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Official 2026 win prediction thread.

Official 2026 win prediction thread 59 members have voted

  1. 1. How many games will the Sox win in 2026?

    • <54
      3%
      2
    • 55-58
      3%
      2
    • 59-62
      6%
      4
    • 63-66
      13%
      8
    • 67-70
      22%
      13
    • 71-74
      25%
      15
    • 75-78
      18%
      11
    • 79-82
      6%
      4
    • 83-86
      0%
      0
    • 87+
      0%
      0

Poll closes on 04/01/2026 at 05:00 AM

Please sign in or register to vote in this poll.

Featured Replies

2 hours ago, EloyJenkins said:

the division is in shambles. Minnesota and Cleveland are going to be BAD, Detroit needs their prospects to come up and be successful and I just don't think KC has enough either. I think 78 wins is possible IF they stay healthy and the prospects keep on their trajectory. I know that is optimistic, but that 2nd half was a vast improvement and Venable seems to have a grasp on what they should be motivation wise.

So this totally means they win 63 games, because I always overpredict )

McGonigle the #2 prospect in baseball…and Clark’s at least a half season away at least.

https://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/article/mlb-opening-day-2026-how-different-are-all-30-teams-compared-to-last-season-222142839.html

Tigers actually lead all of baseball in % of plate appearances and IP returning. See link above.

Detroit offense was much better than most think, with Greene-Carpenter-Torkelson at its heart.

Lots of versatility there as well.

Voted for just below the median at 64-65-66.

Pitching staff (starters) is certainly going to take their lumps.

Edited by caulfield12

  • Replies 92
  • Views 1.6k
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  • I'd like to revise my prediction please.

  • Look at Ray Ray Run
    Look at Ray Ray Run

    We can't see who voted for what and shame them. Booo this man.

  • Look at Ray Ray Run
    Look at Ray Ray Run

    I obviously don't think one game matters, and I have them around 67 wins for the season, but their bottom 30% pitching outcome is historically bad... and the bottom 30% isn't exactly all that unlikely

Posted Images

3 hours ago, T R U said:

63-66, they don't have the pitching.

not to mention, for them to win 70, they would need all the regulars to at least maintain their 2025 numbers imo and I feel like meidroth and Colson are gonna be worse

1 hour ago, Lukakke Appling said:

72-90

I thought this was a range at first and I thought damn 90 wins is optimistic then I realized you were giving the actual record.

Reading is fundamental.

55 minutes ago, joejoesox said:

not to mention, for them to win 70, they would need all the regulars to at least maintain their 2025 numbers imo and I feel like meidroth and Colson are gonna be worse

OTOH, Murakami will be better than Vaughn, Hays will most probably out-produce Jankowski/Palacios, Monty won't be as bad as Amaya, any DH tandem will blow away Maton.

4 minutes ago, joejoesox said:

not to mention, for them to win 70, they would need all the regulars to at least maintain their 2025 numbers imo and I feel like meidroth and Colson are gonna be worse

Half the regulars weren't even regulars last year. Some are gone Robert/Tauchman/Slater/Palacios. Vaughn ,Amaya, Maton, Jankowski ,Thaiss are gone. Baldwin & Mongomery didnt become regulars until July and helped the 2nd half improvement. Teel wasnt called up until June 6th .Meidroth was called up April 11th and became a regular in May once he recovered from an injury that kept him out the last 10 days of April.

Matin Perez and Cannon were in the starting rotation and Perez got hurt early and missed the rest of the season.

How about that BP last year ? Opening day saw Fraser Ellard, Bryce Wilson, Cam Booser, Penn Murfee, Eisert and Clevinger. No Grant Taylor until June 10th and no Dominquez.

Also no Acuna ,Hays, Murakami.

By the time April ended last year the Sox were 7-23. This year's team opening day roster is far better than last years. They shouldnt have over 3 times as many losses as wins this year. They should come close to doubling that win total by the end of April even with Teel and Baldwin MIA.

4 minutes ago, CaliSoxFanViaSWside said:

Half the regulars weren't even regulars last year. Some are gone Robert/Tauchman/Slater/Palacios. Vaughn ,Amaya, Maton, Jankowski ,Thaiss are gone. Baldwin & Mongomery didnt become regulars until July and helped the 2nd half improvement. Teel wasnt called up until June 6th .Meidroth was called up April 11th and became a regular in May once he recovered from an injury that kept him out the last 10 days of April.

Matin Perez and Cannon were in the starting rotation and Perez got hurt early and missed the rest of the season.

How about that BP last year ? Opening day saw Fraser Ellard, Bryce Wilson, Cam Booser, Penn Murfee, Eisert and Clevinger. No Grant Taylor until June 10th and no Dominquez.

Also no Acuna ,Hays, Murakami.

By the time April ended last year the Sox were 7-23. This year's team opening day roster is far better than last years. They shouldnt have over 3 times as many losses as wins this year. They should come close to doubling that win total by the end of April even with Teel and Baldwin MIA.

Looking through and being slightly pessimistic, I'd say 13-18 coming out of April.

Brewers, Jays, Orioles, @Royals, Athletics, D-backs. They catch a break with the Nats and Angels to close out the month.

1 hour ago, WestEddy said:

Looking through and being slightly pessimistic, I'd say 13-18 coming out of April.

Brewers, Jays, Orioles, @Royals, Athletics, D-backs. They catch a break with the Nats and Angels to close out the month.

And thats close to doubling that win total and 6 below .500 is a lot better than 16 below..

By the time the 2nd half rolls around you could have McDougal, Schultz, Smith , Antonacci, Braden all close to getting looks and Tommy John guys like , Thorpe, Berroa, Adams and Bush returning to the organization for better or worse. Sandlin & Davitt may get some looks during the season also if guys like Paez , Hicks or Newcomb struggle.

7 hours ago, EloyJenkins said:

the division is in shambles. Minnesota and Cleveland are going to be BAD, Detroit needs their prospects to come up and be successful and I just don't think KC has enough either. I think 78 wins is possible IF they stay healthy and the prospects keep on their trajectory. I know that is optimistic, but that 2nd half was a vast improvement and Venable seems to have a grasp on what they should be motivation wise.

So this totally means they win 63 games, because I always overpredict )

Cleveland win O/U is 79.5.

Twins is 72.5.

White Sox are 67.5.

Sox to win 70+ games is +200.

I like the Cleveland over. Twins have some real nice pitching depth, but i just think they sell off so I'd lean under.

I like the Detroit over because the division is bad. But it's more likely the division is beating up on us than the other way around.

I’ll go with 66.

from sbnation

The Humphrey Bogart tier

30. Colorado Rockies
29. Chicago White Sox
28. Washington Nationals
27. Los Angeles Angels
26. Miami Marlins
25. St. Louis Cardinals

Baseball’s rich history offers many memorable quotes.

We begin our look at all 30 teams with one from Humphrey Bogart, the legendary actor who had this to say about the game. Or, at least attending a game.

A hotdog at the ballgame beats roast beef at the Ritz.” 

It might be a long season for these six teams, but still, their fans will get to sit in the sun and enjoy those dogs, at least a few times this season.

19. Cleveland Guardians
18. San Francisco Giants
17. Kansas City Royals
16. Cincinnati Reds
15. San Diego Padres
14. Texas Rangers
13. Houston Astros
12. Baltimore Orioles
11. Detroit Tigers
10. Milwaukee Brewers

Twins 24th btw

Edited by caulfield12

68-94

Offense…watchable

Pitching…bad

63-99. Getz avoids the 100 loss mark by winning game 162.

  1. Afraid we will have some inevitable injuries and certainly in first half don’t have the depth. Also worried about Colson. Hope he isn’t this generation’s Beckham.

just voted 59-62. we bad. beni is hitting 4th today. need i say more?

  • Author

Nice little bell curve in the upper 60's/70

image.png

66-96. Minor improvement.

5 minutes ago, WestEddy said:

That's the thing that hits me. Smith could wind up quite unremarkable.

A sophomore slump for Smith doesn’t bother me as much as Kay still being terrible in the majors and Fedde having a single Philip Humber type season in 2024 with nothing left.

2 minutes ago, WhiteSox2023 said:

A sophomore slump for Smith doesn’t bother me as much as Kay still being terrible in the majors and Fedde having a single Philip Humber type season in 2024 with nothing left.

If Fedde is noticeably cooked 3-4 starts in, I guess Cannon is first man up? Newcomb? Davitt's on the 40-man. Sandlin's still got that weak back, and I'd think they'd want McDougal to do a few cycles in AAA before he's throwing up here.

5 minutes ago, WhiteSox2023 said:

A sophomore slump for Smith doesn’t bother me as much as Kay still being terrible in the majors and Fedde having a single Philip Humber type season in 2024 with nothing left.

I couldn’t care less how Kay and Fedde do. I’m still considering this a lost season, and I hope to see Smith show he can be a rotation member in the coming years.

Just now, WestEddy said:

If Fedde is noticeably cooked 3-4 starts in, I guess Cannon is first man up? Newcomb? Davitt's on the 40-man. Sandlin's still got that weak back, and I'd think they'd want McDougal to do a few cycles in AAA before he's throwing up here.

Yeah, and that’s the other thing. How much faith does anyone have in the guys behind them? Cannon is blah. Newcomb has been a better reliever than starter. And the other starters are all young guys that would be starting in the majors for the first time. Plus, how many bad innings will be thrown by these guys until they settle on the best option?

Edited by WhiteSox2023

71-74…with 71 being my official guess.

Will be ugly early, but by July the team could be playing respectable ball

2 minutes ago, fathom said:

I couldn’t care less how Kay and Fedde do. I’m still considering this a lost season, and I hope to see Smith show he can be a rotation member in the coming years.

Well, then, I agree with you. I was taking the perspective of just this season.

4 minutes ago, fathom said:

I couldn’t care less how Kay and Fedde do. I’m still considering this a lost season, and I hope to see Smith show he can be a rotation member in the coming years.

It would be cool for Kay to be bringing 95, then bring back some dudes in July if they're struggling to just drown close to shore.

People are saying this rotation is worse than last year's - it's the same guys! Can't Kay and Fedde be better than Cannon and Bryce Wilson? (Martin Perez only threw about 5 starts.) While Shane Smith could be looking at an adjustment year, I think Davis Martin is primed to settle in and become the guy he's going to be this season.

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