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He gives up a good amount of hard hit ground balls, so the high BABIP makes sense. He also has 2nd percentile extension, which is kind of funny.

I'd rather they waste $4.5 million than trade for guys like Booser with a 19 year old prospect.

And his HR/9 rate didn't really change, so when he was in the zone, he was still getting hit for as hard of contact. Could he figure it out? Sure, he's got some raw stuff, but figuring out the balance here is what keeps a lot of guys from becoming solid major league starters.

He added a cutter and ramped up the use of his sinker at the expense of his 4 seamer.

During the best stretch of his year, he had 1 plus pitch and 4 negative pitches. You're getting way too caught up in a k/9 rate that was heavily influenced by 10k's vs a terrible Nats offense down the stretch where his fastball played way up (throwing 96.5!). Small samples are almost never worth looking at as a baseline for future performance.

1.7 fWAR last year in 92 innings, which is a lot for a reliever. I think he was a multi inning opener for Boston. BABIP was .344 and he still put up good numbers, so this wasn't all just a lucky year. Definitely came up out of nowhere last year, but it's a great signing for $4.5 million.

Hate this move, but influenced by how the Sox bombed him last year. Old guy whose stuff has ticked way down. Might work out, but if it doesn’t, gonna be unwatchable and uncuttable.

So he’ll be competing for a rotation spot or was brought on to be the #5 starter?

I think most of his starts are of the “opener” variety. Like him better in pen than rotation.

Wow, love this move. He’s been pretty mediocre for the past few years, but made significant changes to his repertoire last season and the results show. This really strengthens the left-side of the bullpen for us. Still think we should add a legit high leverage guy to the mix.

wrong thread

Its actually a little lower than 15% since this only went through 2023 so you then include 2023 100 Loss Teams: White Sox, Royals, A's, Rockies 2024 100 Loss Teams: White Sox, Marlins, Rockies 2025 100 Loss Teams: White Sox, Rockies Out of those 9 instances, only the Royals (Over .500 in 2024) accomplished it and that was with going 12-1 against the hapless White Sox. So its probably anywhere from 10-15% chance it happens, which obviously is not great.

Chicago White Sox Top 37 Prospects | FanGraphs Baseball Rk Name Age Highest Level Position ETA FV 1 Caleb Bonemer 20.2 A+ 3B 2029 50 2 Noah Schultz 22.4 AAA SP 2026 50 3 Hagen Smith 22.3 AA SP 2027 50 4 Christian Oppor 21.4 A+ SP 2027 50 5 Braden Montgomery 22.7 AA RF 2027 50 6 Tanner McDougal 22.7 AA SP 2026 50 7 Billy Carlson 19.4 R SS 2030 45+ 8 Jedixson Paez 21.9 A+ SP 2026 45 9 Jaden Fauske 19.1 R LF 2030 40+ 10 Sam Antonacci 22.9 AA 2B 2026 40+

I follow all arms throughout the league throughout the year. Watching starts doesn't afford me much more insight than following the way I do. I do not have Burke projected to be a viable MLB starter. I get you're in optimistic mode and amped up but it doesn't change that. You like Burke. I did at one point too. Now I've gathered more data on him and he's much less intriguing and is a likely nothing burger.

I think the K rate improvement is great, but it's just one piece. SSK25 added context on his control issues keeping his xERA about the same and control was the reason I said bullpen for Burke. Strikeouts + elite extension + high walks + an xERA of 5 = probably a reliever. Does he have a chance to keep that K rate, lower the walk rate, and become a solid starter? Probably. I sure hope you're right. Right now it doesn't look like it's going to happen though.

The legend of Ben Cowles continues.

Pitched well against the Rays. No RS in 4 outings covering 7 2/3 IP. Good recommendation by Carlos Rodriguez/East Coast scouts.

If this is the same thing you posted yesterday, his walk rate doubled, and his expected ERA was almost identical to his previous 8 where his K rate was about 50% less, meaning his wildness was probably giving away what he gained in Ks.

I like that he can throw multiple innings. He wasn’t too far off from the Vasil-line. And now i think I’m gonna start calling Vasil “Vaseline”. He’s white, seems like he’s down for a good time.

Solid.

Ryan, I Hardly Knew Ye WHILE going the road to sweet Athy, Hurroo! hurroo! While going the road to sweet Athy, Hurroo! hurroo! While going the road to sweet Athy, A stick in my hand and a drop in my eye, A doleful damsel I heard cry: “Och, Ryan, I hardly knew ye! “With drums and guns, and guns and drums, The enemy nearly slew ye; My darling dear, you look so queer, Och, Ryan, I hardly knew ye! “Where are your eyes that looked so mild? Hurroo! hurroo! Where are your eyes that looked so mild? Hurroo! hurroo! Where are your eyes that looked so mild, When my poor heart you first beguiled? Why did you run from me and the child? Och, Ryan, I hardly knew ye! With drums, etc. “Where are the legs with which you run? Hurroo! hurroo! Where are thy legs with which you run? Hurroo! hurroo! Where are the legs with which you run When first you went to carry a gun? Indeed, your dancing days are done! Och, Ryan, I hardly knew ye! With drums, etc. It grieved my heart to see you sail, Hurroo! hurroo! It grieved my heart to see you sail, Hurroo! hurroo! It grieved my heart to see you sail, Though from my heart you took leg-bail; Like a cod you’re doubled up head and tail, Och, Ryan, I hardly knew ye! With drums, etc. “You haven’t an arm and you haven’t a leg, Hurroo! hurroo! You haven’t an arm and you haven’t a leg, Hurroo! hurroo! You haven’t an arm and you haven’t a leg, You’re an eyeless, noseless, chickenless egg; You’ll have to be put with a bowl to beg: Och, Ryan, I hardly knew ye! With drums, etc. “I’m happy for to see you home, Hurroo! hurroo! I’m happy for to see you home, Hurroo! hurroo! I’m happy for to see you home, All from the Island of Sulloon; So low in flesh, so high in bone; Och, Ryan, I hardly knew ye! With drums, etc. “But sad it is to see you so, Hurroo! hurroo! But sad it is to see you so, Hurroo! hurroo! But sad it is to see you so, And to think of you now as an object of woe, Your Peggy’ll still keep you on as her beau; Och, Ryan, I hardly knew ye! With drums and guns, and guns and drums, The enemy nearly slew ye; My darling dear, you look so queer, Och, Ryan, I hardly knew ye.

From July 12th to the end of the season, here were the leaders in K/9 with 40+ IPs pitched. Again, this reflects Burke’s final 10 starts as a rookie: Sean Burke = 12.33 Shohei Ohtani = 12.29 Jacob Misiorowski = 12.05 Dylan Cease = 11.97 Blake Snell = 11.69 Freddy Peralta = 11.68 Brandon Woodruff = 11.51 Paul Skenes = 11.48 Logan Gilbert = 11.23 Sean Manaea = 11.13 To say a rookie who was able to post the highest K/9 in baseball over the final third of the season “doesn’t have much of a ceiling” is absolutely wild to me. The other nine pitchers in this group are some of the best strikeout pitchers in the game…the only guy who even possibility stands out as an outlier is Manaea who completely abandoned his sinker last year and ramped up the usage of his sweeper. @Look at Ray Ray Run - What is your theory on the above figures? How did he go from a terrible K rate to start the season to best in baseball by its end? Obviously it can’t because he got better or developed as the season progressed, that is not possible for rookies or young players, so is it just random performance variance and/or the benefit of getting to face the Guardians one extra time?