Everything posted by caulfield12
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**Official ALDS Games thread**
QUOTE (greg775 @ Oct 5, 2014 -> 09:51 PM) Great stat on Scioscia. I wonder if he gets the axe. Ditto Ausmus. Teams that spend money can't have happy owners when their teams bow out meekly. Dd is the one who brought in Jim Johnson Nathan soria and chamberlain. Al al is their best reliever and criminally underused in the late innings.
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**Official ALDS Games thread**
QUOTE (greg775 @ Oct 5, 2014 -> 09:49 PM) Why would you not start Shields, Caulfield? Doesn't make sense to not pitch the ace on four days rest? That might be the final straw for Royals fans regarding Yost if he messes with successful rotation. I still think Butler will get more than that now that KC is one of the top two teams in the AL. s***, KC would gladly bring him back for 6 million instead of the 12 million he gets if they don't buy him out. He's still young. I think KC would love to have him at the money you suggest. Unless his stats as a tb ray were terrible against Balt he will go. He's been shaky two starts in a row but gutted it out. It's really unfortunate Duffy was one of the best pitchers in the American League and might not get a single post-season start. His injury came at the wrong time. At any rate I think butler gets 8 million tops. Like the 2006 sox Dayton Moore will want to improve by adding a Sandoval victor Martinez or Hanley Ramirez. Victor on a three year deal makes so much sense for them. Plus he'd have a positive effect mentoring guys like Perez homer and moustakas. Sandoval would be another dh option. Hanley's too injury-prone and beaten up.
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**Official ALDS Games thread**
QUOTE (fathom @ Oct 5, 2014 -> 06:55 PM) Not sure if it's been posted, but Showalter is on the verge of winning Manager of the Year in 1994, 2004 and 2014. Also, it was funny hearing Hawk and Stone say the other day that he requests the radar guns be turned up for the Orioles, and slowed down for the opposition when Baltimore has a home game. Kc has destiny on their side and more ways to beat you right now...but that long layoff could mess up the timing of those confident young hitters. That said speed never slumps. Nor does a bullpen like that...even nastier with finnegan added into the mix. Feels a lot like the white sox 2005 run right now....everything going their way. Scioscia now 10-22 since 2002 World Series...including 1-7 against chisox and royals.
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**Official ALDS Games thread**
I would go with Duffy or Ventura but I haven't looked at the head to head numbers yet. Shields will undoubtedly get the ball though as he's earned the right and Duffy Ventura and finnegan will have plenty of opportunities in the future. The royals will really be interesting with victor Martinez...Sandoval...or Hanley in that lineup. Dyson can replace aoki and butlers numbers are easily replaceable. One would expect hosmer moustakas and Perez to all be better offensively. Like the 2005 sox pen you have to doubt that bullpen can put up another 72-1 with a lead going into the 9th. That's unreal. Butler will get $6-8 million per season...for two and possibly three years (option?). Getting older no defensive position power and RBI numbers way down...they would even be better off with willingham and Ibanez but they will have money to spend.
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MLBtraderumors previews theWhite Sox offseason
QUOTE (GreenSox @ Oct 4, 2014 -> 04:22 PM) I agree with this on shopping Alexei, Viciedo, Rodon, and defense. Wish Gillaspie hadn't tanked in August and Sept or we could have shopped him too. I don't know anything about Sanburn, but I sure as heck don't recall Chad Bradford ever being an ace. Rodon??? Really?
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Defensive runs saved (drs)
Six of the top eight drs teams made the playoffs. I'd say that's definitely a strong correlation. The four al central teams not named Kansas City finished at the very bottom of mlb. We all know the tigers win because of their hitting and starting rotation...defense/bullpen/fundamentals/speed be damned.
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Defensive runs saved (drs)
Www.baseball-reference.com Flowers 3 Nieto -5 Abreu -11 Dunn -5 Konerko 0 Beckham 3 Leury 1 Sanchez/semien -1 Leury 3 Semien -3 Gillespie -12 Alexei -4 Semien/Garcia 0 Left field Danks -3 Dayan -8 Deaza/Sierra +1 Taylor -1 Cf Danks 0 Eaton 12 Deaza/Sierra/Garcia -1 Rf Viciedo -9 Sierra +1 Dunn -3 A.garcia -10 27. Chw -56 28. Detroit -64 29. Minn -72 30. Cle -74 2. Stl 66 3. Balt 50 4. Kc 41 6. Pitt 37 7. Oak 33 8. Lad 28 Washington 11 Sfg -4 Laa -15
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Defensive runs saved (drs)
Let's start with the startling +65 for Gordon/dyson/Cain....and overall positive 45 for all royals outfielders. The white sox were not surprisingly at -23 for 23rd (among all outfields), with viciedo being fourth worst in the majors and Garcia not much better. The one that jumps out is Alexei Ramirez at -5. With the unlikelihood of competing in 2015, a trade would seem the most logical move, also keeping in mind his offensive regression in the second half. We have -17 at first base (last overall), -12 at third, -10 in left and -21 in right. Catcher was league average and 2b +2. Unless we play Sanchez there we are likely to be negative with semien and/or Micah. Not even counting Dayan, we have three black holes in Abreu Garcia and Conor. The only player/position to grade out well was cf/eaton at +9 and one of the fifteen or so best individually. Other than trading for lagares inciarte nava Leonys Martin parra Heyward Jackie Bradley jr. Kiermaier or dyson we're not going to see wholesale improvement and most of those aforementioned players are offensively challenged. If there's such a thing as the Walt hrniak of defense we need him now and badly.
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2014 AL Central catch-all thread
QUOTE (greg775 @ Oct 4, 2014 -> 12:46 AM) Do you think Detroit's latest choke job will bring them back to earth during the regular season? Are they going to finally turn into the Rangers? How many years can you fail in the postseason without it affecting players' confidence and regular season results? The rangers had nearly every starter go down. So if verlander porcello and price all miss more than 100 games next year then they'll be the rangers...and it's similar replacing Nelson Cruz and the tigers without victor Martinez.
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Billy Beane
QUOTE (greg775 @ Oct 4, 2014 -> 12:45 AM) Hmmm ... As I recall no other team in the postseason has come close to that kind of use of its starting pitchers a few years before and since 2005. I still think the Sabes people and all "modern" baseball tacticians would say that would NEVER work. Magic, destiny I tell ya. It's not ALL about numbers (cough, Billy Beane). Every manager will go his pen when it's finnegan Duffy Herrera Davis and holland. It's when the choice is Ventura vs. Collins/Fraser/Coleman/downs that it gets much trickier. I'm sure ausmus would have pitched anibal Sanchez an additional inning yesterday had he known the outcome in advance...Greg ur a big soria guy and he just doesn't have the crispness or movement after coming back from injury. A good manager would have recognized that the previous day and adjusted. It's not about sabes. It's about a managers intuition and decision-making ability.
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Billy Beane
QUOTE (greg775 @ Oct 4, 2014 -> 12:45 AM) Hmmm ... As I recall no other team in the postseason has come close to that kind of use of its starting pitchers a few years before and since 2005. I still think the Sabes people and all "modern" baseball tacticians would say that would NEVER work. Magic, destiny I tell ya. It's not ALL about numbers (cough, Billy Beane). Every manager will go his pen when it's finnegan Duffy Herrera Davis and holland. It's when the choice is Ventura vs. Collins/Fraser/Coleman/downs that it gets much trickier. I'm sure ausmus would have pitched anibal Sanchez an additional inning yesterday had he known the outcome in advance...Greg ur a big soria guy and he just doesn't have the crispness or movement after coming back from injury. It's not about sabes. It's about a managers intuition and decision-making ability.
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2015 Offseason
QUOTE (Joshua Strong @ Oct 3, 2014 -> 09:29 PM) The team is in no position to forfeit any draft picks This team is in no position to worry more about 5-6 years from now than 1-2 years.
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2015 Offseason
QUOTE (LDF @ Oct 4, 2014 -> 12:51 AM) if I can't convince anyone on 1-seconder rounder for an establish very good rp or a closer in which the sox really need, I will forgo anymore discussion on this particular subject. all you posters are set with your opinions. I respect that. good job. If you could convince everyone that said reliever would be one of the top 2-3 set up guys (like wade Davis or miller or gregerson) or an elite level closer (87.5% or above conversion rate) then most wouldn't have a problem with it...for a second or third rounder that's not the worst tradeoff in the world. The problem is always this years miller is last years uehara...repeatability/consistency and predictability of future performance.
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KW "We're a lot closer than the record indicates"
I think we will go after someone like heyward, parra, lagares, Cain, dyson...etc. josh Hamilton should not be in the plans. The only problem is the advantage of strong outfield defenders isn't as pronounced at USCellular. Seeing the direction the royals are going in...we need to get Gillaspie viciedo and potentially avisail off the field and dhing. Of course, that's not possible...but one can easily envision a lineup of semien Johnson and eaton trying to emulate the athleticism of kc. Of course we also need Herrera Davis finnegan and holland lol.
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KW "We're a lot closer than the record indicates"
Please don't let ethier markakis Lind and morales be higher on that aforementioned big board list or considered true power bats.
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Greg Walker
QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Oct 2, 2014 -> 08:16 AM) I don't mean to speak for Dick Allen here, but I think his big thing is this: if Greg Walker or Jeff Manto get blamed or fired because the offense underperforms, regardless of the talent on hand, why is Don Cooper continually given a free pass and not criticized when the pitching staff in recent years has been mediocre to dreadful, regardless of talent on hand? So many times, it matters not who coaches but insteaad who your players are. Maybe because 50% of that is john danks related, which he has how much control over exactly? Everyone will admit noesi overachieved....so what pitching coach in the majors could have gotten more out of Paulino Carroll rienzo surkamp leesman bassitt etc.???
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Billy Beane
QUOTE (KyYlE23 @ Oct 2, 2014 -> 07:36 AM) heck, the Braves organization gets a ton of crap for only winning one world series when they made the playoffs like 18 years in a row. Thats crazy 14
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**Official Wild Card Games Thread**
Couldn't have two more opposite games in terms of drama. This will make volquez cheaper to acquire at least.
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KW "We're a lot closer than the record indicates"
Hahn has been successful with one of four free agents. He's going to have to go 4/5 to be successful in 2015....see 2013 Red Sox offseason.
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KW "We're a lot closer than the record indicates"
QUOTE (GreenSox @ Oct 1, 2014 -> 09:23 PM) I don't see how we're close. On a macro level, the team lacks power and is still terrible defensively. On a micro level, the Sox need 1 #2 starter 2 top end bullpen pitchers. 3B LF DH We could fill all of that and still be lousy defensively and lack power. That isn't close I'm going to guess with Gillaspie semien davidson they don't make a move at third. Catcher is highly unlikely as well except via trade.
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KW "We're a lot closer than the record indicates"
I think he returns as depth/back-up option at rf lf dh first base.
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KW "We're a lot closer than the record indicates"
QUOTE (scs787 @ Oct 1, 2014 -> 07:53 PM) I really don't think there will be such a thing as "too expensive" this offseason. Payroll is so miniscule that I can certainly see at least 1 "high priced" player brought in. Whether that be Sandoval, VMart, perhaps a SP, a few "top flight" RP, or taking on a salary in a trade, the money is there IMO. I just don't think we will see another $75-100 million salary added. That money will be allocated across 4-5 players.
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KW "We're a lot closer than the record indicates"
Sandoval too expensive and risky. I think we'll look at Alvarez (dh to start but could be moved back to third if they can fix his throwing issues)...headley would be okay but that makes viciedo or Gillaspie the dh...or Conor and semien. Outfield will be Rasmus or Dominic brown. Would prefer Rasmus but perhaps will be too expensive...simply because of his improving the defense in the outfield at a corner spot. Then someone like volquez with upside but risk mitigated by cooper...two relievers maybe Soria and any lefty reliever not named miller.
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KW "We're a lot closer than the record indicates"
QUOTE (StRoostifer @ Oct 1, 2014 -> 05:38 PM) I think he's saying that signing two free agents with gualifying offers is worth the Sox losing their 2nd and 3rd round picks. Well yeah nobody's going to care about those draft picks if the sox are in fourth or fifth the next two seasons. Hahn would be gone. I should say barring a major injury to sale Quintana abreu.