I think they would have finished better in 2021 and had a more favorable 1st round matchup. Would they have advanced? Who knows. I also think they would have been better than .500 in 2022, but would they have been good enough to make the post-season? Hahn's rebuild had so many holes and the lack of depth still would have haunted them.
If anything, I think Hinch would have delayed the inevitable collapse. But I think we would still be facing a similar fate to where we find ourselves now.