bmags

Here's what I will now be bearish on: Any pitcher that starts camp not throwing. I won't believe sox if they say they are just phasing them in. I'll now assume some discomfort they haven't identified.

https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/heres-some-...spects-we-love/ Adolfo and Cease make the "lower level prospects we love" list.

QUOTE (RockRaines @ Feb 6, 2018 -> 05:22 PM) The IRS doesnt even know how the new tax code works and I dont think it will be in place very long anyway. The real estate market is in hyperdrive and building is out of control. Once that crashes I believe we will be in another recession. And its probably a year or two away, so get money while its still cheap. Building is nowhere near out of control. There are severe housing shortages in most major metropolitan areas. If anything big issue is the drop in productivity plus labor shortage in construction making it difficult to build efficiently.

Great thread

So McDaniels proposed DC signed a contract already with the colts, so he’s stuck there. Insane situation

I am interested to see how Powell handles the hawks, who never change their argument but will likely have the first signs of actual inflation. I think Yellen would have allowed things to run hotter for longer and her record would have allowed her the cache to do so.

QUOTE (Chisoxfn @ Feb 6, 2018 -> 02:59 PM) Makes sense to me. Markets just aren't that inflated right now and I'd bet pretty fairly that (barring a political disaster / major war / etc) that 2018 will be a year of solid growth in the markets (I didn't say gangbusters). My gut tells me another 2 years before a mild recession. It just seemed odd to me that a big month of wage growth or interest rate increases could cause a panic'd sell-off considering almost every bit of forward guidance I've seen plans for big wage increases and transportation hikes, and you'd have to be an idiot to be surprised by interest rate hikes.

May just be that we have multiple guys that are likely to be big leaguers. We may not have noticed how tight Lance Broadway and Tyler Lumsden were.

The DOW is now up 500 pts.

Icahn came out today to regulate VIX products, and seeing more stuff like this (interview with one of the creators of VIX): https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/201...-products-exist

I do remember Adam Caplan saying that in NFL circles people considered Pederson a lightweight when he was hired (Caplan was showing how ridiculous it was based on the previous year.).

QUOTE (Tony @ Feb 6, 2018 -> 12:14 AM) Just shows they need to trade him ASAP. A higher pick is way more important than his veteran leadership right now (and I really like Robin) There is an incredibly weak market for people like Robin Lopez, even though he is good.

I have a hard time believing this will be prolonged.

Just keep in mind entered league a year older than Tucker. He's already had his age 20 season (at two levels lower than Tucker)

I think the main point of everyone is you don't need to write him off but it's okay to acknowledge he's not on same, steady progression of our other prospects like Hansen and Kopech, and he needs to legitimately show next year or the year after. Don't pencil him in for 2020 basically.

Marlins remind me a lot of when the Royals has an OF of Johnny Damon, Carlos Beltran and Jermaine Dye, a trio of players that were staples of playoff teams through the decade after they left. With Ozuna going to STL, Yellich to MIL and Stanton to NYY, looking very similar. edit: hmm i posted that before and forgot. Getting old.

I couldn't name a single pitcher that they were trotting out in August.

QUOTE (maggsmaggs @ Feb 5, 2018 -> 03:41 PM) Kinda surprised that Cease is not even listed in the consideration for the Top 100. If they consider him a 50 but with high variance I could see him left off, but I'm hoping they still consider him a 50. Can't wait for team lists to come out to see.

This is a day I wish Yellen was still Fed Chair (also her first day not there)

QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Feb 5, 2018 -> 01:33 PM) Given some of the other reports about Eloy's defense and arm, nice to see here that his arm is given a 60 grade and that Longenhagen thinks he has enough athleticism to play a solid RF. Yeah he has been more bullish on his defense than others, and I value that because he was at places like instructs recently getting in-person looks. Maybe he emphasizes more that he sees players, but with the exception of the BA guys, it does seem like people like Law and Callis rely more on deciphering scout opinions than getting looks. I like getting both, but for defense it's nice to know this came from someone who has watched him play a bit. And one thing to add is in podcasts EL seems to like Burger offensively. He thinks he'll be a 1b but doesn't dismiss that he could stick at 3b.

Dunning listed as "in consideration" and I would imagine that means he was pegged with a 50 FV. Nice Robert write-up, and it's interesting reading the Collins stuff. Despite the handwringing here, seems like scouts believe in that bat profile making the majors. Looks like in ranking for pitchers they had a preference for control, but it's also kinda wild seeing Burdi there, considering I doubt many on this board had him in top 10.

Kevin Fishbain ‏ @kfishbain 2m2 minutes ago More Per @caplannfl, the Bears will hire Brad Childress as an offensive consultant. The Aurora native (Marmion Academy and EIU grad) and former Vikings head coach has been with Nagy in KC since 2013. Like getting all the experience you can get. Childress had retired, this is probably going to be pretty light but nice to see he'll have a guy this experienced to run things like installation and stuff by.

QUOTE (fathom @ Feb 5, 2018 -> 12:09 PM) But the in person reports for him were awful according to KLaw. Very weak contact and definitely not a CF. Ok so that doesn't really contradict what I said. Longenhagen for instance scouted him last august. Talked about how it looked like he was almost trying to be a singles hitter so even if he got more powerful it may not lead to that much different results. And that sounds similar to how Rutherford talks about it. Counter that with Burger who was hitting way too many grounders and spent the offseason trying to never hit a groundball. That said, when you hear the BA guys, or fangraphs, or others talk about him they still see a player with a sweet lefthanded swing that could figure it out, and that in winston-salem has the perfect place to build some confidence. I guess it just depends how fatalistic you are (don't answer fathom). Do you have a guy in Rutherford who has shown to have no talent and is imploding? No, but you have a guy that needs to show a big adjustment, so he'll get docked until he does. He's not a guy that just needs to keep doing what he's doing, he needs to improve. So until he does it's not really that exciting to me that he's in the top 100.

QUOTE (maxjusttyped @ Feb 5, 2018 -> 10:54 AM) I know development isn't linear, but man, I would be very interested to see how comparable prospects to Rutherford ended up faring. I don't see how his lack of production and extreme GB profile shouldn't be setting off alarm bells. I think the in person reports see a kid who likes spraying the ball over the field which has caused the GB rate. If he fills out and changes approach he could unlock his potential.

On Cubs zips it has Quintana for 5 WAR which i find interesting. Never had more than 4 previously.