Cleveland is not built to win. Going by WARP, their two best hitters are their middle infielders and their best pitcher is a reliever. They don't have a stud hitter like Konerko/Dunn/Cabrera/Fielder or a stud starter like Verlander/Sale/Peavy to give them a jolt when things aren't going well.
I think the Indians are in 3rd place by the end of July, if not sooner.