nrockway

hey look, new Grifol quote just dropped. "This is not them against Pedro, Pedro against them. It’s just a situation...It’s over.” "It's just a situation" - Pedro Grifol

He already plays third base for the Cardinals

since he's been playing well, that's the sort of thing he should say. "yeah my teammates fuckin suck. they're losers, they should be beating themselves up, there's penance in self-flagellation" is not a very diplomatic answer. I much prefer Lee undermining Grifol. That's awesome. Hopefully we see more of that and Griffey's gone before the solstice.

05/23/24 Seattle Mariners designated LHP Sammy Peralta for assignment. 05/23/24 Seattle Mariners signed free agent LHP Dallas Keuchel to a minor league contract. you mean we could've had Keuchel?!!?

wtf

triple against a lefty. nice work, Sheets

That's pretty impressive, I'm surprised Vaughn made contact that many times with a man on base.

If you have 8 guys to get through 3 innings, why not? If the starting pitcher is going well, keep him in, sure, but 6 feels right to still make use of the bullpen without taxing it. I think a bigger crime is relievers being unable to pitch more than an inning. Kopech faced one batter tonight and he was literally just a starting pitcher, I think he has the stamina.

If you have 13 pitchers on the team, you might as well use them. I kind of agree with you that you if you have starters go deeper into games, you can have a smaller bullpen and carry an extra platoon bat or something. Otherwise I don't think it's "analytics" to say that a fresh reliever is generally a better pitcher than a tired starter who's gone through the order a couple times. Do you really want to see Chris Flexen and Mike Clevinger go into the 9th inning? God help us. I think your example of Skenes is a good point, they should've let him go until he got hit. It happened to Giolito last year too, 6 no hit innings at exactly 100 pitches. Joe Kelly came in the next inning and gave up a RBI double to Kiner-Falefa. The magic number is dumb, throwing so hard is why their arms fall off, but it's probably close enough. 6 innings seems like a reasonable amount of innings for a starting pitcher to me.

my question is, why do they put it on the screen as though it tells you anything? "39% strikeout probability" why not just put down there "hey it's bad when you have 2 strikes, you better be careful, you might strike out". I think that's more honest about what's probably going to happen. They could also just do nothing like every other broadcast. I didn't like when they added the strike zone box in either, pretty soon the overlay is going to be so extreme you can't even see the baseball being played. I'm just wondering who this is marketed toward, somebody who likes data but doesn't understand baseball? I I'm going to make an educated guess and say it's for the gambler's benefit. I'm thinking about how Benetti wanted to talk about WOBA and such on the broadcast, but who really gives a s%*#? Does the stats nerd just want to feel noticed or something? He can look these things up himself and that's more fun and you can get the specifics of what you're looking for. You don't need apple bot telling you "hey if he gets a hit here, it'll probably score a run". What does the 9-year-old think when he sees it, I wonder. Maybe it inspires an interest in math and probability but probably he's just going to start using draftkings on mom's phone and how he's got a system.

Michael Kopech, the lefty specialist. Bring him in to face one lefty then he's done. why?

Mental things that can’t be quantified. I wish they’d stop trying to “predict” sports, that’s part of the magic to me. Even weather conditions, I doubt that’s baked in. I assume it’s just “what has this hitter done in the past on this count” which is a meaningful data point, but the average fan doesn’t need to be told that a 0-2 count is not a desirable count to be in. And I don’t think those data are very useful at predicting the future. Personally, I would’ve thought the Sox would be better this year because of the “predicted” WARs of the guys on the team based on past production. A lot of posters predicted Benintendi would be dreadful this year, I disagreed because the data said he’d regress to the mean, but they were right.

I like when people attempt to turn quality into quantity, it's a worthy feat. Helps us to understand the world around us. It's usually wrong or misleading though, I don't get along with numbers that mislead and masquerade as objective. Also I think it's a funny bit that I'll run into the ground.

I love to complain and I hate Apple. Why do they put that stupid probability thing at the bottom? I get how they came up with the figure, but it's never accurate. Does it account for the probability that the pitcher's mind is a million miles away and he throws a hanging slider because he's not focused? No, because you can't measure that, and the hitter doesn't have a 24% chance of getting a hit in that specific instance, he has an incalculable chance. common sense might help, you might assume what could happen when the count is 0-2 or 3-0 or whatever. why do they have to put an exact figure on things that you can't actually quantify? dumb. appeals to a certain type of baseball fan though, the pseudo-mathematician.

That was worst of all. It's one thing to be terrible at your job, it's another thing to get totally fucked over by the fascist umpire and say "please sir may I have another". I guess that's a nice departure from his typical post-game comments where he impersonates the world's worst motivational speaker.

we already got a guy like that, Duke Ellington or something.

partially correct, but players have more control over BABIP than is commonly thought. It's not just dumb luck, he's putting balls into play that are easy to field. Weak groundballs and pop-ups are "balls in play" but it's not bad luck when they turn into an out, it's bad hitting. His peripheral stats are better than last year and he shouldn't be quite this bad, so that's true. He also should've kept his overpaid mouth shut, bad luck isn't preventing him from making diving attempts on balls in the outfield.

In basketball, they often talk about players working back by scrimmaging. Then they might go to the Gatorade League or come off the bench or have a minutes restriction because there isn't a minor league system to rehab in. Seems like a flaw of the NBA to not develop a proper minor league system actually, there's enough basketball talent, not a flaw that the MLB has that. I don't really know what happens in the NFL, but they play 16 (17?) games and not 162, they don't really have the same luxury of time. They also play once a week and not daily. They also don't really seem like models to follow when it comes to injury recovery, frankly. Also, your claim that basketball players "get right back to playing" is just dumb. they take every other game off, occasionally entire seasons. Anyway, this thread rocks. I came to post how it seems like Luis is about 96% recovered, after the home run it might be about 97.5%.

I think actually Henderson interfered with Vaughn on the play and every runner should have advanced. Vaughn did what every baserunner would do in that situation, casually walk back to second base, Henderson ran directly into him instead of directly to the ball. I think that's the baseball equivalent of a flop and Moron Jr. fell for it. Drawing contact will now be a useful skill for middle infielders when bozo and crew are officiating.

This umpire has been really bad for a while but this is the most blatantly bad call I've ever seen. Move over Angel Hernandez, there's a new whipping boy. His name's Junior and he's funny looking too. as far as the game, my takeaway is that the Orioles need bullpen help and should trade for Kopech.

well in Japan, they have this concept of mukoyōshi where a wealthy businessman with no male heirs will adopt an adult male to take his surname, take over his business, and also marry to his daughter for some reason. It also happens in cases where all the male heirs are worthless (Michael, the other one). Are we ruling out the possibility that Reinsdorf literally adopted Getz? Maybe in lieu of offering his daughter's hand in marriage, he gave him a job. there's your nepotism and a plausible explanation for how he got the job in the first place. oh look we lost 9-2. something tells me AA is gonna be the main show for a while.

welp, Vera is gone. Money well spent. https://x.com/francysromeroFR/status/1793113740130549920 https://www.milb.com/winston-salem/transactions Drohan takes his place.

keep pushing Clev back, he'll fall backwards of a cliff eventually.

I don't know if Colas isn't getting a shot because he's a headcase (which he seems to be), it probably has more to do with the fact that he regressed and will almost certainly make a mess of things if he gets called up. DeLoach hasn't exactly been good either, but might as well see what they got. I think DeLoach was the predictable ILoy call up, it might've been Oscar if he was actually hitting the ball. They should send down Vaughn next, then maybe we see Oscar.

I think he meant our complex but I dunno why Boston would compound their mistake of signing a lousy left fielder to too much money by trading for an even worse left fielder who makes too much money. That would be awesome, I'd encourage them to do it, I just don't know why they would.