CaliSoxFanViaSWside

Surprising they give Keuchel such a bad FIP . He has had only 2 seasons his whole career with an FIP worse than 4.41 and one was his rookie year and the other was the short season with Atlanta. They must be highly conservative giving 2 semi older pitchers like Keuchel and Lynn so much regression coming off very good seasons.

They have Madrigal with a higher OPS than Robert which is pretty hard to believe. However it did happen last year as I pointed out a while ago. But over a long season theres no way that happens. Robert would have to hit like he did when he slumped last year for multiple months. I think there's a good chance he moves forward in a highly positive way this year. It would help tremendously.

Vaughn will be 23 in April . You hold him down for a year and he's 24 next year. It's time to start seeing what we have. He was supposed to be one of the best college bats in a long time. You can't keep delaying him because of Covid and not getting Minor League AB's. The Sox trust what they saw of him in Schaumburg enough that its reasonable to assume he's going to get a lot of AB's this year. You have superstars in the league putting up great number by 22 yrs old and younger in some cases. He needs to face MLB pitching now . And I say this as a guy who has always cautioned against expecting too much too soon for Vaughn.

I think your thinking on this is correct . I don't think there will be a pitcher in all of baseball to pitch 200 innings in 2021. However I am thinking that 162 games being played is a long shot at this point in time. In the unlikely event all 162 are played I'm still not betting on anyone reaching 200 innings.

This is reasonable.

Just looking through the last full season in 2019 . I really couldn't find anyone who fits a low batting average with .380 OBP and near .500 Slg. Acuna was .250 , .406, .581 but that's .156 difference between BA and OBP which is super high. I'm thinking high OBP guys might have .100 difference between BA and OBP so to get .380 OBP you get .280 BA which I wouldn't consider low. Others below .250 couldn't come close to .500 Slg. So what I'm saying is if Vaughn is going to have a .380 OBO and near .500 Slg. he's going to also have a pretty decent BA . Grandal in 2019 .246, .380 , .468 again a large difference between BA and OBP of .134 which I think only the elite walk rate guys get and I guess .468 Slg is your definition of close to .500 ? Mine might be .480. Just saying I'm not expecting Vaughn to have an elite walk rate , nor a .380 OBP nor a close to .500 slugging. But I sure hope he can live up to your expectations. Also I'm confining my comments to just his 2021 numbers ,as the OP asked, not in his prime.

Did anyone in baseball do that last year with a low batting average? Seems kind of hard to do.

Just think of 100 being league average and every point above it as 1% above league average so 130 would be 30% above league average . It's a stat for how good you are offensively taking a lot into consideration, the more power the more you get on base the better.

Anyone that wants to go for the 130+ club, there are a lot of openings.

Gotta go with Balta here but I will vote for the 100-110 wRC+ just because I'm hoping he isn't a total wreck.

I like rosy. Sure I'm pessimistic on ownership but never on the players. To get enjoyment you have to say I'm not afraid of this or that. Such as I'm afraid we may be overestimating the young bullpen arms because they only pitched in division. Screw it . Or I'm afraid Moncada will never return to that 2019 year. It could've been a career year. Being a long time baseball fan those thoughts creep in your head but no sense worrying about them. As a whole the team will play well a lot. Hope they win a World Series. If not it was a long shot from the get go but we should be in the mix. JR gonna JR. I can't let him get me down too much.

Vaughn I can see the Sox trusting to get AB's. They didn't even seem to want Mercedes or Collins getting AB's in 2019 or 2020 so expecting it in 2021 seems a reach though without McCann it's more feasible . We'll see if the Sox sign a catcher.

True especially offering a minor league deal . Some team will offer a million or 2. Folty here unlikely.

Have you and Harold ever disagreed about anything ? You seem to walk in lockstep with him on everything. Are you 2 related ?

Adam Eaton 2020 Sprint speed according to statcast 74th percentile =very good, outfielder jump 86= even better Joc Pederson 2020 Sprint speed 41 percentile= below average, outfielder jump 25=way below average Strange that both have an Outs above average of right around 20 . However Joc had 2 OF assists and Eaton had none and that does affect OAA. You would think with Eaton's much better speed and jumps it would be better than Joc. Maybe Eaton's better jumps could mean he reacts quickly but not accurately so his reads aren't as good and therefore that would affect the start of his route running which would end up being poor. I tested this theory by looking up numbers on route running and sure enough in 2020 Eaton's routes were a -1.4 Everything else was well above average related to his jumps, reaction, burst and feet covered. Joc gets bad jumps so his reaction time and his burst are bad but his route was 0.0 so better routes than Eaton but the lack of speed still hurts and and he doesn't cover as much ground as Eaton. Eaton was 11th in all of baseball so despite the bad routes he still covers a lot of ground. As another example we can use Eloy. Big dude slow to react, ultra slow burst but decent speed once he gets those long legs moving. Once he does react his routes are pretty good but the Burst is so slow he doesn't cover a lot of ground, less than Pederson. So by all this research I'd have to say Eaton is the better fielder. Of course I use 2020 and that's a short season. 2019 might be a better way to judge . You can use this link for the Jump leaderboard https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/outfield_jump?year=2020&min=q&sort=10&sortDir=desc This link for outs above average , just remember this stat isn't the end all be all of OF's because it's greatly affected by OF assists so in 2016 Eaton was 3rd in all of baseball in OAA while Joc's best ever ranking was 39th in 2019 when he had 5 OF assists and Eaton had 3 . https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/adam-eaton-594809

Wasn't there a Tweet about it ? Then there was another Tweet about having offered 10M for Joc , he refused and Sox signed Eaton for $7 . That's a $3M difference . But then you have to figure they budgeted a certain amount for Hendriks that still preserved that $3M cushion.

Hard to see it your way about the catchers. 1st the Sox desperately needed a good LH bat and OBP and they got both in Grandal. There was no guarantee McCann wouldn't test Free Agency especially if he put up back to back good years like he did. Saying just extend Mccann like its a given doesn't mean it would happen. If you're McCann and u sucked enough to get non tendered then this is your one big chance to shop your services to the highest bidder.

Just about anyone is too much $ now.

Where have you gone Joc DiMaggio ?

Don't forget his wife too.

Why are people saying people are mad when I don't see a single post that is angry ? I know you are not a thin skinned dude.

I don't see that anywhere. OK nvm now i do.

I don't think think far ahead . I'll be happy with a lot of hits this season. You and I might not be around to witness 3000 even in the unlikely event it happens.

Spud Webb was shorter and he could dunk on a 10 ft. rim. I don't think a whole foot lower is out of the question for Madrigal to reach since you didn't say dunk . Still, 3000, yea good luck with that.

Super Nova !