Remaining schedule is as follows...

3 vs. Tigers
4 vs. Twins
3 vs. Reds
4 vs. Indians
3 vs. Cubs

I am going to go under .500.  I think the pitching injuries, plus getting guys rested and aligned for the playoffs costs them some games.

9-8

36-24, 4-seed

8 minutes ago, flavum said:

9-8

36-24, 4-seed

I would guess the same. 

12-5

3 vs. Tigers  2-1
4 vs. Twins   3-1
3 vs. Reds    3-0
4 vs. Indians 2-2
3 vs. Cubs   2-1

11 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said:

I am going to go under .500.  I think the pitching injuries, plus getting guys rested and aligned for the playoffs costs them some games.

Very likely scenario... I went optimistic and said 10 - 7.
Think it goes down like this...

Det ( 2 -1 )
Twins ( 2 - 2 )
Reds ( 1 - 2 )
Indians ( 2 - 2 )
Cubs ( 3 - 0 )

Not likely but it sure would be fun!

Knee jerk reaction I voted 9-8, but given the pitching concerns that might be a little optimistic.

Their worst 17 game stretch so far has been...

7 - 10 to open the year. 

Given the teams played and the injuries, i'm gonna say 9-8. Possibly worse. Still a playoff team.

2-1 vs Det

1-3 vs MN

2-1 vs Cin

2-2 vs Cle

1-2 vs Cubs (or 2-1)

 

So either 9-8 or 8-9.

The pitching injuries and need to align the rotation will bring this team back to earth for a 9-8 record.  But the offense is good enough by itself to win 4 games on days that the staff has a clunker, and the staff will still have some solid games.

The schedule's difficulty also contributes.  I was listening to one of the podcasts, and they pointed out that Cleveland's is much easier down the stretch.  9-8 probably doesn't win us the division.  I figure we need 10 or 11 wins and at least a split with Cleveland to come out ahead of them.  Doable, but I'd say the chances are less than 50/50.

2 wins vs Detroit

2 wins vs Minnesota

2 wins vs Cincinnati

2 wins vs Cleveland

2 wins vs the Cubs

10-7

2 minutes ago, daggins said:

2-1 vs Det

1-3 vs MN

2-1 vs Cin

2-2 vs Cle

1-2 vs Cubs (or 2-1)

 

So either 9-8 or 8-9.

That’s how I see it too. 8-8 the next 16, then they play the last game and somebody wins a game that probably won’t mean anything...especially for the Sox. It would be nice to spoil the Cubs seed in some way, whatever that means with neutral sites.

Edited September 10, 20205 yr by flavum

.500 probably, im ok with that. Hard to expect much with the pitching looking tired.

11-6

3-0 vs. Tigers
2-2 vs. Twins
2-1 vs. Reds
2-2 vs. Indians
2-1 vs. Cubs

They haven't won more than one game in a series against the Indians and Twins all season, I don't see any reason why that's going to change. 

2-1 vs DET

1-3 Vs MIN

2-1 vs CIN
 

1-3 vs CLE

2-1 or 1-2  vs Cubs

Either 8-9 or 7-10. 

 

Edited September 10, 20205 yr by Jack Parkman

anyone else notice the twins have 2 consecutive days off? what's up with that?

9-8. They have mostly succeeded against the weak-kneed teams. Have to go 2-1 hosting the Cub to wrap it up. Nobody has mentioned Southpaw on the IL for some reason.

1 minute ago, pcq said:

Nobody has mentioned Southpaw on the IL for some reason.

Because he is literally only missing 1 start with an issue he has worked through the entire season already.

9 minutes ago, joesaiditstrue said:

anyone else notice the twins have 2 consecutive days off? what's up with that?

They had to play the Cardinals a doubleheader, so the Cardinals could get a day off before another doubleheader. So the Twins got an off day before a regularly scheduled off day. 

Edited September 10, 20205 yr by flavum

33 minutes ago, hi8is said:

Their worst 17 game stretch so far has been...

7 - 10 to open the year. 

Outside of Detroit, this is probably the most difficult stretch of the schedule outside of the first 15-20 games. The Reds, despite their record, have excellent SP, and the other 3 teams are just very good teams. No more games against the Pirates or Royals to run up the score.

5 minutes ago, daggins said:

Outside of Detroit, this is probably the most difficult stretch of the schedule outside of the first 15-20 games. The Reds, despite their record, have excellent SP, and the other 3 teams are just very good teams. No more games against the Pirates or Royals to run up the score.

The Cubs are not "very good" but I get your point. Regardless the Twins and Indians have played bad teams too. I'm not going to penalize the Sox for beating them, especially when in years past they couldn't

10-7 will probably be good enough for the division title.

I'm gonna go with 8-9. The Cincy series is gonna depend on who starts for them. If you miss 2 of Bauer/Gray/Castillo somehow, our chances of winning that series go up by quite a bit.

38 minutes ago, soxfan49 said:

Regardless the Twins and Indians have played bad teams too. I'm not going to penalize the Sox for beating them, especially when in years past they couldn't

...and lost to them.  If our trouncing the "bad teams" is unimpressive, the Twins and Indians must be absolute trash...right?