Look at Ray Ray Run

This is a signing to maximize the margins (if you trust their evaluation skills, which I don't!) for a team that is competing. What a waste of 1.2 million for a team where every single dollar appears to be cherished.

If Lebron keeps the strikeouts down in SEC play, I don't know how you don't take a deep look. Vahn Lackey been flying up draft boards as well.

Its a disaster to get in and out of there 8 times a year. It would be a disaster 81 times a year.

Wade > Bene

Great game. Great tournament. It gets better every iteration.

This is why I hate people participating in practice and spring training

Sorry, born wrong word. "From" there as citizens would be. What was wrong was him saying it was a distant cousin.

You insinuated that there was some distance connection. Nothing distant about being 50% something.

Huh? You have to have a parent born there to participate.

These aren't your kids.

It's great for the game and for growing the game. Every country but the US loves it too. I'm a big fan of the WBC, I just wish they moved it to mid-season or something so pitchers could actually participate without the dread hanging over their head.

Why would it be grounds for a grievance? The Raiders disclosed the timeline and knee issues with Crosby. The Ravens agreed, BUT that doesn't mean the Ravens waive the right to put him through a physical and fail him for the exact issues that were disclosed. It looks bad, but it's within the rules so no grievance. I think it's a shitty move, but it's obviously the right move for the Ravens if they think they're team is better. I think Hendrickson has a lot more risk and there's a real chance he could be close to washed after a year or so. I think the Ravens clearly viewed him + 2 1sts as a better path forward, but Crosby is the better player.

Shady for sure, but they will have no problems finding suitors with the best offer on the table.

Not sure i agree. Can get injured in spring training as well.

Antonacci is a monster.

Fans get caught up in outcomes for relievers. Taylor had some abysmal luck last year. I think he could have netted a boat load last deadline. Teams pay based on expected numbers, not actuals. Look at Cease! He was somehow the 13th most valuable reliever in baseball last year despite having half as many innings as everyone above him. He's a freak. Doubt he's going to have a .422 BABIP against again!

Grant Taylor was worth 1.7 fWAR last year in 36 innings. He's over 3.5 at 80 innings. He was already 2nd on the team last year in that few innings.

Today was a good sign for Grant. Multi-inning relief appearances + spot starts and he's well on his way to making me look like a genius.

2 and 3 just come down to games played and innings pitched. I don't think either of those are that crazy. If Taylor gets up near 100 innings, he's the odds on favorite to lead the staff in fWAR. Antonacci is obviously > 100-1 since it's not posted, but I also think that he was a 2 WAR player before the EV uptick and pulling the ball with authority. He fits all the profiles of underrated/evaluated prospect who never reaches a level that is "too much" for them and they just continue to rake. The lack of power can zap that success, but this spring has shown that he might be a 112-111 max EV guy which puts him closer to league average power than the under 100 iso he's projected for today.

Just as was the case last year, this team sucks so there's tons of opportunities to be bold! Last year I called Garrett Crochet leading the AL in IP because fading the actions of Chris Getz are a quick way to look like a savant! On to this year: 1. Sam Antonacci wins the AL Rookie of the Year with a 3.5+ WAR season, despite not making the opening day roster. It's a relatively weak rookie class, and it's being headlined by pitchers who have a lot of up and down early in their careers. This is so bold, that Sam doesn't even show up on any of the lists. In fact, you can find odds on 4 OTHER White Sox players to win the award. The EV is real this spring, and this guy is about to mash. "If you play him, he will crush." 2. Grant Taylor leads the White Sox in pitching WAR. This isn't all that bold given that he is projected to for me as of today, but Taylor should be able to generate enough innings out of relief and, possibly, as a spot starter to make this an easy win. Shane Smith is a solid MLB starter, but Taylor is on another level. He had some terrible luck last year, and once we increase that sample the baseball odds should work themselves out. This is also a reflection of a very weak rotation, but Taylor will be in the 3.5-4 WAR territory so he would lead some other teams as well. 3. Murakami rips victory from the James Woods jaws of defeat down the stretch, and sets the record as baseball's new strike out king! 4. Curtis Mead outplays Miguel Vargas, partly because Miguel Vargas further solidifies himself as a pumpkin but also because Mead finds a little bit of that lost from with the broken wrist in 2023. It's a now-or-never year for Mead, who had much more promise than Vargas pre-injury. 5. The White Sox draft Justin Lebron with the #1 pick in the draft. I may add a couple as spring training nears an end, but this is what I have as of now!

Wade > Benetendi

Mead bomb

I'm not adjusting strike throwing for the environment as the minors also tend to have wider zones, so his position doesnt matter to me. I dont have any individual level customs on mcdougal. Performance valuation throughout the year is pretty flat. Does that mean I would miss a mid-season transformation? I guess, but thats a very rare event. While growth is not linear, peaks and valleys in performance are also normal. For pitchers, consistency and sustainability are keys. He had better numbers at AA but he also had his innings managed and in 10 of his 15 starts it was 3 innings or less to finish the year. I like McDougal, im just skeptical of him having success in the MLB in 2 months.

I try! I use my stuff today for larger fantasy baseball leagues/tournaments. My pitching stuff has been better than my position player side. I Anchor my position player side to some public models, and on the pitching side I have a lot more player-level customs than any of the public models would, but it's worked for me so I don't Anchor it.

Zero over indexing. I'm not just using walk rate and certainly not from 50 innings. In his minor league career, McDougal has walked 4.9 batters per nine. Additionally, 37% of the pitches McDougal threw last year were balls. In the MLB, that would rank McDougal in the bottom 10% of starters. When you take into account his high chase rate, you realize he's throwing even more balls. MLB batters will chase less, meaning you're looking at a ball rate near 39%-40% which is in league leading territory. Throwing balls doesn't necessarily mean youre bad, but more of them than not live on the edge of the zone but those with plus stuff who throw balls can still succeed. It just usually takes time and doesn't occur immediately, and they struggle getting deep into games to start their careers. Hunter Brown is a pretty good example for you to look at in context. I am absolutely higher than most public models, but I've had some pretty good success in the pitching forecasting sphere so I don't really anchor off anything else. Editing: Just to add that Brown had better zone command, but was erratic and threw a lot of pitches because of his high ball count. I don't think Tanner McDougal is going to be Hunter Brown --- who is awesome.