caulfield12

Look at the last three years aggregated. Identical numbers.

On a three year basis, he hits lefties and RHP almost exactly the same...uncanny. Every single number is within 10/100th’s of each other. http://www.espn.com/mlb/player/splits/_/id/31668/type/batting3

Bumgarner might come close...there’s just no way that Keuchel and Ryu are in that neighborhood. If that’s the case, we might never sign a premium FA pitcher...the likes of Robbie Ray or Wheeler would be about the best we could hope for.

2.4 2.6 and 2.8 along with the 4.5 and 5.0 seasons argue he’s much closer to 3 than 2. Or, to be more accurate...expected 2-3 fWAR.

Where do Vaughn/Abreu play in 2021? Trading significant assets for Pederson seems unlikely...unless Grandal, Ryu and Pederson are all best buddies from their Dodgers’ days. Then they’d need to go out and spend more money again to replace Pederson after this season. Maybe if they fill in the blanks with Ryu or Keuchel and some bullpen help first...then we can argue about Pederson as a finishing touch to get them from 83-85 to high 80’s in wins.

Well, yeah....he’s got 4.5 and 5 fWAR seasons on his resume. But signing him expecting those numbers again at age 29 isn’t the likeliest outcome here.

Walker seems to be one in particular that’s drawing positive attention as a solid bounce back guy. Maybe our new (pitching) niche is that we can become known for successfully rehabbing so many TJ guys.

You can’t move Jimenez to DH because Abreu will be there sooner or later... Other than his two huge outliers, he has been a pretty consistent 2.5ish fWAR player in 3 of the past 4 years...now whether that’s worth $60-80 million instead of a Calhoun at 1.5 or Joc’s positional versatility at 2.5-3.5 (but more of a platoon hitter), who knows.

No thread headline change?

Too big a risk in terms of uncertainty...they can’t afford another revolving door of AAAA level players. And LFer’s usually don’t have enough arm to play RF. Not always, but have you watched him play? It’s the exact same reason we can’t afford to pay Ozuna $75-95 million for lackluster defense and unpredictable offensive outcomes at that salary level.

Sure, but they just drafted a much more dynamic version of him in Abrams. The thinking has to be they can cheaply fill 2B on a year-by-year basis while they’re waiting. Owen Miller had a “solid” AA season in the Texas League, and they like him a lot.

I watched his team and the White Sox for 60-70 games...at least. Eye test. He wasn’t Reyes bad, but we would have been ultimately disappointed with him and Jimenez on the corners. It’s the exact same reason the Padres dumped both, despite their all or nothing power numbers.

Alcantara?

He also had a 562 ops in the second half with only six homers and 75 K’s in 174 at bats. Batting average of .161!!! Pitchers discovered the hole in his swing. His outfield assists cancelled out his below average defense. He’s not very mobile...and that will be even more pronounced on turf.

3/$48 for Keuchel...3/$54? Doubt anyone would be too happy with 3/$60 guaranteed.

Sure, other than Ryan, Drysdale, Gibson and your two HoFers... and, as far as that goes, there's still no logical reason why Verlander would have a dead arm for 2~3 years and then miraculously get his stuff (mostly) back again.

If we had a 1.6-1.9 RFer with a power arm...well, it was Avi. But we wouldn’t now be trading him for just two years of control if we had extended him with a long-term deal through 2023 at least. And we don’t have any expendable Top 75ish prospects, either. And the Rays obviously value Renfroe over Avi as well.

Keuchel might be closer to $50...but $60ish is most accurate for both.

Miguel Cleto Ver.2. Or another in the long line of Veira’s and Burdi’s.

Of the five starting pitchers averaging 97 mph plus, Wheeler/Severino/Thor have already had their share of injury problems already...Glasnow and Eeovaldi as well. (That’s not to mention Kopech...and Lopez isn’t that far below at around 96.) There’s just too much risk involved the way the White Sox operate financially to give out $250-280 million to a starting pitcher who throw that hard.

Some are projecting Betts at $370 million and Stras at $238 million in overall contract dollars...

Marte has two remaining years, fwiw...

4/$84 million

Trade outfielder Starling Marté to the Cincinnati Reds in exchange for third baseman Jonathan India, outfielder Jesse Winker and right-handed pitcher Tyler Mahle. Bowden has Cincy blowing away the Collins+ offer...but Puig signing elsewhere for 4/$48, too. Both seem to be overpays, both trade proposal and FA market prices.

We’ll see...Bumgarner to the Twins right now makes a ton of sense. That assumes Ryu wants to stay West.