20 hours ago20 hr 41 minutes ago, Quin said:I remember when the Astros and Marlins tricked themselves into thinking Aiken and Kolek would be better than Rodon.Obviously Rodon didn't live up to his ceiling, but 22 fWAR isn't anything to sneeze at.I think the view was that Rodon was almost unsignable. He wanted the Sun, the Moon and the Stars. The Sox signed him last and wentright up to about $5k of the "lose next year's 1st rounder" limit.
16 hours ago16 hr Marlins were desperately trying to save money. They didn't even spend their entire pool and traded their competitive balance pick before the draft to further lessen their obligations. Astros were trying to get cute with the pool and got burned on that go-around. Some folks got cold feet about Carlos thanks to his last college season not being quite as good as the previous (at least with regard to his strikeout rate and total baserunners). Sox didn't get cute and I think Carlos was the right pick given the info available. Sox ultimately experienced the inherent risk of taking a pitcher in that it took a long time to get a healthy version of Carlos in MLB...and not long after that, he was out the door as a free agent.
16 hours ago16 hr I've seen a lot of chatter about Roch's batting splits (which, I should emphasize, are uniformly small sample size and hard to take seriously). Roch in 3 games against SEC: .273/.357/.636, .994 OPSRoch in 14 games against RPI top 50: .382/.485/.782, 1.267 OPSRoch in 24 games against RPI Q1 + Q2: .337/.492/.696, 1.188 OPSRoch in 12 games on Fridays (i.e., against opposing ace): .255/.413/.489, .902 OPSRoch in 8 games on Fridays against RPI top 100 opponents: .364/.488/.697, 1.185 OPSSo to me, not obvious that he shrivels up and dies against good opponents or is particularly feasting on bad opponents. Some additional commentary that his numbers year over year are very similar. I'll note that these splits were very different last season...3 games against SEC: .077/.077/.077, .154 OPS23 games against RPI top 50: .273/.383/.455, .838 OPS29 games against RPI Q1 + Q2: .293/.390/.517, .907 OPS15 games on Fridays: .276/.405/.517, .923 OPS8 games on Fridays against RPI top 100: .167/.257/.367, .624 OPSWhile I wouldn't advise taking any of it too seriously, it is descriptively true that under the hood his 2026 production has shifted more towards hitting well against good competition.
16 hours ago16 hr 9 minutes ago, Jake said:I've seen a lot of chatter about Roch's batting splits (which, I should emphasize, are uniformly small sample size and hard to take seriously).Roch in 3 games against SEC: .273/.357/.636, .994 OPSRoch in 14 games against RPI top 50: .382/.485/.782, 1.267 OPSRoch in 24 games against RPI Q1 + Q2: .337/.492/.696, 1.188 OPSRoch in 12 games on Fridays (i.e., against opposing ace): .255/.413/.489, .902 OPSRoch in 8 games on Fridays against RPI top 100 opponents: .364/.488/.697, 1.185 OPSSo to me, not obvious that he shrivels up and dies against good opponents or is particularly feasting on bad opponents.Some additional commentary that his numbers year over year are very similar. I'll note that these splits were very different last season...3 games against SEC: .077/.077/.077, .154 OPS23 games against RPI top 50: .273/.383/.455, .838 OPS29 games against RPI Q1 + Q2: .293/.390/.517, .907 OPS15 games on Fridays: .276/.405/.517, .923 OPS8 games on Fridays against RPI top 100: .167/.257/.367, .624 OPSWhile I wouldn't advise taking any of it too seriously, it is descriptively true that under the hood his 2026 production has shifted more towards hitting well against good competition.Great post.
15 hours ago15 hr 44 minutes ago, Jake said:I've seen a lot of chatter about Roch's batting splits (which, I should emphasize, are uniformly small sample size and hard to take seriously).Roch in 3 games against SEC: .273/.357/.636, .994 OPSRoch in 14 games against RPI top 50: .382/.485/.782, 1.267 OPSRoch in 24 games against RPI Q1 + Q2: .337/.492/.696, 1.188 OPSRoch in 12 games on Fridays (i.e., against opposing ace): .255/.413/.489, .902 OPSRoch in 8 games on Fridays against RPI top 100 opponents: .364/.488/.697, 1.185 OPSSo to me, not obvious that he shrivels up and dies against good opponents or is particularly feasting on bad opponents.Some additional commentary that his numbers year over year are very similar. I'll note that these splits were very different last season...3 games against SEC: .077/.077/.077, .154 OPS23 games against RPI top 50: .273/.383/.455, .838 OPS29 games against RPI Q1 + Q2: .293/.390/.517, .907 OPS15 games on Fridays: .276/.405/.517, .923 OPS8 games on Fridays against RPI top 100: .167/.257/.367, .624 OPSWhile I wouldn't advise taking any of it too seriously, it is descriptively true that under the hood his 2026 production has shifted more towards hitting well against good competition.You should tweet these numbers so I can retweet them without stealing it haha
13 hours ago13 hr Beat out infield single. I want to know why the hitters look in the stands behind home plate. What’s there for them?
8 hours ago8 hr 4 hours ago, flavum said:Beat out infield single. I want to know why the hitters look in the stands behind home plate. What’s there for them?Girlfriends families scouts … groupies I guess aren’t described with that word in 2026, what’s the politically correct term besides fans/followers?
4 hours ago4 hr 9 hours ago, flavum said:Beat out infield single. I want to know why the hitters look in the stands behind home plate. What’s there for them?They imitate what big leaguers do on TV. Happens in every sport to some degree.
3 hours ago3 hr 1 hour ago, oldsox said:They imitate what big leaguers do on TV. Happens in every sport to some degree.No, I’m talking about during the at-bat, every pitch. What the hell is he looking at?They’re on Big 10 again tonight at 8:30.
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