Look at Ray Ray Run

Sox 80th percentile zip outcomes would put them in the top 8 offensively last year.

That's fine, I'm just not a big fan of his game and think his positive (Highish floor) shouldn't be what the Sox are targeting.

Westburg stinks imo.

Ragans reminded me that I still got it. Loved ragans, loved the deal for the royals, and personally had been holding him on all year myself! Hire me!

There's not a single thing this team could do in August of 2024 to make angry.

Lopez has had a 104 wRC+ in a full season. He stinks but there's a proven outcome that makes him viable. I doubt dejong starts all year or at all. Eloy, moncada, Robert, Vaughn, benetendi all have good enough top line outcomes to substantiate what i said. Youre acting like I said this is their mean outcome.

I never liked this guy, even when he was solid. I'll give him 150 IPs with this team though. Bring the number down.

The truly amazing thing about this team is their 99% outcome might be under 500. The Sox could, if everything fell right, have a top 10 offense I think. If career years and health were existent, who knows. Their 99th percentile offense is top 10 well say. With pitching, you need to cover 800 innings with starters. Between soroka, crochet and kopech the Sox have about 200 innings. Fedde stinks, but let's say they let him stink for 150 innings. With cease gone, the Sox need to cover 450 innings with people not currently here lol.

What in the world are you smoking? Right now they're a 100+ loss team easily and you have them winning 81 games. Fedde blows. Kopech blows now. Crochet has never thrown more than 65 innings in a year and that was in college. Soroka blows. If the Sox trade cease, they contend for one of the worst rotations of the past decade easily.

I'm trying to keep up, are you arguing cease doesn't have a lot of value after a guy with zero mlb experience just signed for 300+ million to pitch?

Baltimore will be good for 3 years AT best and then return to bottom dwellers.

My point is most people try to point to the Dodgers and Yankees and say they don't win it all every year because money doesn't buy wins and you can win without spending, look at the rays.

Correa was literally broken which is how they got him from the Mets. Healthy Correa was gone. Buxton they extended at a discount because he's made of glass. He was never a free agent. Royse Lewis and Miguel Sano were never free agent signings by the Twins. Jaysus. This is like me saying uhhh luis robert!! Yes, luis robert is one of the ten best players on the planet imo. No, the Sox will not retain him if he remains at this level through FA. And the Sox aren't one of the financially disadvantaged teams either, they're just disadvantaged because of bad ownership.

And yes, we can argue until we're blue in the face as to whether the Sox could. Of course they could but there's no league incentive for them to do so really (meaning our owner stinks, so tough us). They try to punish tanking in a league where tanking isn't even really valuable. One player isn't turning a roster around in baseball. I'll add this too though, as always not my money so I'd be fine with Sox signing this but for me, this is a crazy contract imo but other pitchers probably happy to see it.

Exactly, pretty soon more teams in bigger markets will lock in their spot annually because that's been the trend already. There's not a single team in the AL central who actually compete for elite talent.

Unless I misread your post, you were implying the Dodgers aren't guaranteed to have a super team. Truth is, in a 5 or 7 game series there's no such thing as a super team in baseball. But over 162 there certainly is and the Dodgers are pretty much guaranteed to be in the playoffs again in 2024 before the season even starts.

The Dodgers have made the playoffs 11 years in a row and won the division 10 of 11 years. The year they finished second they won 106 games. They've gotten to the NLCS or later 6 of those years. Are people just blind to the reality? It's like people arguing the Yankees couldn't buy titles. The Yankees have missed the playoffs 5 times since 1994. They havent had a LOSING season since 1992. The Sox have made the playoffs 5 times since 94 lol. The problem is the gap is getting worse too. People are too busy pointing out the rays as this reason you don't have to spend, yet the rays haven't won a world series ever.

Yeah, I think Forbes is pretty low on team values given they always sell for more, but it's wild the gap between the top and bottom in baseball from a resources standpoint.

Joc made me lol, and Bellinger literally had to take a one year prove it deal. Not sure they really let Machado walk. He was a rental. Of your list the only star they let walk was Seager and it was a miss since their ss situation is a disaster.

The playoffs is a crap shoot. It doesn't change that one playoff spot is locked up every single year and 70% of the league has zero chance of keeping their super star talents in FA.

The Dodgers have spent more money on four players (Freddie, Mookie, Ohtani and yamamoto) in the past two years than 19 teams have spent on their total payrolls since 2009.

The Glasnow move is wild with the extension. I love Glasnow too, but he's made of glass. I wouldn't even count this as a full pitcher acquisition. Cease, Glasnow, Ohtani and etc would be about as filthy as they would be unreliable but... in 2025 it would be crazy good stuff.

1 WAR is probably worth about 11ish million now.

Yeah, better get Eloy out of there so he can't leave a bad influence on all the young future stars like Zach Remillard!

Did I miss the memo in CF?