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Luis Robert trade thread: La Pantera stays.


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3 hours ago, Harold's Leg Lift said:

If those underlying metrics don't kick in soon all they're going to get for him is a pallet of broken bats and a trough of used baseballs.  

Hey, he’s up to 61 wRC+ and -0.2 fWAR. Improvement! Their problem is the Sox are already more than a quarter of the way through their games prior to the trade deadline and he’s dug quite the hole. Next 30 games will have to put up a ~140 wRC+ just to get back to a league average hitter!

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On 4/22/2025 at 12:10 PM, caulfield12 said:

Cash crunch?  They're seemingly willing to eat smaller bites here and there...but they were very deliberate/intentional about no new FA contracts over around the $5 million mark.

The problem is they keep throwing away $25-35 million every season that could clearly  be much better more efficiently allocated across baseball operations, tech/analytics and infrastructure.

That's the habit of these small market organizations.  They sign them for possible trades that never work.  Fans losing teams talk about trades, fans of winning teams talk about signing players.  That's the lunacy of the business of baseball that even a salary cap can't fix.

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On 4/28/2025 at 12:33 PM, JUSTgottaBELIEVE said:

Hey, he’s up to 61 wRC+ and -0.2 fWAR. Improvement! Their problem is the Sox are already more than a quarter of the way through their games prior to the trade deadline and he’s dug quite the hole. Next 30 games will have to put up a ~140 wRC+ just to get back to a league average hitter!

And three days later and he’s already halfway there.  Hopefully once he gets there these obnoxious updates will stop.

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Posted (edited)
54 minutes ago, Chicago White Sox said:

And three days later and he’s already halfway there.  Hopefully once he gets there these obnoxious updates will stop.

Heaven would be paying Anthony Santander $16M to put up a .175/.258/.316 line. Maybe he'll right the ship sometime in the next 6 years. LOL. 

"Hey, junior, where's your $150 Santander jersey?" he asks, knowing what that smoke in the back yard was last night. Weird how we're not getting regular Santander pokes. 

 

Edited by WestEddy
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7 minutes ago, WestEddy said:

Heaven would be paying Anthony Santander $16M to put up a .175/.258/.316 line. Maybe he'll right the ship sometime in the next 6 years. LOL. 

"Hey, junior, where's your $150 Santander jersey?" he asks, knowing what that smoke in the back yard was last night. 

 

60-65% of FA deals go this way. 

Probably close to 70-75% for Tier B. 

Santander was never a true star... just had that one great outlying season heading into FA which happens all the time before early the inevitable 30s fall off. 

It's why Machado or Juan Soto or Kyle Tucker or Guerrero Jr., whoever hits FA at ages 26-28, are so nuch more valuable.  Majority are high school and Latin American players. 

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7 minutes ago, caulfield12 said:

60-65% of FA deals go this way. 

Probably close to 70-75% for Tier B. 

Santander was never a true star... just had that one great outlying season heading into FA which happens all the time before early the inevitable 30s fall off. 

It's why Machado or Juan Soto or Kyle Tucker or Guerrero Jr., whoever hits FA at ages 26-28, are so nuch more valuable.  Majority are high school and Latin American players. 

But the guy mocking Robert daily wanted to punt a draft pick so his kids could walk around in Santander jerseys and have piece of mind. 

You don't really need to explain every one of my posts to me, dude. 

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7 minutes ago, WestEddy said:

But the guy mocking Robert daily wanted to punt a draft pick so his kids could walk around in Santander jerseys and have piece of mind. 

You don't really need to explain every one of my posts to me, dude. 

Just like picking the WRONG FA's has been the White Sox special niche talent ever since 2011. 

JR would probably say... well look where we'd be now with Santander AND Benintendi both still on the books??? 

It's spending wisely...allocative efficiency... not the unwillingness to ever spend over $5 million again. 

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7 minutes ago, caulfield12 said:

Just like picking the WRONG FA's has been the White Sox special niche talent ever since 2011. 

JR would probably say... well look where we'd be now with Santander AND Benintendi both still on the books??? 

It's spending wisely...allocative efficiency... not the unwillingness to ever spend over $5 million again. 

Yeah, nobody's ever announced an unwillingness to ever spend over $5M again. It certainly looks like JR has cut the budget back while they work on the TV deals, a new stadium, and the transition to Ishbia/Reinsdorf sons/whomever. 

It's a good thing that the FO that signed all those bad FAs is gone. 

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7 hours ago, ChiSoxFanMike said:

Not Dodgers related, but is it too much to ask for Justin Crawford from the Phillies?

Robert is a massive upgrade over Johan Rojas and obviously the Sox need more young outfield talent. 

Yea, I think it’s too much even in a one for one trade. I don’t think Robert returns a T100 MLB prospect at this point. Just not enough surplus value there as the option years at $20M per aren’t a bargain by any means if he isn’t better than a 2 WAR player now.

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12 hours ago, caulfield12 said:

Just wait one more month and hope and pray no more injuries...and at least 3-5 contenders become increasingly interested. 

Isn't April historically the worst month fir both LuBob and Vaughn?

Let's hope both pick it up.

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6 minutes ago, ptatc said:

Isn't April historically the worst month fir both LuBob and Vaughn?

Let's hope both pick it up.

The difference is the value/trade proposition for both guys.

Especially if Robert can get up to a 750-800 ops by the end of May without missing more than a couple of games.

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11 minutes ago, caulfield12 said:

The difference is the value/trade proposition for both guys.

Especially if Robert can get up to a 750-800 ops by the end of May without missing more than a couple of games.

Wouldn't the same be true for Vaughn? If he heats up, they could at least move him for something.

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Atlanta NYY Royals Guardians Athletics and Phillies getting disappointing contributions from CF.

Harris and Bellinger unlikely to be changed out, especially with Acuna soon returning.

Phillies and Dodgers speculated about now for months.

Then you have the don't trade with AL Central opponents thing I guess.

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9 minutes ago, ptatc said:

Wouldn't the same be true for Vaughn? If he heats up, they could at least move him for something.

1-2 tools vs. 5 tools when healthy and superstar potential as recently as 2023 will be 5-10x more enticing.

He's capable of making a real difference for a number of contenders...Vaughn will get a Tier C prospect back, Robert two tier B and closing in on back end Top 100 if he keeps making highlight reels like yesterday.

GMs dream about talent like Robert...that can impact the game with speed/defense even when slumping.

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30 minutes ago, ptatc said:

Isn't April historically the worst month fir both LuBob and Vaughn?

Let's hope both pick it up.

For Robert, yes. Vaughn has only settled into this slow ramp-up last year, and now it seems to be his norm, going forward. 

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4 hours ago, caulfield12 said:

1-2 tools vs. 5 tools when healthy and superstar potential as recently as 2023 will be 5-10x more enticing.

He's capable of making a real difference for a number of contenders...Vaughn will get a Tier C prospect back, Robert two tier B and closing in on back end Top 100 if he keeps making highlight reels like yesterday.

GMs dream about talent like Robert...that can impact the game with speed/defense even when slumping.

Robert left 2 of those tools in Charlotte years ago

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