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bmags

Admin
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Everything posted by bmags

  1. Only two left. And they were the two that may very well not have working arms.
  2. baseball isn't a business
  3. I never thought when I made that trash heap pitchers thread that it was actually a bunch of guys that were too expensive for the sox
  4. So yeah, teams that listen to how star free agents value themselves are able to close deals. Teams that try to "read the market" with star free agents don't.
  5. Is he a person worth paying attention to? Another question to all: Have there been other QBs that fell apart like Wentz did then came back to be their initial selves? I can't really think of any. Matt Hasselback had some down years and up years.
  6. Disclaimer: I am surprised that his numbers in 2019 were good. I thought the discontent over Wentz started last year. But his Y/A did start to crater that year, so maybe it was the beginning of his gunshy stuff.
  7. I don't really know what to think. I thought there was a phrase one time "once shown, twice repeated" with the implication that after you show you can do something once you should be able to do it again with prospects. But i think I made it up which was sad, because that means it is not based on anything. When he was great, Wentz was incredible on third down, improvising, feeling the pressure. But his offensive line then was maybe top 3 in league. Then we saw him behind average to bad olines and he looked like a shell of himself. So is he this bad? Is he a rebound candidate? Is he a mid tier 12-18 QB that is dependent on talent around him? I don't know. But I just don't know, he looked awful. Here is what it could mean for bears Carson Wentz, PHI, 28 Traded before March 19 $33.8M of dead cap to the Eagles ($853k saved). New team acquires a 4 year, $100.4M contract, with cap hits of $25.4M (GTD)/$22M ($15M GTD)/$27M/$26M. Released before March 19 $59.2M of dead cap to the Eagles ($24.5M lost). Traded between March 20 - June 1 $43.8M of dead cap to the Eagles ($9.14M lost). New team acquires a 4 year, $90.4M contract, with cap hits of $15.4M (GTD)/$22M ($15M GTD)/$27M/$26M. Released between March 20 - June 1 $74.2M of dead cap to the Eagles ($39.5M lost). Traded after June 1 $19.2M of 2021 dead cap ($15.4M saved), $24.5M of 2022 dead cap ($6.72M saved) to the Eagles. New team acquires a 4 year, $90.4M contract, with cap hits of $15.4M (GTD)/$22M ($15M GTD)/$27M/$26M. Released after June 1 $49.6M of 2021 dead cap ($15M lost), $24.5M of 2022 dead cap ($67.2M saved) to the Eagles. Courtesy of spotrac. So if they have a handshake deal to execute it before March 19th, the bears have essentially a 2 year $47 million deal. If they have a handshake deal to execute it on March 20th, it's basically a 2 year $30 million deal.
  8. .6% of IL population vaccinated in a day yesterday. Starting to really cook
  9. What are the FS guys thoughts on Davis Martin? Will he be in bullpen this year or do they keep trying him at starter?
  10. Phew I was kinda sorta starting to get worried after that whole tejada jr thing.
  11. Someone needs to tell Lucas the truth that he is not good at naming things before this gets out of hand.
  12. So this was basically answered. The Angels are only paying Fowler 2.5 million of his salary.
  13. South Dakota would be a counter. But also rural tends to skew older, which is at odds with the current tiers that are prioritizing (rightly) 65 y.o. plus because of the higher risk of hospitalization and death. I'm not sure any of the considerations are wrong, but there are trade-offs. And I do feel 100% positive and confident that what vaccinations look like in April where it is in a phase 1c or phase 2 are going to be much more mass scale than today, where it is threading a needle on targeting.
  14. bmags replied to Chisoxfn's topic in SLaM
    interesting stuff. I think I do believe that something like real-time settlement would be less beneficial for those currently clamoring for it than the current system. The no fees, cheap options trading world that made GME possible also are what led it to blow up. https://www.dtcc.com/dtcc-connection/articles/2021/february/04/why-shortening-the-settlement-cycle-will-benefit-the-industry-and-investors
  15. I think there may be some cases where this is true, but a lot of the issues are stemming from rationing a limited supply. The private enterprise solution to this would be auctioning or price discrimination. That is not a solution here. Governments are having to deal with a perishable item by guessing efficiently getting the right amount of vaccine for their targeted populations. IL has mostly relied on appointments to make it easier. But they've had two issues - populations in the eligible group denying their right to vaccine, and people not showing up for appointments. That's where you end up with the random people getting it in stores. They are trying to "be fair" and get it to the right groups first, but then sometimes those groups aren't there, and then the vaccine may be about to expire. That's where in some places first come / first serve is better. There are long lines, but you are giving the available vaccine to those who show up. But it's not easy or convenient. Or you allow people to ensure a spot around their schedule, but end up with daily waste where you aren't allowed to just give it out to the people in front of you. The fairness is a big obstacle, but it's also what people expect of their government. A private corp could just prioritize large population centers in the beginning (it's easy), and move out. But that's not fair to rural areas. Interestingly, most anecdotal evidence I know of people in places like Adams county is there are plenty of appts every day, while there are non months out by us. Anyway that's why I hate the "so and so skipped the line!" stories. The end result would just be slowing things down more. 100% of the focus should just be on getting it all out quickly as possible and putting all pressure on production and distribution.
  16. AstroZaneca/Oxford vaccine 75% effective against UK variant. good vaccines
  17. I do wonder if part of this is where the division we're in makes Jerry the worst version of himself. If we are instead staring at the Dodgers or the Yanks/Rays every year does it change? When you have the dodgers in your division you can't say "well an injury here or there". The Indians overwhelmed with star power most of these years. Same with DET. Sox haven't had to face the teams that try to hack the regular season with that kind of depth. Instead we are recreating the star model. And we have a lot of em. But a few injuries could crush this season.
  18. BA top 30 sounded like Weaver had made some progress last year at instructs. The interesting question to me will be - is hi-A or lo-A at the typical talent level we expect most years? Or with every other team facing same placement issues on their prospects new gap year will what would have been an aggressive assignment in previous years be relatively on point.
  19. I’m surprised cards didn’t have to send a player with tbh
  20. Oh hell yes they would. They lost their damn mind when Lucroy was good and made some ad to boost his all star votes that “disrespected” Yadi and they lost their damn mind

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