who is mashing.

Fun watching some actual big leaguers! Obviously this team still sucks, but it's fun to see Colson, Mune and the Ant Man do some work. Schultz was always going to be a stud, never a concern there. I still find it fascinating that even when things are going well, they're still making bone headed decisions like constantly playing Colson at a position that isn't short stop despite him being an elite defensive SS. Feel better about my 68 win prediction than I did a couple weeks ago where it looked like maybe that would be a pipe dream. Our positive group hiding and covering their eyes and, apparently, keyboards during tough times and then coming out of the woodwork after a couple wins is kind of sad!

One interesting observation is concern was around the fastball velocity with Mune, but he's mashed fastballs. He's swinging and missing at nearly 50% of off speed pitched in the zone. Will be interesting to see how the league adjusts to that and how he adjusts back.

That Sacramento park is coors light.

Colson and Mune. When they hit, we roll. Love it.

Its april 21st. Long way to go.

Can you help me understand why it would be a good thing to trade a 26 year old who is mashing and successful? This obsession with trading for more assets has become a disease.

Think the k rate is what scares scouts with Montgomery, not what he does when he hits the ball. Would like to see the swing and miss improve.

His Velo was fine yesterday. He had one start where it dipped (Twins start where he got crushed), but he said no injury. Probably just a dead arm. That start going to hurt his numbers for a bit, but I'm sure he'll get it back in line. Zero doubts from me. The sinker usage is a little inflated. I have his pitch mix very similar to last year.

There's a lot of terrible use of data in this thread. Anyone citing general save % is being dishonest, or naive at best. Blown saves account for pitchers who will never get the save: Example; I come in during the 7th inning and lose the lead, that's a BS. Even though I'm not the one who is closing the game. The intention of this argument was discuss the expected save % of an actual closer (not a set-up guy who is almost always in line to blow the save, but almost never in line to record one). How can we actually account for expected save % of a closer? Remove all times that the reliever entered in a hold situation because those bring down numbers, and only account for pitchers who are expected closers (50% or of their appearances come in the 9th/save opps). Last year, the average BS % for that group was 30%. If we look at the past 5 years, it goes down slightly to 28%. Meaning the average closer should be converting on around 72% of their opportunities. 66% is 1+ Standard Deviation below, so I'd certainly argue that's bad. Obviously you need to account for things beyond save %, as that is ripe for small-sample variance. Your Mason Miller example being a great one. I'd also argue we should do more work to get a true expected save % - such as build some weights that account for run-leads of the group to determine who had to be more perfect (Maybe Miller came in during 5 1 run games while someone else had 5 3 run games). Either way, Dominguez has been terrible. His FIP is over 7, AND he's not converting saves. Comparing his conversion to other relievers who don't have the save opps is absurd.

Coaches are clearly telling them to not do it. Makes me sick.

When Colson and Murakami hit, they win.

Murakami doesnt miss mistakes

Ignoring your Antonacci slander, shocked you were first one to say this. No idea what veneable is doing there. As obvious a coaching decision as you'll see late game. It's like he didn't know.

Severino home/road splits last year were unlike any ive seen. They should really just pitch him on the road.

Man of my word. #WeWantTheIsh

Think Colson will always look bad when he's struggling, just the nature of his game and swing. Then it clicks and he carries an entire team for two weeks!

I'm a positive fan! I'm not at all worried about Colson, he's a great athlete and will adjust. I think Taylor is a complete star. I think Teel has a chance of being a perennial all-star. I think Antonacci is going to have an 8+ year career with some 4+ WAR seasons in there. I believe Schultz will be an actual 1. The problem is, the team in general sucks and run by someone who simply isnt good at this.

#WeWantJustin campaign has kicked off.

I'll start my first and last game thread just so I can say... Sox fans should come together to overwhelm the stadium and media with "We want Justin" chants and merch.

Things have gotten so bad that the positive fans that were left have run for the exits. Edit: Last time our pal WE "visited" the site was Sunday! He was here 24 hours a day during the off-season, and now there's baseball and he's MIA. Look how Getzy has massacred my boy!

Guys never had good command. Think he led baseball in wild pitches last season.

No one on this team winning any MVP a awards, and more talking about his general time here and not just that season.

Hitterish, no doubt. Someone predicted he had a Carlos Quentinnnn type season. I'm starting to see it.