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Everything posted by Look at Ray Ray Run
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Luis Robert trade thread: La Pantera stays.
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to ChiSoxFanMike's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Wont get him, but a Jett/Ewing package would be fun. I'd prefer Jett and a lesser prospect to gilbert and Ewing though. -
Of guys with 250 PA's, Meidroth has the fourth lowest ISO. Guys who do that, don't usually survive for long. Nicky Lopez only guy that has been that low and gotten multiple opportunities.
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Some great stuff with Monty that I agree with in the short term, but some guys just look like major leaguers and look to belong. PCA's success while leading baseball in chase also is a case I love because its unorthodox profile of success. Colson chase numbers have been pretty solid, so he could succeed running lower contact rates.
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I think Smith probably has a career back in the pen if he cant sustain the innings. His stuff should play up more there and he has a great arm, so Im confident there. Taylor is the kind of guy that even if he struggles results wise, some teams will always bet on that arm. I was really high on him coming into this year and still love his arm, but really wish he wasnt reliever profiled. As for Meidroth, that type of defensive performance is so much noisier for me, so hard to expect it without seeing a much larger sample. But if he does sustain it for 300+ games, I think it would reset his floor and he'd have a career as a utility guy guaranteed for a while.
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Need to see more from Vargas, and some consistency. Tiers for me: Tier One (guys I'm comfortable with being around in 5 years): Colson, Teel, Taylor and Smith Tier Two (guys that are more likely than not to be around in five years, but less likely as regulars): Vargas, Quero, Vasil Tier Three (they need to change something significant about their games to be in the league in five years): Meidroth, Baldwin, Sosa and Cannon Tier Four (not in my future as they exist today): Burke Meidroth for me is closer to Tier two than the other three in Tier three, but the lack of EV and authority with which he hits the ball needs to improve. Edit: forgot Sosa and added him. With Sosa I could see him having a nice year, but sustaining with the plate discipline profile is really hard.
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Buehrle should be in the Hall of Fame
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to Colome's Hat's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I definitely get the small hall crowd, but it's a museum. Mark Buehrle is more than worthy of being enshrined. One of the most unique arms we've seen. A guy who very likely would not be drafted today, and certainly wouldnt have scouts attention. A guy who pitched quick in an era of slowness. He threw slow when everyone else was starting to fixate on velo. A guy who mastered the fringes in a way that got him off the fringe. A pitching doctor, who understood the mental side of the game better than most anyone who has stepped on a mound. My problem with the small hall crowd is they're typically fixated on peaks and "whod you want to start one game" but they're not arguing for someone like Jose Fernandez who should be in that argument of one game. Imo durability is a top 3 skill for a pitcher. Taking the ball every 5th day is job number one. Also, when youre asking for a guy to pitch one game, what are you looking for? A guy that can baffle and dominate a team by throwing a perfect game... with next best outcome being a no-no? Mark has done both those things so... -
Buehrle should be in the Hall of Fame
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to Colome's Hat's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Yeah, but durability in the context of the era and game. Wasn't he the first pitching in MLB history to have 200+ IP in their firsr 14 seasons? Can't remember if he came up short of the record. -
Buehrle should be in the Hall of Fame
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to Colome's Hat's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Buehrle was unique, and accomplished unique things. He had memorable moments and highlights. Truth is, if he was on the Yankees he'd be in. People ask what his stand out stat or quality was and it was durability and availability. Hes the Craig biggio of pitchers. -
Vargas was traded for Kopech imo. The Sox got Albertus for Fedde. TBD.
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Sox trade Andrew Vaughn to acquire Aaron Civale
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to WestEddy's topic in Pale Hose Talk
The guy who played through multiple injuries, beat recovery times for all IL stints, and is in incredible shape doesnt work hard? I certainly haven't heard that. If anything, Robert over tinkers. -
Most consecutive 100-loss seasons in MLB history
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to waltwilliams's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I noted in another thread, but nearly 19% of the Sox first half games were played against 3 of the 4 worst offenses in baseball. Its why the raw pitching numbers dont look horrible while the advanced metrics do. Its going to be a bloodbath in the 2nd half. -
Most consecutive 100-loss seasons in MLB history
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to waltwilliams's topic in Pale Hose Talk
But can you tell me who has done a better job between Getz and David Stearns? -
Always be weird to me that people report and attempt to censor those online who disagree with them. Couldn't be me.
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I haven't watched more than 3 games this year. I post about them because I follow the team still and have been a fan my entire life.
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I'm happy that you like watching the worst sox teams in history back to back years but some of us dont actually enjoy that at all. Hope that helps.
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The one quote i saw from the kid, although the article also cites his strong core strength, was I'm a greyhound and not a pitbull (talking about his stature) and teams that drafted him should let him be. Can still be baseball strong without bulking but was interesting.
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Only thing I dont like is he's 19.
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People who work with statistics and modeling look for the stat that is the most predictive and "forecast-able." fWAR has a stronger correlation to future success/outcomes than bWAR by quite a bit, and is by far a better stat for assessing true-talent performance. We want to know how good the pitching staff has been and how good they'll be going forward, not how lucky they've been. The Sox have no where near the 9th best staff in baseball no matter how you look at it, which should further support the above perspective.
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Crochet Trade Outcome Tracker
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to Look at Ray Ray Run's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I have no idea what this means. Crochet is 26 years old. If the Sox wont be good on his contract period they should just fold up. Signing crochet would obviously make a ton of sense to anyone who hasn't lost their mind being a white sox fan. -
Crochet Trade Outcome Tracker
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to Look at Ray Ray Run's topic in Pale Hose Talk
At the midway point, Crochet puts an exclamation point on his half with a CGSO 3 hitter. He's now tied for second most fWAR behind only Skubal, and clearly one of the four horseman that exist today: Wheeler, Skenes, Skubal, Crochet. The clear cut best arms in the game. Meidroth has regressed quite a bit, but Teel has looked solid. The outcome of this trade is going to come down to Montgomery who has been toolsy and successful for level and age but hes regressed a bit. For me, it's still a significant loser given the age and status of Crochet. He is a rare talent that does not come around often. -
Should of clarified fWAR but this is exactly why many don't consider bWAR to be a very good gage of pitching performance. To be fair though, I'll say they should be considered probably more in the 21-23 range than 25th, but think theyll continue to fall. If you think they're the 9th best pitching staff in baseball though I can't really help. Entire staff has the 4th worst fip and the worst xfip in baseball.
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Sox trade Andrew Vaughn to acquire Aaron Civale
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to WestEddy's topic in Pale Hose Talk
And to think, the brewers don't even have ryan fuller. -
Noah Schultz to "Temporary Inactive List"
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Typically this would only be granted/used for personal reasons/emergencies (non injury/baseball).
