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Everything posted by Look at Ray Ray Run
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Get's his wRC+ up to 100. All this guy does in his career is get better.
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3:51 into this one! you were right on Joe West. "A joke to the umpiring profession"
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My favorite part is it was clearly intentional... wimpy even says "come on, it was below the waist" lol. And if an umpire deems it to be intentional, he's supposed to toss you. Hawk really was the GOAT.
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Definitely my favorite poster whose username starts with Weg.......... Weg and Ron are probably my top 2 posters, although I've been able to predict some of Rons recent troll posts which means he's been slacking a bit! By the way, does the wife know you're on here flirting with SS2k?
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I said it elsewhere, but the devastating thing to me is that my entire life I've been surrounded by Sox fans -- friends and family. The vast majority of those people are no longer watching White Sox baseball, aren't talking about it, and aren't attending games. I just don't think people realize how the vast majority of fans view this team, and it's one thing that can/could really kill the future of this organization. These are people who have been through miserable White Sox baseball, but this stretch has broken them. Heck, I post here around trade deadline and other periods because my circle doesn't want to talk about the team. They've moved on to other hobbies and interests. That's a scary thing as these were season ticket holding fans watching 100+ games a year.
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I certainly don't scold people, and I've never called you any names. Please don't lie. You typically ignore the content of my posts and then attempt to take personal jabs at me left and right, but I ignore them and stick to the substance. I'll also respond to posts that I feel like, and don't believe I need anyone's permission. Lastly, my algo's don't typically have dance moves, but maybe one day they will. This is actually the first baseball related discussion board I've ever been a part of where people get very offended by me presenting modeled data. Not only do I not believe that the data is always right, but I typically will caveat that it's just one layer of analysis as I believe there is more to success than just numbers. "I have you on ignore" is one thing that when I read, I do cringe a bit.
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What's funny is I'd spend a few minutes looking for this stretch among other 100 loss teams, but when I found the examples they would just be written off as negativity, and disregarded.
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They can reasonably get to 66 wins? The White Sox have less than a 5% chance of winning 66 games this year. You can't "remove bad periods." Everyone looks better when you remove bad periods. A playoff contender next year? Oh my, I'm just going to bow out from this conversation. Have a good one.
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I posted their ROS war projections, which are much higher than the White Sox. If they are AAA teams, then the Sox are AA. Do you know why you magically picked their last 34 games? Because before that stretch, they had lost 9 of 10 games, so it's not as pretty when you say they're 18-27 (40% win rate) in their last x amount of games. I don't have much tolerance for people who cherry pick start and end dates to look for the best stretch they can find. I also pointed out that bad teams have winning months and presented evidence of that. You should also stop talking about reading comprehension/intelligence and etc. I don't respond to posters, I respond to posts. You might want to give it a try one day. Instead of making things personal always, maybe try refuting the context of the post and not the poster.
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People aren't negative for citing stats, evidence and facts. Toxic positivity is a thing. The fact that you state your expectations are low yet call people negative Nellys for having low expectations is also really odd.
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The Twins have five starting pitchers who are better than every single starter the White Sox are throwing out there right now. Their ROS WAR projection is 51% better than the Sox (7.9 vs 11.9). The Sox are no where near as good as the twins on paper the ROS.
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The Twins have 5 starting pitcher who are better than every starter the White Sox are currently pitching. The White Sox are projected, with their current group, to accumulate 7.9 WAR the rest of the season. That's the second worst in baseball ahead of the Rockies. If you read this place only, you'd think the Sox are surging towards the middle of the pack because of two weeks of baseball. Remarkable stuff. Some people have forgotten that even bad teams have good stretches and months. We're too busy comparing this team to the worst team in MLB history and screaming "progress!" Last May, the 61 win Rockies were 14-13. The 62 win Marlins were 14-13 in May. Neither of them went on to play close to 500 ball the rest of the way. Bad teams have winning months. It happens every single year to the worst teams in baseball. The White Sox were simply so bad last year that they didn't achieve that.
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The White Sox are the worst team of every team you listed, yet you call two of them AAA teams. 😂
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While they had to sell to cut payroll, I think the Twins have the best future rotation in the central - better than Detroit. I'm a big fan of Abel and Bradley's arms, and zebby has looked dominant. Add in Pablo and Ober getting healthy with Joe Ryan, and I'd take those six for the next three years over most. Consider that Festa and Woods-Richardson are 7-8 guys and the Twins are deep in the rotation. Edit: forgot Joe Ryan who they should move for bats.
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Twins vetting Taj Bradley was a big one imo. He's got all the tools to be a #1 in this league.
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How is 34 games a 1/3 of the season? 34 games is obviously a small sample. You think this is a .500 team? Holy moly.
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Vargas specifically is achieving about where he was expected when the Dodgers traded him. Meaning his full season projections today are around where they were when the Dodgers decided he wasn't in their future plans and they'd seen enough. Zips, for example, had him at about a 1.5 WAR player then have him as so now.
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I do have enough data to look at it but I've had a hard time getting someone to define post-hype prospect. The implications here would be that models move projections too soon, and weight that mlb performance too heavily, for a given subset of former prospects deemed post hype. I would be interested in diving into this but need some fixed parameters that aren't feels.
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Yeah, I don't see it. In your example, 55fv guys that don't get extended run usually have a very good reason for it, since a majority are given long leashes, which led to their future projections to tank. I have significant doubts there's a market edge in a space where there's a ton of data out there. Once you get to the big leagues and put in 400-500+ AB's, the projections tighten -- the error bars don't get wider. Harder to find edges there but who knows. I don't want this to be an indictment on this deal, as I like it.
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Luis Robert trade thread: La Pantera stays.
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to ChiSoxFanMike's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I'm actually surprised no other team viewed him as the deadline wildcard he could have been.
