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caulfield12

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Everything posted by caulfield12

  1. Eg., Biden “will destroy your protections for pre-existing conditions” “The Biden plan would destroy Social Security” Biden will “decimate Medicare” “They want to … confiscate your guns” “They now want to abolish our police departments” “They want to abolish our prisons” “Abolish immigration detention. No more detention” Biden “is even talking about taking the wall down” Biden will “abolish fracking” Democrats “want to shut your churches down, permanently” Biden and Democrats want to “drive God from the public square” No more Christmas! I saved Christmas! They want to take away your hot water heaters and even your ability to flush the toilet... Biden will “ban school choice, charter schools” “No windows” “Cows are out. No more hamburgers." https://www.poynter.org/fact-checking/2020/donald-trumps-long-false-list-of-things-joe-biden-would-ban-abolish-or-destroy/
  2. He also quoted from Colossians/Corinthians and pronounced it incorrectly, and then said TWO CORINTHIANS, instead of SECOND. Don't take a page out of Donald Trump's holy book. The Republican presidential candidate who has preached about how much he loves the Bible butchered the Book of Proverbs and nearly invented his own scripture in an interview Wednesday. "There's so many things that you can learn from it," Trump said in an exclusive sit-down with the Christian Broadcasting Network from his California golf course. "Proverbs, the chapter 'never bend to envy.' I've had that thing all of my life where people are bending to envy." https://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/donald-trump-butchers-bible-quotes-non-existent-verse-article-1.2364282
  3. If qAnon is perceived by the 70% in the center to be the antithesis but moral equivalent of BLM and Antifa, the US is in more trouble than I previously thought. "Both sides" brings the country closer and closer to pulling apart at the seams. But who could be against Trump as a Christ~like symbol or FOR pedophiles?
  4. "Before we proceed further, a short philosophical note. I hate it when people use phrases — to be fair, we often use phrases like these ourselves! — such as “Nate Silver is giving Biden a 90 percent chance” or “FiveThirtyEight still gives Trump a 10 percent chance.” We aren’t giving anybody anything. Instead, as former FiveThirtyEight politics host Jody Avrigan puts it, what we’re doing is “mapping uncertainty.” In other words, if Biden leads by about 9 points in national polls, 8 points in Wisconsin, 5 points in Pennsylvania, 2 points in Florida, etc., how does that translate into a probability of victory? That’s what our model is trying to figure out." https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/im-here-to-remind-you-that-trump-can-still-win/
  5. Trump has to take Iowa, NC, PA, FL and AZ to win. Run the table. Odds of that would seem to be something like 1/32...although 1/16 still seems more realistic. Vegas is still giving 30~35% odds on Trump. But 538.com and the Iowa Presidential Stock Market seem to be better indicators. https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/
  6. Can pols like Hogan, Kasich/DeWine and Baker survive primaries, is the question...governing from centrist positions is always going to be challenging from a motivational and fundraising perspective with so much polarization on the right and left wings.
  7. Iowa seems to be trending away from Dems in both key races (Ernst vs. Greenfield). The Senate is is likely going to be 49-51/50-50/51-49. Assuming a Biden win, that’s not much breathing room considering Manchin. North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, Arizona...could seemingly go in any direction. Then you have Minnesota, Georgia, Texas. I would have assumed NV and then those single districts in NE and Maine to Biden, but who really knows. The record voting totals came when Biden was way out in front. If he’s also in the lead election night but in-person voters, because of, let’s say a combination of weather and Covid fears, come out 2 or 3 to 1 for Trump, it possibly gets really interesting...especially with PA and North Carolina and other states counting late into the week, if not over the following weekend. There will be so many suits and countersuits heads will be spinning. Comes down to PA and WI again. MI is probably out of reach for Trump at this point. Regardless of the outcome, imagine 20+ million losing ObamaCare coverage for preexisting conditions thrown into the middle of that mess, and a re-elected Trump not caring one iota and a 6-3 Supreme Court for another decade? Then you would really start to see a number of states seriously considering separation from the US. over climate change, Covid, abortion rights, etc.
  8. I suppose if there’s any argument, it’s that the Bochy/Giants’ style of dominant pitching, fundamentals/defense, role players/overachieving veterans and just enough offense to carry them is pretty much the opposite of the way our team is currently constituted. If this happened a year ago with RR booted, we’d have both Bochy and $80-90 million left on Bumgarner’s contract for the Sox...instead of Keuchel. Guess that’s one positive.
  9. Sure, if you make it Luis Robert's extension, Moncada's and perhaps being able to re-sign Giolito as well (being the financial tradeoff where all that money was reallocated.) That said, if you looked at 2019 in isolation, clearly from every possible perspective, Moncada was better. In 2020, Machado was clearly the impact player you wanted on your roster. We'll see what a full 2021 season (crosses fingers) actually holds for Moncada's hopefully full recovery (at least as a hitter.) Neither hate nor like the move, but it's entirely predictable for those who've followed LaRussa and Reinsdorf over the years. Would love to hear what Harrelson and KW are thinking about it today, we know it wasn't Hahn's choice. All that said, it will be quite obvious the first half of the season if the game has passed him by, and, most importantly, if he can still command a clubhouse and gain the respect of the players without alienating Anderson and the Latin American players. How well Abreu, Anderson and Keuchel/Giolito accept this management change will go a long ways towards deciding the fate of our competitive window. It's likely another name like Maddon or Cora or Hinch becomes more palatable a year from now if things don't work out. Right now, we're currently the #5 ranked team in the very early off-season. Will we still be a Top 5 team the day LaRussa is no longer the manager, that's the biggest question. A World Series victory/re-retirement would virtually ensure that. Right now, a championship likely going through the Dodgers/Padres if if if we can overcome the Twins/Indians first within our own division.
  10. You’d have to think either Espada or Quatraro...
  11. Helped make a series of terrible DBacks trades with Dave Stewart...somehow they survived for 2-3 years, and didn't completely bottom out, but some of those trades look even worse now in retrospect.
  12. Guess Barron Trump had at least one positive COVID test but asymptomatic...another name to add to the list.
  13. https://www.yahoo.com/sports/firing-rick-renteria-brutal-necessary-203421114.html
  14. Well, we have a number of Sox posters who like to go all the way back to Babe Ruth, 1919, Charles Comiskey, Shoeless Joe Jackson and Kennesaw Mountain Landis in their “Sox franchise is jinxed” rabbit holes. Let’s just say neither franchise has exactly distinguished itself in Yankees, Red Sox, Cardinals or Braves fashion over both long and (relatively) short histories.
  15. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/less-educated-asian-americans-among-hardest-hit-job-losses-during-pandemic-182941175.html Mitch McConnell bringing up this as option for "blue states" is one of many reasons the bankruptcy fallacy is out there in the first place, btw. Now the argument pretty much centers on an individual city, like Chicago, filing for bankruptcy...where you have lots of arguments on both sides of the ledger, obviously. Why can’t states use the federal bankruptcy system to reorganize their debt? “There are two reasons why state governments currently cannot use the federal bankruptcy system to reorganize their debt. First, the federal bankruptcy code does not allow—and has never allowed—state governments to declare bankruptcy. Since 1937, the bankruptcy code has allowed ‘municipalities’ to declare bankruptcy. The term ‘municipality’ is defined in the bankruptcy code as a ‘political subdivision or public agency or instrumentality of a state.’ This definition is broad enough to include cities, counties, townships, school districts and public improvement districts. It also includes revenue-producing bodies that provide services which are paid for by users rather than by general taxes, such as bridge authorities, highway authorities and gas authorities. But it does not include state governments. “The second reason stems from the U.S. Constitution. The contracts clause of the U.S. Constitution prohibits state governments from ‘impairing the obligation of contracts.’ As originally understood and enforced, this clause prohibited state legislatures from passing any laws to relieve either private debt or the state government's own debt. Beginning in 1934, however, the Supreme Court began to interpret the contracts clause more flexibly and not as an absolute bar to state debt relief laws. Even under the flexible modern approach, however, the Supreme Court in 1977 reiterated that ‘a state cannot refuse to meet its legitimate financial obligations simply because it would prefer to spend the money (on something else.)’ Thus, were Congress to amend the federal bankruptcy code to authorize states to repudiate debt, the Supreme Court would then need to decide the novel constitutional question of whether such debt repudiation would nonetheless violate the contracts clause of Article I, Section 10.” https://www.csg.org/pubs/capitolideas/enews/issue65_3.aspx
  16. Too much bad blood remaining from the LaRoche/Drake/Sale fiasco...don't see it happening.
  17. Underpaying LeMahieu and Gausman by quite a bit...
  18. LOL. I'm okay. This wasn't the year, not with all the pitching injuries down the stretch. Tatis, Jr., met his limitations. That Bellinger catch turned the series permanently in favor of the Dodgers (finalized when they failed to come back in the 9th against Jansen/Kelly.) Tonight, he had another opportunity up 2-1 with the bases loaded and two outs against Urias, struck out, and then the Dodgers exploded the next inning. Those were the two massive momentum shifts in this series. Feels like he started to press, because he also made some uncharacteristic defensive mistakes in both series. That strikeout led to an error the following inning that helped to open the floodgates. Let's not forget our own history trading Sirotka, who hardly was the same pitcher for Toronto (and led to the Keith Law lifetime "grudge")...of course, David Wells and Frank Thomas famously didn't get along either, and Thomas missed almost that entire 2001 season as both teams suffered bad karma. Sirotka, it turned out, had a damaged shoulder, and never pitched again in the majors. The Jays tried to get Bud Selig to undo the trade or make the White Sox give them another player, but Bud ruled for the White Sox. I thought that teams did physicals on players they are thinking of picking up in trade, I don’t know if the Jays did this time. It wasn’t like Wells was great for the Sox, he only made 16 starts the next year, going 5-7 with a 4.47 ERA. After that season, he signed with the Yankees as a free agent. It wasn’t an excellent trade for either team, but the Jays had to pay Sirotka $6.8 million over the next years, which was $2.45 million less than what Wells got in 2001 from the White Sox. So even though it isn’t exactly something that wouldn’t be at the top of Gord Ash’s resume, it saved us some money. Sirotka would never pitch in the majors again. sbnation.com
  19. File this with the no Crochet injury, no Eloy injury and Renteria manages the bullpen as skillfully as Jayce Tingler against the Cardinals category. I had a feeling the Astros were going to be a really, really tough out once they got rolling. Imagine if they take the Yankees and Dodgers again?
  20. Fine, you have two of the best offenses in baseball. For the White Sox, it’s all about starting pitching. For the Padres, it’s Gore’s readiness, health and finding one more starter from Morejon, Patino and Baez. Will lose Richards, Profar and Rosenthal to FA, although Yates will return and they’d love to keep Profar as well. Might look to deal Myers, Mejia and spare pitching depth.
  21. Goes back to a game-winning homer Machado hit against LA in the regular season.
  22. Even if Bellinger doesn’t rob that homer, SD doesn’t have the starting pitching to stay in this. They’ll have to go to Paddack for Game 3, and he just hasn’t been the same dominating presence he was as a rookie. No matter what options Tingler had/has to choose from, none of them are close to ideal
  23. Dodgers have the better team, but it’s getting closer. Just can’t go through a bullpen game after game after game. With a healthy Lamet, Clevinger and the addition of Gore, you’ve got a real series. Even White Sox fans wouldn’t be very excited about adding Kyle Davies to the back end of the rotation.
  24. A’s have to somehow survive tomorrow without Hendriks. Could throw Montas, Fiers or Minor.
  25. This is why pretty much nobody wants to be a public school teacher today. Impossible decisions. The feeling that you’re there 50-75% as a babysitter and social worker in most underperforming public school districts. It’s policy failure after policy failure. Entitled kids at better schools with overbearing parents. Technology/cell phone/game addictions. Paying for school supplies yourself, often from summer or part-time jobs. Expense of master’s programs versus pay scale bumps, but expectation of advanced degrees (of course, young/cheap teachers fit budgets better now). Increasing amounts of apathy, lack of focus and disrespect. Those that do decide to teach aren’t entering as much for the calling, but out of practical concerns like health insurance, vacation time and pension (shrinking rapidly) benefits. K-6 is where one sees the most dedication and idealism, but also a ton of resulting burnout.

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