bmags

I don't want to act like this is wishful thinking. This is profoundly depressing. But baseball is particularly fun to look for rebound guys, so here this all is. I mean we are going to look back at this thread and these guys are likely all 100% awful or not in the league.

baseball players man.

I don't know why, I just feel so bad for that guy. To fall off a cliff right when your team arrives, has to just be the worst feeling.

I'd take Moore or Nelson over Rodon, personally.

Isn't the fact that Melvin Capital was able to secure billions to cover themselves proof that they didn't borrow more than they could cover? I don't think people have an actual grasp on how much risk some of these day traders can take on. I remember last year someone was leveraged millions without putting barely anything down (here it is: https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/robinhood-infinite-leverage-free-money-cheat-user-1-million-2019-11-1028661632)

I feel like this is something that owners absolutely care about, but if I'm forced to trade watson, I feel like your #1, #2, and #3 obligation is get as much back possible to get a winning team together.

So we're at this point of the season. 1) Jimmy Nelson Dodgers liked him enough last year to give him a shot, based on his bullpens in milwaukee post shoulder ripping off his body. His fastball was slower at 92, but he featured a much better curveball. Then he hurt his back and womp womp was out for 2020 so we don't know, then the dodgers didn't pick up his option that wasn't that expensive. Not a good sign! but this is GARBAGE DUMP PITCHERS 2) Folty He completely lost his fastball and was awful. But what this post presupposes is...maybe he didn't? JK He's probably trash 3) Matt Moore He was really good to start 2019, then tore his meniscus. He was really good in the NPB last year, and wikipedia says he's a free agent. Remember when he was really good way back when? Probably still is. 4) Trevor Williams There is only one number that matters here, he is 29. That is not particularly young, but hey. Pirates pitchers that had some talent started to do better last year. Not williams, he was garbage. But maybe he won't be. 5. Anibal Sanchez So his fastball declined a full mph into the danger zone of below 90 last year. The only thing that I think is optimistic about a 37 year old pitcher with a LOT of mileage, is if he isn't completely done, wouldn't it make sense that perhaps it was due to the start/stop/start/stop of 2020? No? Probably right. 6. Chase Anderson - Objectively horrible last year but his stuff still looked fine? People barrelled up everything. Maybe we can just say "2020 shrug"? Thank you for your time. And before you ask "what about?". If they are good, they are not allowed here! Other guy I thought about: Tommy Milone.

50k+ again. 50k a day puts us on track for phase 1c by April 1 like they planned. BTW, if anyone is trying to get appts for their 65+ family in chicago area, I highly recommend just keeping track of the Jewel/Osco (albertsons) website. They let you search across locations for ALL DATES easily. It will probably be full when you look, just keep refreshing and checking back, they do update for cancels and re-schedules. Good luck!

good newsletter this morning from joe weisenthal calling this an "upcrash"

"Citadel made a deal with Robinhood to short their position and then close all purchases" 100000 likes 50000 RTs The unprecedented volatility made it increasingly expensive to settle 4 likes 10 rts

Yes, but if you aren't that, you won't show up in his rankings often.

I don't think they are trying to be ken rosenthal. Rosenthal only publishes stuff very likely to happen. This is a gossip account, not a news account. And gossip is ok, it has a place. Like all gossip accounts, they are very annoying, believe the attention they get is actually because of their own personality, and often wrong. But damn if it isn't entertaining when you are obssessed with something like we are with the sox.

for the billionth time we dont' need people copy-pasting chain emails from their uncle.

I'll actually say as someone that follows their tweets that I think saying "he went from cruz to wainwright" is unfair. The cruz stuff was led by gomez, and I don't ever remember the cheesy beef account going over their skis and listing anyone but the twins as the favorites. Same with Wainwright, it was always that cards were most likely. That's fine for me just to read a fuckjerry-like account that sources sox rumors. Could it be possible that people tied to sox thought they were interested in cruz . . . and cruz went with a different team? No, no way. Everyone feels like a hero talking crap about these accounts but honestly if you had a general feeling for how the white sox operated and followed only these accounts you'd have a decent expectation for how this offseason would go. My impression of the sox front office is they are incredibly optimistic about their chances to do stuff that they don't have the resources for.

looks like good ole fashioned etrade still executes them.

What was actualy going to happen though? A bunch of people believing the perpetual motion machine joining at the end and losing a bunch of money. I don't buy the "good ole boys gonna throw the redditors in jail". Their plays have been pretty creative uses of options to create gamma squeezes before, but this took on a life of its own. They weren't doing market manipulation. But in the last day? I've been seeing on tiktok and twitter make statements that could easily qualify as lying in their telling people to keep bidding. At that point, the people who were going to get hurt weren't hedge funds (they were already hurt).

For pitchers it's a lot about body though. He's not going to rank an under 6 ft RHP often. Not a lot of lanky dudes, he doesn't like side arm. He likes tall pitchers with good athleticism that have a clean delivery. That was his only rationale for staying with Giolito, and the reason Giolito was able to reinvent himself? Because he had a basleine to work with of being a very athletic 6'6 frame that gave him great deception with his fb/changeup arsenal while allowing him to re-do his delivery in an offseason.

Miami or Jets for sure. But if I'm him I certainly would want SF or Indy. I also wouldn't hate getting paired with Jefferson in Minny ? As I have said, I can't pretend to know what to do with QB. I'll ride with @Chisoxfn 's takes as they are optimistic and I can only take so much bears dredge. Tua, Wentz, Darnold all scare me. I don't know that I can handle uncertainty unless from a guy whose clock is up quickly. And If I'm Houston, I think I'd rather go after the 3rd qb than Tua? That is a disaster for the Lions.

Looking at all the dumbest people on twitter complaining about this, I feel safe saying the people helped today by trading restrictions were not wall street.

After Giolito and Lopez beat my estimate for arb I took the high end for the rest of they guys but we will see.

when has Law ever put bullpen guys on his top 100 though? He isn't going to start for Garrett Crochet.

He liked Moncada (top 20), Giolito (when no one else still did), Eloy (top 10), Robert (top ten) and Kopech (kept in top 50), and now Vaughn (top 10). Tim Anderson was still top 100. This seems like a pretty accurate summation of the sox top prospects. He was low on Lopez when BA/MLBP were high on him. Check. Here were his thoughts on Cease: Ryan: What are your thoughts on Dylan Cease? Results at the big league level have not been great so far. Can he be a top of the rotation guy? Keith Law: I don’t think he was ever a top of the rotation guy … when he was throwing super hard, he couldn’t stay healthy. I get questions like this a lot, but I wonder why it’s always about “ace” or “top of rotation?” If he’s an above-average starter, that’s a huge win for the team – those guys cost a mint in trade or free agency. And I think Cease can be that, given time. Keith Law has really proven to be the one worth reading. Yeah, currently the sox lack high end talent, we agree with that. His rankings agree with that. But the good news is he thinks Vaughn is a top 10 guy, he has been great with grading hitters. Vaughn should be a star. I remember thinking he was way too infatuated with Dom smith for too long. Then Dom Smith started destroying the ball. And let's not even bring up he who must not be named, whom he put on his top 50 before anyone and we all said he was just trying to embarrass hahn. He's the best evaluator by far. And to me he is like Ebert. He has his type, he describes his type, and you should go into things knowing that if they aren't his type he won't like it. And some of those dudes will be an outlier and make him look silly.

They definitely have a progressive rate, he's going to be paying a 45% rate on quite a bit of his income. I think the flat tax of 10% is to account for their workforce that works in multiple countries, and their japan income would get at least 10%. But they have a progressive personal income tax.

Good god, sorry, I don't actually think they are "surprised". But the way they operate looks a lot more like a team that expects to be able to use FA as a major pipeline of talent when that is not the case. You'd thinkt heir offseason would have looked a lot more like San Francisco's than what they did.

I took ~10 million off for hendriks so that's where 120 comes from.