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Everything posted by caulfield12
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Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
caulfield12 replied to Soxnfins's topic in Pale Hose Talk
You realize Giolito, Kopech, Cease, Rodon, Lambert and Dunning have already had TJ surgery? The average amount of time before a second is 4.5 years, historically. There’s no exact science. Strasburg is 8 years out on his, but his workload in 2018 constitutes a massive red flag...especially when compared to average IP numbers throughout his career. Plus, in general, getting to consecutive postseasons like the Astros and Dodgers have...well, just look at Kershaw now. Cole carries a similar type of risk. Wheeler has considerably less high stress wear and tear on his arm than either of Cole and Strasburg. Even if you play in the third tier with guys like Ivan Nova or Kyle Gibson, you’re still paying $10 million or more per year. -
Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
caulfield12 replied to Soxnfins's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Unless the Blue Jays’ player Nate Pearson has also added internet speculation to his CV recently... -
Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
caulfield12 replied to Soxnfins's topic in Pale Hose Talk
This guy works for Fangraphs? Up to $112.5 w/ incentives, or “just” $100 million guaranteed + the possibility of incentives to add on top? -
Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
caulfield12 replied to Soxnfins's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Unless they were willing to overpay by 10-15%...$110-115 million, and nobody else was within $5-7.5 million...why wouldn’t Wheeler at least wait until the Winter Meetings? You might even argue that waiting for the really big spending teams to miss out on Cole or Strasburg helps his case even more...let’s say the Nats know they won’t be able to keep Rendon on a 7 year deal, so they go all-in on Stras. The other teams then losing out on Cole (or unwilling to go cray cray like LA under Friedman so far or even the Yankees recently, or Astros) are going to immediately set their sights on Wheeler, if they haven’t already. Now you can make the argument those playoff ready teams with deep pockets might be more willing to give Bumgarner or Ryu bigger money for fewer years...Wheeler’s lack of overall wear and tear on his arm and relatively young status make him the obvious choice for anyone willing to go at least five years at $20-25 million. Still seems likely that at least one of Ryu and Bumgarner remain in the NL...could argue the same for Hamels as well. There’s also a lot of logic to one of Cole or Strasburg going back to Southern California, either Dodgers, Angels, Padres or possibly SFG. -
Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
caulfield12 replied to Soxnfins's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Tick tock, tick tock, tick tock. -
Near South Side=Inner Harbor area???
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Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
caulfield12 replied to Soxnfins's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Irrationally exuberant fanatics. -
Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
caulfield12 replied to Soxnfins's topic in Pale Hose Talk
There were less obvious signs of things to come in the movie Signs. -
Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
caulfield12 replied to Soxnfins's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Unless it’s St. Louis! Or Boston, for some players. -
Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
caulfield12 replied to Soxnfins's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Well, I guess for those who have enough time on their hands to go through individual player's Twitter and Instagram feeds, it's always possible to get the news before it's officially reported...or at least speculate on cryptic posts. -
Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
caulfield12 replied to Soxnfins's topic in Pale Hose Talk
There's most definitely a CONSPIRACY related to KyYLe and Bmaggs, somehow. I figured it out from watching Episode 3 of Watchmen. -
So much for Starlin Castro's or Schoop's market...or Yolmer's, for that matter. Joins the Gennett/Dickerson potentially undervalued list...at least by fWAR considerations.
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Playing time?
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If that's the case, going by JR's newfound generosity with Abreu, Moncada will get $250 million and Robert $125 million.
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The ghosts of Pearce and Markakis?
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Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
caulfield12 replied to Soxnfins's topic in Pale Hose Talk
And/or nobody nationally cares that much about Burr to do anything but report it afterwards...especially since he's currently on the shelf. -
Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
caulfield12 replied to Soxnfins's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Bleacher Report has Wheeler (eventually) signing with White Sox and Dodgers in on Cole, Strasburg and Rendon, but at “their” comfortable prices. Who knows, maybe not having one huge mega thread like last year w/ Machado will work out... Of course, there were also two separate occasions ESPN stories headlined Machado to the White Sox was believed to be imminent and everyone got excited (at least temporarily.) https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2863412-zack-wheeler-could-be-the-perfect-gerrit-cole-replacement-for-the-astros Argues for the Astros going after Wheeler despite being $30+ million into luxury tax land. BB Abbott, Andrew Lowenthal and others from Jet Sports are his agents, in case it wasn’t posted in this new thread. -
Brewers/Padres Trade: Urias/Lauer for Zach Davies/Trent Grisham
caulfield12 replied to bmags's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Naylor belongs at 1B/DH. And that’s not even counting Franmil Reyes, Travis Jankowski, Akex Dickerson, etc. Margot is toast. Cordero is likely a victim of numbers game as well. Their version of Adolfo. Naylor is likely trade bait in the same value range as Collins. Trammell and Grisham are the two guys they now have to hope break out, along with a huge Myers rebound. Renfroe had a great first half and cooled down considerably the last two months. Plus they’re now waiting on Edwards and Abrams at 2B...so that’s a stopgap signing. Kinsler is also toast. -
Brewers/Padres Trade: Urias/Lauer for Zach Davies/Trent Grisham
caulfield12 replied to bmags's topic in Pale Hose Talk
They had no choice. He was abysmal offensively. Couldn’t go into a must compete season relying on him again. Prospects bust at an alarming rate. Even Top 15-25 ones. -
So they now have Strahm and Pomeranz from the LH side...Yates closing. Pomeranz can be an excellent swingman in that division. Grisham for starting CF, so they need a 2B still with Urias gone. Margot should be gone. Renfroe and Myers the other two outfielders, with 2B and some uncertainty remaining about Mejia/Hedges at catcher.
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Brewers/Padres Trade: Urias/Lauer for Zach Davies/Trent Grisham
caulfield12 replied to bmags's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I think they hold onto him for at least 2020...he’s more expendable when Gore arrives, but they desperately need to up the ante for 2020 in terms of fighting for a WC spot at least. Lucchesi gives you innings and usually keeps his team in the game. Strong competitor. Very calm and poised demeanor. -
What role does Sheets have going forward? With Abreu moving to DH in 2021 with Vaughn at first, he gone. This is a trade KW would typically make 98/100 times.
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Brewers/Padres Trade: Urias/Lauer for Zach Davies/Trent Grisham
caulfield12 replied to bmags's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Lauer is basically Jim Parque with slighty better stuff...or a really poor man’s Q. Fox the Sox, he would be the perfect swingman and he’s LH. Obviously Milwaukee just needs affordable bodies for the rotation, and Davies was going to become increasingly expensive. Miley and Gio are similar possibilities. -
Zack Wheeler: To the Phils (5yr 118); Sox had made BIGGER offer
caulfield12 replied to Soxnfins's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Strasburg still seems likely to return to Washington. If someone gives Rendon 7 years, no way they match that. -
Brewers/Padres Trade: Urias/Lauer for Zach Davies/Trent Grisham
caulfield12 replied to bmags's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Urias is a very strong defender but he struggled all season just to get to .200. Lauer is just mehhh. Padres trying to ump the ante in the rotation with Richards back from TJ with expiring deal next year...Lucchesi and especially Lauer expendable. Rotation looks like Paddack, Davies, Lucchesi, G.Richards, Lamet/Quantrill...with Gore pushing to be the second ace, and quickly. Grisham has as good an opportunity as anyone to break through as an impact player...Braun/Cain/Yelich and Huira ensconced there for MIL in 2020 and Urias needed a scenery change. Moustakas would be another possibility at 2B. Schoop or Gennett?
