When July 10th rolls around, and Frank is leading the AL in HR, OBP, OPS, and possibly Slugging (as he's #2 right now), Torre won't have much of a choice. The guy might be stupid, but he's not retarded.
Here's how I think it will shape up in the AL:
C: Rodriguez DET, Posada NYY
1B: Giambi NYY, Thomas CWS
2B: Soriano TEX, Uribe CWS
SS: Jeter NYY, Young TEX
3B: Rodriguez NYY, Mora BAL, Blalock TEX
OF: Guerrero ANA, Ramirez BOS, Sheffield NYY,
Suzuki SEA, Crawford TB, Beltran KC
I think that these four will be eligible for 18th man:
Ortiz, BOS
Tejada, BAL
Guillen, DET
Martinez, CLE
And Ortiz will win, or course.
I figure that these pitchers will be selected for certain:
Joe Nathan MIN
C.C. Sabathia CLE
The other 8 will be selected from this pool (my predictions being in bold):
Rivera, NYY
Vazquez, NYY
Martinez, BOS
Schilling, BOS
Foulke, BOS
Halladay, TOR
Buehrle, CWS
Hudson, OAK
Mulder, OAK
Rogers, TEX
Cordero, TEX
Guardado, SEA
Garcia, SEA
Moyer, SEA