Everything posted by bmags
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2018 Democrats thread
To me, only Ives are painful. Even Rauner's are fine. I mean, that Blagojevich audio kinda writes itself. Surprised Biss is 3rd. I'm not that surprised Kennedy has a following. Aside from name, his whole thing is being untethered from the democratic machine. It's a good play, he's just a curmudgeon with no real action beyond that.
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2018 Democrats thread
Yeah I haven't seen polling but I figured JB with wrapping up every single endorsement was clear lead.
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Projected 2018 OD Roster
QUOTE (OmarComing25 @ Feb 20, 2018 -> 09:04 AM) The bullpen actually doesn’t look to be as much of a dumpster fire as I expected. Obviously not a great group, but I don’t think they’ll be a huge liability either. We have many more arms to try out in Bullpen than rotation and I'm glad we have some roles set already. I'm probably too high on Minaya which may not be rewarded, but he was thrown in last year in situation after situation with no fire escape. He just had to deal with it. And I thought he did well, and makes me think if he's in roles where he can be optimized for his strengths he could be pretty good.
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2018 Democrats thread
I can't make heads or tails of this IL Gov Dem primary. i am not going to vote for JB Pritzker. Policies or not, I just can't flatter someone who is just a rich kid that liked using it to hang out with powerful people, then gets confused and thinks that he's done something with his life and is important. The pritzkers do a lot of good for Illinois, illinois gives a s*** ton of preferences to pritzker business, they already run things they don't need to run things. So Biss. But I hate Mike Madigan, and the dropping of his Lt Gov showed such obvious political grandstanding from both sides. So Kennedy, haha no not Kennedy. s***. So Biss. effing Illinois.
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fangraphs article about sox rotation
QUOTE (GermanSock @ Feb 20, 2018 -> 02:55 AM) enjoy https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-white-s...ld-be-anything/ Yeah and Harry Pavlidis from BP in his Soxmachine podcast interview said the same. As a fan, it's easy to pant a rosier picture, but I also get there could be some disasters either in stop gap vets like Shields and MiGo, or poor performance from Giolito Lopes and most likely Fulmer. But, I do think becoming a big league pitcher is hard, and I won't be fatalistic if Giolito has a poor year if I see signs of him figuring it out. He could find his curveball and be Rich Hill. He could find a slider and have a workable 3 pitch repertoire. He has options to find to make a good pitcher if phase one doesn't work.
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Rear facing car seats don't do anything
This ones for the parents: http://injuryprevention.bmj.com/content/ea...90410088811eecb This study was the basis for car seats to be rear facing. It's findings could not be replicated, though they aren't harming anyone (except for car sickness). Child safety is important so I don't get too upset when being overcautious turns out to be unwarranted, but DAMN rearfacing seats were so inconvenient and basically demand you get an SUV.
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2018 MLB Draft
QUOTE (Dunt @ Feb 19, 2018 -> 09:04 AM) Shane McClanahan 6 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 5 BB, 11 K bittersweet line there.
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2018 MLB Draft
The Jenistas sound like a revolutionary group.
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2018 MiLB White Sox news and notes
QUOTE (GenericUserName @ Feb 19, 2018 -> 10:21 AM) That would be awesome to see if he knows anything about them. Also maybe ask about Camilo Quinteiro who is older but I still can't find any info on besides that we signed him back in September. I highly doubt any of these guys amount to anything, but I like keeping tabs on who we got in the lower levels of the system. Even stuff like if they came from a showcase. Sox are linked to one guy for 2018 from a recent VZ showcase, 16 year old SS. J2 is going to be too much fun so will be interesting if there are any stories, like maybe a guy that tried out as a position player but sox signed them as a pitcher.
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Jake Burger
QUOTE (Dunt @ Feb 19, 2018 -> 09:51 AM) It is just BP, but he looks like he is absolutely murdering the ball already Are you in AZ?
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Jake Burger
Simply put, a must read on Burger for subscribers to Athletic: https://theathletic.com//244928/2018/02/19/...t/?redirected=1 Bulk of article is how he has stayed in arizona, but goes really in depth on what it means for him to focus on launch angle (they have focused on timing, not big swing changes).
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2018 MiLB White Sox news and notes
QUOTE (GenericUserName @ Feb 18, 2018 -> 11:32 PM) If anyone was wondering what we did with our remaining international money, we have signed 5 guys since the beginning of February that I think are all international amateurs. Jose Rodriguez SS 16 years old Johnabiell Laureano CF 17 years old Francisco Benitez RHP 17 years old Luis Rodriguez RHP 17 years old Jesus Rondon RHP 18 years old How'd you figure this out? edit: nvm looks like you scoured our transactions, pretty cool. Maybe I can get a question on these guys in a badler chat sometime.
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2018 MLB Draft Order
This is a good draft to be the Royals in, would be interesting if they hedge and try to get some close to majors pitchers to supplement soon. Doubt it. WOuld be nice for us.
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Love the rebuild, despise this attitude
I’d avoid getting mad at anyone going through a translator.
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2018 Spring Training notes and random tweets
What do we think of Abreus beard One of hitting groups at @whitesox camp this morning features José Abreu, Luis Robert, Yoan Moncada and Eloy Jimenez. https://twitter.com/JesseSanchezMLB/status/...9199744/photo/1
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2017-2018 MLB player movement rumors and reports
Also if I was an Os fan, seeing that Odorizzi deal and they just sit on their hands.
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2017-2018 MLB player movement rumors and reports
Trying to imagine how I’d feel if the first White Sox $100+ mill contract went to Hosmer...ha I can’t!
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2018 Spring Training notes and random tweets
QUOTE (fathom @ Feb 17, 2018 -> 10:24 AM) Chuck and Guff have done an amazing job covering the rebuild over the last year. The Kopech podcast was great. I wonder if they will do another Cornerstones show this season. His podcast is refreshingly positive without homerism. Just people who sound like they love what they do.
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2018 MLB Draft
Not good Multiple sources confirm the top prep pitcher in the country Georgia RHP Ethan Hankins walked off the mound early in this morning’s start with undisclosed injury. #3 prospect in the draft class https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/mlb-draft-r...-2019-and-2020/ Per Kileys twitter
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**President Trump 2018 Thread**
I think if Facebook is going to make the claim of being "your online identity" and the rise of influencer marketing, we are at the stage where some regulation is in order. It was good in the 90s they were lenient on regulating the internet, but the same ideas from how the FTC regulates advertising need to start to be applied to things like fake accounts and for it to work the platform needs to be liable.
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BP 101 lists 8 White Sox Prospects
BP released their fantasy focused top 101 and it's a pretty funny read: https://www.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/...prospects-list/ List is reordered mainly by putting a whole lot more position players. Cease and Burger make back half, Jimenez/Kopech/Robert/Hansen front half.
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Mlb.com top prospects
It wasn't that much but you'd hope they do better. It is interesting going through our signings, it definitely seems like the white sox prioritized power in INTL FA but the hit tools have rarely come around. As CWS as pointed out, too many have also been transitioned to corners immediately. I would like them to target some heady baseball players with great athletic skills and see if power comes than this approach.
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Mlb.com top prospects
QUOTE (oldsox @ Feb 16, 2018 -> 10:32 AM) Okay, tell me the amount of the bonus we gave Tatis. 825k, almost half of their top signing that class, Franklin Reyes, who was paid 1.5 million. Adolfo was our highest non-robert signing in the newer structure at 1.6 million.
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Why is WAR valued linearly?
So couple thoughts: I don't think people are paying on a linear $/WAR basis. I think that number is largely shorthand and also recall it is backed into, it's an average. Two examples: Wellington Castillo was worth 2.1 WAR last year at a scarce position. Making 8mill/year. That's only 4 mill/WAR, half the 8. Cashner just got the same deal. K, probably unlikely to get the 4 bWAR season again, honestly he's likely to get 0, but he got 8 million. Darvish, let's pencil him in for 3 WAR and say last year was aberration. He is getting 7 mill / WAR. Lorenzo Cain! Okay so maybe project less than 5 WAR, let's go 4. He's getting? $4 mill/WAR. So anyway my point is, I agree that the "surplus value" stuff for trades is frivilous because it's based on a backed into number that isn't that illustrative. But it's a model and there is some consistency, so it's better than nothing. However, I also just brought up the above because I don't think teams actually do use $/WAR linearly. And I think pitchers and position players are valued different on a $/WAR basis. In heart of hearts, I see pitchers viewed closer to 6-7 mill /WAR and position players $4 mil/WAR, with hitters seeing that escalator when you hit a predictive 3 WAR and above. Maybe they are predicting both Castillo and Cashner are 1 WAR players in each year, and thus their contract, but I doubt it. Now, Carlos Santana got 20 mill a year, and is a more likely 3.5 WAR player. He got 5.7 mill/WAR. Incremental improvement. Darvish
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Mlb.com top prospects
QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Feb 16, 2018 -> 09:39 AM) From the skillset that is talked about, the name Jackie Bradley Jr comes to mind. No idea what he actually looks like though. Another is Andrew McCutcheon with better defense. 2016 Jackie Bradley jr is my ideal scenario yes.