shysocks

.332/.408/.568, 26 HR

QUOTE (Stev-o @ Feb 5, 2015 -> 03:52 PM) The Cubs will lead MLB in striking out next year. They have a lot of "free swingers" on that team. IMO, teams that don't make a lot of contact, don't win consistently. BTW, I also think that their bullpen is WAYYY overrated. That's not really a matter of opinion, it's either true or it's not. You did make me curious, so I researched 2010-2014. Warning: Nerd stuff ahead. There's a minor relationship between strikeouts and wins. Minor. A 7.7% r-squared means that about 7.7% of a team's record in the last five years can be explained by a team's K-rate. But it's heavily influenced by the 2013 Astros, the only team in history to crack a 25% K-rate, and a team that happened to have the worst pitching in franchise history too. If you take them away, that 7.7% becomes 5.5%. There are a few other teams in that bottom right quadrant that bolster your claim, so if you wanna say "teams that really reallydon't make a lot of contact don't win consistently," I can maybe get behind that. None of the teams that led the league in K% these five years cracked 73 wins, so if the Cubs claim that honor we're gonna see what happens. But obviously you have to factor in pitching and defense.

QUOTE (caulfield12 @ Feb 6, 2015 -> 09:44 AM) I'll still gladly take Viciedo over Beckham to have more homers from 2015 until the end of their respective careers. Lol I don't see how any sane person would argue with you.

http://grantland.com/features/worst-mlb-co...prince-fielder/ Included: A number of guys brought up as Soxtalk offseason targets at one point or another (Edwin Jackson, Andre Ethier, Joshn Hamilton, Ryan Howard). Not included: John Danks or any other White Sox. I would take any of these guys before Prince Fielder, for the record. Thanks Rangers!

QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Feb 5, 2015 -> 03:41 PM) Mike & Mike ‏@MikeAndMike 7h7 hours ago "It's a conversation I'm expecting to have." - MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred on Pete Rose's Hall of Fame eligibility Seems like the ultimate non-answer. That could mean anything from "I'm going to put all my efforts into getting him in" to "I'm expecting to be annoyed by people asking me about this, like you just did."

QUOTE (raBBit @ Feb 5, 2015 -> 05:13 PM) I disagree with their currents being of the best. Ditch the teal and navy and bring back the navy and gold. Or just turn ahead the clock...

QUOTE (Alexeihyeess @ Feb 5, 2015 -> 10:55 PM) They were thinking about having him catch this year. Which is an even more hilarious notion than before this happened. Maybe the Tigers are better off having this happen in the offseason than during some game he would have caught in May.

QUOTE (iamshack @ Feb 4, 2015 -> 09:56 PM) So the one year wedding anniversary is in April and I'm trying to get out ahead of this thing. Did some internet research and it appears that there are two types of gifts for year 1...the traditional "paper" gift or the modern "clocks" gift. Did you guys follow these rules or did you just figure out your own gift? We're past 3 now and have never followed those suggestions, so I would say don't worry about it.

QUOTE (Joshua Strong @ Feb 4, 2015 -> 02:16 PM) I was hoping that they could get a comp pick for him. Comp picks are valued, so that was never gonna happen.

QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Feb 4, 2015 -> 02:06 PM) I am pretty stunned they couldn't find someone to give them garbage for him. I was beating the non-tender drum pretty hard, and even I thought they'd probably get something for him. We'll always have this.

One of the top 2 Yency's of all time.

He can apply what he learned with the Heat. For example, the crowd loves when you shout what point of the game it is. Twwwwooooooooo minutes - DOS!

QUOTE (TaylorStSox @ Feb 4, 2015 -> 10:05 AM) And Lenny Kravitz' guitar was actually plugged in too. I'm not an idiot, I don't think she was singing the whole show, but I specifically remember her voice varying as she was walking down steps or bouncing or whatever. So either she was singing, or it was the most convincing track of all time.

QUOTE (TaylorStSox @ Feb 4, 2015 -> 09:45 AM) As if "as a professional singer" somehow gives your statement any merit. She wasn't singing live. it doesn't matter anyway. It's theater, not music. I thought she was definitely singing for at least part of it. Those sharks will live in my memory forever.

142 qualified relievers last year. Nathan's ranks: GB% 96th, K% 82nd, BB% 128th, FIP 114th, SIERA 125th. Of guys who piled saves, his K-rate was one of the lowest; the guys who were lower were either Latroy Hawkins or were explicit groundballers (Zach Britton, Petricka). Plus he's 40. I'm sticking a fork in him. Any belief that he'll be better than Duke has to be based on the belief that Duke can't sustain his improvements. That's a thought I can understand but I don't share it. I know the article was just a "who's better" thing and didn't factor contracts, but I'd also easily take Duke for 3/$15 over Nathan for 1/$11.

QUOTE (Chilihead90 @ Feb 3, 2015 -> 01:44 AM) My buddies and I picked this game, of course, in our 7 game plan. Good call. My wife picked the day after in our Pick 14, but we exerted our Pick 14-holder rights and bought in for the extra game.

QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Jan 30, 2015 -> 10:27 AM) Hey HEY YOU go to Google and type in "Tyler Danish scouting report." Gettin' that Google clout.

QUOTE (Reddy @ Jan 30, 2015 -> 10:25 AM) How common do you think pitchers with a 3-5 WAR/season are? And if 1 WAR is worth $8 million, if he only put up HALF a WAR, he'd be way more valuable than 1.5MM. If he were to put up 1 or 1.5 or 2 WAR, that's insanely valuable. Billingsley had 2 seasons like that, and the most recent one is having an upcoming 5-year anniversary party. If he put up a half WAR, he'd be no more valuable than the guys already the bottom of our rotation. You said he'd be insanely valuable if he put up a 4 ERA. For comparison, Dan Haren had a 4.02 ERA and a 4.09 FIP last year in 186 innings. His WAR was 1.0. A full season at a 4 ERA would be worth 2 WAR max. Full season is an optimistic guess for how much Billingsley pitches this year. The most likely scenario is that he sucks.

QUOTE (Reddy @ Jan 30, 2015 -> 09:48 AM) Never did I say that. I'm simply saying that it's a great risk to take. Even with a 4 era he's insanely valuable at that price. Much better than Danks or Noesi, and if he misses, he misses, and you haven't paid much. Plus we have Herm and Coop, the best in the biz. I think you're too bullish on him - "insanely" valuable is an overstatement. He hasn't pitched in 2 years, I doubt he'll be anything like his old self, and his old self was not terribly special anyway. If he is, good for him, but it's not a big deal we missed out on him. Sometimes guys just disappear.

QUOTE (caulfield12 @ Jan 30, 2015 -> 07:15 AM) Takes some blame for pushing Hawkins too fast. Been waiting a year to hear that now. I wasn't posting here when that quote about giving Hawkins an "attitude adjustment" or whatever came out, but it nearly sent me on a rampage. What a ridiculous way to handle one of your top prospects.

GORDON BECKHAM IS TEARIN' THIS FAMILY APART.

QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Jan 29, 2015 -> 04:02 PM) I like this post very much. Be sure to upvote!

A similar argument occurred about this Fangraphs post a while back, and essentially I think everyone here is a little bit correct about projections. The post wasn't about PECOTA specifically but about projected team WAR, but I think the same generalities apply. The reason projections are helpful: Of 20 playoff teams the past two seasons, 19 were projected for at least 30 WAR prior to that season. So that is solid evidence that projections are a good assessment of where teams stand. The reason projections are not always helpful: Because when I look at the graph with the faded Orioles logo in its background, I see probably 10 teams who exceeded their projected WAR by 10 or more, and another 7 or so who fell short by that margin. That is a full third of the sample (!!) where the projection whiffed considerably. For whatever reason. Those surprises occur often enough that it would be unwise to praise the projections as gospel.

QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Jan 28, 2015 -> 02:31 PM) Matt Adams ‏@2015WhiteSox 9m9 minutes ago Conor in 2014: .300/.360/.444 vs RHP .221/.248/.317 vs LHP Beckham in 2014: .202/.242/.318 vs RHP .293/.349/.431 vs LHP FWIW, UZR was not kind to Beckham at 3B last year. 78 innings only, but that would be the worst UZR/150 of any regular third baseman. This move is stupid. Seriously.