Everything posted by caulfield12
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Sox sign Adam Eaton 1 year, $7m plus option
I was joking (knock on wood), but, with all that said, even if it blows up in their faces completely, one would never in a million years expect a mea culpa out of either LaRussa or Reinsdorf. With all that said, would love to have been a fly on the wall in the Hahn and Kenny Williams households over the last month or so.
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Sox sign Adam Eaton 1 year, $7m plus option
It's going to be impossible to separate Eaton and LaRussa from the jobs they're doing between the lines to the various opinions people have about them politically...but that's the society we now have to deal with. Frankly, I think most would forgive a LOT if we get another White Sox World Series championship out of it. That said, if they don't perform or are underwhelming, that's when the political angle will certainly come out.
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Sox sign Adam Eaton 1 year, $7m plus option
Well, to suddenly be "for" Adam Eaton now after all the abuse that he's taken over the last 4-5 years on this message board is the equivalent of a QAnon member suddenly switching to Antifa. And it's too bad they didn't ask Abreu or Anderson if they thought holding onto "He Who Shall Not Be Named" would be advisable...that would have made this whole World Series run a whole lot easier.
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Sox sign Adam Eaton 1 year, $7m plus option
It would be pretty amazing if LaRussa did something with the White Sox to get removed from the HoF. That would be the perfect century-long bookend to Shoeless Joe Jackson in team lore. It was bad (although understandable enough) with Fisk picking the Red Sox over the White Sox cap. At least we got Baines with the iconic hat in there. And, with the way things are looking, Chris Sale is going to be on the outside looking in, although probably a 50/50 bet right now.
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Sox sign Adam Eaton 1 year, $7m plus option
Just waiting for the 2020-21 versions of Gordon Beckham, Emilio Bonifacio and Zach Duke to fill out the earlier comps. Shark=Lynn (NL vet) Cabrera=Eaton (grizzled veterans) Robertson=Hendriks (although Hendriks is obviously more of a pure stuff guy, compared to Robertson's cutter and knuckle-curve being his two out pitches) You can pretty much bank on either Yadi Molina or Adam Wainright being Sox at some point.
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COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
Looks like an English Premier League presser, or one of the leftover cast members from Snatch.
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Sox sign Adam Eaton 1 year, $7m plus option
Isn't hoping for return to health for thirty-something players who have been injury-prone for much of their careers....just so White Soxy? Otoh, if we can ignore stats that are not there due to injury, can we please erase Luis Robert's late season swoon and award him AL ROY? If Eaton can even put up a 2+ fWAR in 2021, it would be a huge win. Of course, we'd then be relying on a one year older version in one of the most important years of the entire competitive window. Leave it to the White Sox to have their best team in decades sidelined by not being able to draw on the massive expected incoming (attendance/sponsorship) revenue increases we'd been banking on... They better hope they are not fading again by the time that recently extended five year broadcasting rights deal expires again. As it stands, they've already missed the window of billion plus deals by 3-5 years...first, too late, and then too early with this latest round coming before they had a contending team again. The only more ill-timed fiasco was the Cubs with Marquee.
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Sox sign Adam Eaton 1 year, $7m plus option
If we had $1 for every time we'd witnessed that same argument at SoxTalk over the last twenty years or so, we'd all be decamillionaires by now. But who knows, right? Every 20 years or so, the Big 10 is also better than the ACC in basketball...so absolutely anything's at least theoretically possible.
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Sox sign Adam Eaton 1 year, $7m plus option
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/adam-eatons-defensive-numbers-keep-getting-even-crazier/ 2016 was such an anomaly defensively because he accumulated so much WAR from outfield assists alone...not unlike the one huge season Avisail Garcia put together for the White Sox. He had a 3.7, 3.9 and then 5.9 from 2014-2016 for the White Sox. In other words, an average of 4.5 over that time span, with 2016 the outlier. Ever since he left the White Sox, he only has 4.2 fWAR. The average from those last four seasons barely makes him a 1 fWAR player. So we've upgrade from Mazara's basically 0 to Eaton's 1 fWAR for about $7.5 million. Balta would be proud, wherever he is...it's just amazing how practically the entire fanbase has been calling for a Joc Pederson trade for what must be going on 4 years now but now we're essentially stuck with Tony LaRussa's 2010ish evaluation of MLB players. Yikes.
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Sox acquire Lance Lynn for Dane Dunning and Avery Weems
As long as it’s not Shelby Miller.
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Sox acquire Lance Lynn for Dane Dunning and Avery Weems
Next up, Wainright. Plus, he just won the Roberto Clemente Award for his off the field contributions. Fwiw, don’t think this will be our last link to the Cardinals while TLR is running things...
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COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
The real problem is one year plus out...and further mutations in the virus down the road.
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Len Kasper is new White Sox radio play by play announcer
LOL. I was just assuming someone got a little presumptuous on AOC's political rise, but the picture was a bit of a shocker (and not WheatShocker for all those Jason Sudeikis/Ted Lasso fans out there.) Also, she was considered one of the top 3-5 favorites in the middle of 2016 for the Dem nomination.
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2020 Election Thoughts
The Electoral College vote was the same, 306-232. Popular vote margin about twice Clinton's, roughly 7 million more. Georgia likely will split in the runoffs, leaving Senate GOP 49-51 with Romney/Murkowski/Collins and Manchin as swing votes.
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Baseball Prospectus Top 10 White Sox Prospects
Don't forget to include Fathom/Jack Parkman specifically...and Greg is skeptical because the one player who can bunt against the infield shift isn't interesting enough I guess. I do remember he (Madrigal) was getting murdered by doubters because of his quite pedestrian numbers after his first limited exposure to pro ball...seems he just never was 100% with all the lingering injuries that season.
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Jake Burger Thread
What about the Arch Deluxe?
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Offseason Targets
Garrett Richards seems to be getting closer and closer. His velocity is back, but not command/control. I think that will come with a more consistent role and pushing up his innings each year removed from TJS. Kluber just seems like much more of a roll of the dice. Unless they're going to spend big on RF, the "all-in" years don't really start until 2022 unless the Twins and Indians (much more likely) start tearing down their teams. Obviously, Abreu is going to decline, but you don't make your 2020 plans (trying to leverage more MVP year out of him in the contention window) largely based on that, because the odds of him having a repeat of his 2019 season again aren't that great to begin with.
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2020 Election Thoughts
50% of each contribution, up to a maximum of $2,800 ($5,000), to be designated toward DJTFP’s 2020 general election account for general election debt retirement until such debt is retired. 50% of each contribution, up to a maximum of $2,800 ($5,000), to be designated toward DJTFP’s Recount Account. Any amount that exceeds the applicable contribution limit for 2020 general election debt retirement, including any amounts donated to DJTFP after such debt has been retired, will be designated in full toward DJFTP’s Recount Account, up to a maximum of $2,800 ($5,000). I've read where this number has shifted from 50% (general election debt retirement) to somewhere in the vicinity of 60-75% over the last week. Of course, the danger here is that he's taking money away from the two GA run-off races. Reverend Warnock appears to have a much better shot to win than Ossoff against Perdue, fwiw. That would mean 49-51 with Romney/Mnuchin as possible swing votes. https://currently.att.yahoo.com/att/georgia-senate-race-reminds-republicans-154714822.html Warnock's campaign, unlike that of many Democrats in recent years, hasn't shied away from religious appeals to voters and making the election about moral reality. This even applies to the issues that Democrats are most often averse to discuss through a religious frame. "I'm a pro-choice pastor, and I believe that a hospital room is way too small for a woman, her doctor, and the United States government," Warnock tweeted recently. He's also pledged to support the Equality Act, which would amend existing civil rights law -- including the Civil Rights Act of 1964 championed by King -- to explicitly include sexual orientation and gender identity as protected characteristics. Warnock isn't alone. Many progressives today are rooting their political appeals in their religious convictions at levels that haven't been seen since King and the Civil Rights Movement. "The Squad" in the House of Representatives have all embraced religious appeals. Religion News Service even described them as "the new version of the God Squad." Earlier this year, New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez gave a passionate defense of LGBTQ rights rooted in her faith during a congressional hearing: "I feel as though if Christ himself walked through these doors and said what he said thousands of years ago, that we should love our neighbor and our enemy, that we should welcome the stranger, fight for the least of us ... he would be maligned as a radical and rejected from these doors."
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COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
What doesn't make sense is that if he really wanted to win in 2024, why wouldn't Trump do everything possible to get Emergency Use Authorization for the Moderna vaccine (and Pfizer, too) and start getting it distributed at the end of November? I can see stalling or not doing anything on the stimulus, that's typical politics of not wanting to help someone of the opposite party coming into office (we haven't seen an incumbent lose since Bush in 1992.) Instead of throwing a tantrum, Trump could at least make an argument that reopening the economy and betting on a vaccine was the optimal choice, and the timeline they've achieved (public/private partnerships without the WHO/China) would have beaten all but the most optimistic timelines from back in March/April/May about how long it would take to get a product out on the market and mass distributed. He's obviously STILL going to spend the next four years trying to take credit for the vaccine, no matter how things would out ultimately with Covid-19 and the total death count, as well as the speculated-upon number of deaths that could have been avoided had he not thrown a child-like fit for the past 2+ weeks now. 1,956 deaths in the US yesterday 1,658 the day before
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2020 Election Thoughts
Even so, the JPMorgan strategist laid out several developments that could cast doubt on that outcome, including that one or more states submit competing slates of electors. Those competing slates would then be resolved January 6 by the new Congress through rules spelled out in the Electoral Count Act of 1887. "The nightmare scenario for markets," according to Cembalest, would be if Senate Republicans declare the ECA unconstitutional, flip three states in Trump's favor to give him the required 270 electoral votes and Democrats refuse to participate. "All of which sets up the prospect of dueling inaugurations," Cembalest wrote, noting that this outcome was only "narrowly averted" in 1876. Another risk laid out by Cembalest is if Barr directs investigators to "seize or impound election records" to probe for voter fraud, slowing down the process. https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/18/business/stock-market-election-trump-jpmorgan/index.html
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2020 Election Thoughts
Now comes my own failure, and the failure of the people with labels just like me. I am a Bible-believing Christian minister, I am blue collar, and I have been a committed member of the working-class poor most of my life. Many of my people support Trump and will continue in four years to support the next Trump type if the Democratic Party doesn't start changing its approach. By the way, the Trump type is here to stay. Trump brought in more votes than any other Republican ever — the Republicans aren't just going to wash their hands of him now. That's just a pipe dream of the left. The true path to defeating Trumpism forever lies within the blue-collar, working-class poor of this country. If I had any political network besides a bunch of package handlers at FedEx I would start a new political party called the Blue Collar Party, the leaders of which would only be front-line workers around this great country. The laborers, the line workers, the waitresses, the janitors, the shovel holders and anyone else suffering from holding up this country. These people understand this country more than any reporter, politician or entertainer with a voice and a big salary ever could. The best part of that blue-collar fight is that it empowers all races, since class doesn't have a color. Naturally enough, providing upward mobility to the working-class poor will predominantly bring hope to many people of color and will potentially show a new sense of unity that could break down some of the barriers between races. I have worked side by side with the working-class poor who love Trump, and I promise you there is hope in reaching them. Hell, Obama reached them a little, and Bernie Sanders did more so. Even Bill Clinton did, but for the most part they feel forgotten by the Democratic Party. In spite of all this, the liberal media simply wants to explain away half the country as racist, sexist and ignorant voters. God forbid the vote they gave for Trump had a genuine purpose. I admit it may have been a flawed purpose but it's one that needs to be addressed before the country completely loses sight of itself. https://www.yahoo.com/now/understanding-trump-voters-heres-why-110001165.html Along with continuing to battle for and chipping away at some of the religious centrists/moderates, this idea makes a lot of sense. Doing it is another matter altogether. Cheri Bustos, who had a REALLY difficult time defending her NW Illinois district from a challenge and Klobuchar (like her message more than her personally) and Buttigieg are all in the right "territory" but it has to be an emotional call like a Reagan or Trump...it can't be confused for technocratic, McKinsey & Co. consulting reports in terms of socioeconomic arguments. It requires emotion and charisma.
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COVID-19/Coronavirus thread
There’s going to be enough material for Bob Woodward to write another full book at this rate. Maybe the strategy is to let Covid run free so as to discourage an attack against the US when Defense, CIA, FBI top leadership is fired or crippled? Of course, that would require the admin having any “strategic” plan other than retiring campaign debt until January 20th. Operation OAN is already up and running, it seems.
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2020 Election Thoughts
Wisconsin Republicans caught apparently encouraging voter fraud in Pennsylvania Ballots received by that point without postmarks, or with illegible postmarks, will be considered to have been mailed in time 'unless a preponderance of the evidence demonstrates that it was mailed after Election Day,'" the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports, adding that "in Pennsylvania, postage is prepaid on some ballot envelopes. These prepaid envelopes are not automatically postmarked." The idea appeared to be to slip votes through by the Friday deadline in order to swing margins in the state back in Trump's favor, although Ben Geffen, an attorney at the Public Interest Law Center in Philadelphia, mused to The Daily Beast, "I wonder if they’re doing this in hopes of slipping one through and then waving it around as an example of the flawed process." Either way, experts agreed the plan was exceedingly dumb. "This seems deeply stupid as it seems to be a solicitation to commit voter fraud," Richard Hasen, an elections law specialist, told the Journal Sentinel. "It's hard to believe this is real." https://www.yahoo.com/news/wisconsin-republicans-caught-apparently-encouraging-141226986.html
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2020 Election Thoughts
Fine, Az/Phoenix/Maricopa...Nevada is LV/Clark and Reno. GA spread over 7000, PA nearing 30,000 and could end up at 75-100,000 with provisionals. Nevada also trending in the right direction...everywhere but AZ. It would be hard to set foot in any US state, since I haven’t been able to leave Wuhan since August, 2019.
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2020 Election Thoughts
Nevada down to around 30k, started day at 47k....but only one more significant Maricopa dump of another 85,000 coming in tomorrow. One from tonight was 38k Trump, 31k Biden.