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bmags

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Everything posted by bmags

  1. Ok sure but what about the confidence-o-meter?
  2. One thing I like about musgrove v smyly is Smyly had a velo increase this year. If that regresses like happens than who knows. Musgroves changes started with pitt parting ways with searage. Musgrove wasn’t a particularly bad fit for searage having already thrown a sinker, but they moved off the sinker and leaned into his great offspeed pitches. This article written last year lays out their hopes for their new pitching coach (who sounds a lot like Katz), and he ended up doing all those things and voila https://www.pitcherlist.com/going-deep-joe-musgrove-could-be-better-if-he-so-chooses/
  3. The correct answer is probably yes. But I have a hard time giving up Crochet for anyone even though there is a high likelihood that dude leaves a game in April and we see him in 2022
  4. Gavin Lux was the fourth overall prospect heading into last year. Kelley looks great but he’s a second round high school prep pitcher. He has a long road of progression and likely injury recovery before he arrives. You swap a pitching prospect for a guy like that every time. And yes, he’s a shortstop so he can play wherever you want.
  5. Seems like he started working high fastball + curve vs him previously working low and away
  6. Ron Kruk,Kenny Lofton, Jose Conseco, Ken Griffey Jr, Manny Ramirez
  7. I don’t even know what we’d have to give up for lux but it imagine it rhymes with gucas liogito
  8. Dodgers definitely don’t care about having a surplus of position players. Plus a possible DH
  9. If we give Hendriks a 4th year I’d just plan on trading him after year 2
  10. 100% A, where we end up with two better players
  11. Ok sorry yeah I have Abreu at 17.7 so that’s using signing bonuses
  12. Whether the Sox hit 118 is going to be down to arb but I find fangraphs has been way over inflated every year but never corrects
  13. I have Sox at 115.4 with Eaton/Marshall updates, and upping the pre arbs up a bit based on some resources showing to save more.
  14. It’s just incredible how excited I was for the 2015 team that accurately looks like trash to me now. We basically expected Jose Abreu to be the greatest offensive force in history for that offense to work.
  15. I’m kinda ready for a new SP to get on about. We’ve had Marquez, Woodruff, Gray, Castillo, Musgrove. Maybe we’ll do another round on Gallen.
  16. The why didn’t the peg it to whip
  17. Yeah I gotta say I find the idea that we can’t act like FIP measures runs unconvincing. They fit FIP to ERA. If they didn’t do that then well we wouldn’t use “runs”. But as soon as they fixed fip to ERA then they created that.
  18. They’ll probably have 5 inf for four spots and rotate DH. They’ve been less full time for OFers and been ok rotating them in past so that’s my guess here too
  19. No way he comes to be a backup right? That’s what I’m holding out on.
  20. Guaranteed to buy them even if they failed or were not needed
  21. I’m on the Austin Romine bandwagon. Id bet Barnhart came up as a way to reduce Somny Gray cost and isn’t as relevant anymore.
  22. I am on a phone and it’s hard to move posts then but a lot of good discussion on backup catcher in Hendriks thread, and here’s a tweet that makes it easier to start a thread. so makes sense to start here.
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