Chicago White Sox

I really hope they snag Burdi with their first pick. Would be really cool to have both Burdi brothers in the same bullpen.

QUOTE (witesoxfan @ Dec 12, 2017 -> 11:06 AM) His current projections plug him in at 1.2 WAR/600, but that's also taking into account his previous replacement level seasons. Assuming the breakthrough was real, and I don't see much to think that it wasn't, there's no reason he couldn't be viewed or sold as a 2-2.5 WAR player moving forward. Over the next 4 years, that puts his value around $70 million for which he will probably be paid something like $24 mill ($500K 2018, $5.5 mill 2019, $8 mill 2020, $10 mill 2021), which provides $46 million of surplus value. A 55 FV prospect is worth about $40 million. I am admittedly grasping at straws here, but I don't see something along those lines as an impossibility, and if you acquire Frazier, then it opens the door for an Avisail Garcia trade immediately, even if you have to take a slight discount on his overall value. I came up with a very similar valuation for Sanchez, again which is contingent on believing Yolmer is a 2.5ish WAR player going forward. If you can get a 55 FV prospect for him I think you take the offer and run. I love me some Sanchez, but this early in the rebuild we should gambling on high ceiling players rather than floor.

QUOTE (cjgalloway @ Dec 12, 2017 -> 11:06 AM) I'd guess you'd get a Melky Cabrera sort of return. So yeah, B-, C Prosects 4 years of Sanchez >>>>>>>>>> 2 months of old ass Melky

QUOTE (SoxAce @ Dec 12, 2017 -> 10:49 AM) Sanchez might be a guy Hahn and company feel may be overvalued for what he brings. Dude is a fantastic locker room presence and obviously the glove is really good. I have no problem keeping him, just depends on what kind of return he can get you. Teams value versatility more than ever, so I feel like some of us may be surprised at what he could bring back in return.

QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Dec 12, 2017 -> 10:39 AM) That would be fine, but what do you really think the Sox could get for Sanchez? I'm guessing nothing too interesting. Hard to say, but 2.5 WAR infielders until control for another four seasons that are fairly cheap and can play multiple positions should have some value. I don’t really see the Yankees being a team to ante up for a guy like Sanchez when they can probably find something for just money in free agency, but he’d really be a perfect fit for them.

QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Dec 12, 2017 -> 10:39 AM) That would be fine, but what do you really think the Sox could get for Sanchez? I'm guessing nothing too interesting. Clint Frazier

QUOTE (soxfan2014 @ Dec 12, 2017 -> 10:18 AM) Chase Headley to Padres 2B & 3B are now open for them. Carlos Sanchez could make some sense for them if they don't feel comfortable going all in on Torres & Andujar next year.

QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Dec 12, 2017 -> 09:54 AM) Well this was a generally quiet first day for everyone huh? I have a flight to Florida at 7:00pm so I fully expect something to happen right around then.

QUOTE (GermanSock @ Dec 12, 2017 -> 05:10 AM) wasn't AJ pretty much hated by most in mlb? Nope, just those self-entitled millenials like Michael Barrett.

QUOTE (Thad Bosley @ Dec 11, 2017 -> 10:41 PM) Corporate America deals with the challenge of dealing with millennial attitudes every day these days. Not to play grammar nazi, but what a terribly written sentence. And just out of curiosity, what does this sentence even mean?

If DD was willing to give up Devers for Abreu the deal would be done by now. Hell, I’d give them Abreu & Sanchez for Devers without blinking.

QUOTE (Lillian @ Dec 11, 2017 -> 04:22 PM) Just curious: How much do you think JBJ would cost, if he were a free agent? Same question for Abreu. Honestly, I'd say Jose would get roughly $20M/per and JBJ maybe around $16M or $17M. However, with any semblance of a rebound that number shoots up quite a bit for JBJ.

QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Dec 11, 2017 -> 04:16 PM) The last 3 seasons Abreu has put up a combined 9.1 WAR. JBJ, 10.5. JBJ is cheaper and signed a year longer, and plays gold glove defense at a premium position. Normally, you would do this trade if it were available, 1 for 1, but if Abreu's leadership, something Hahn said is big, but won't trump production, and JBJ, taking a little step back offensevily last season, gets you another interesting prospect, you do it in a heartbeat. Bring Jose back in 2 years if he is still productive. Yeah, this is exactly what I've been trying to say. If someone is willing to overpay you for Jose, I wouldn't pass up on the deal just because the main asset isn't a perfect fit for us right now. We'd have plenty of time to turn him into other pieces.

QUOTE (soxfan2014 @ Dec 11, 2017 -> 04:04 PM) Yeah someone needs to proof read that. It's almost like Bruce Levine wrote it...

QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Dec 11, 2017 -> 03:59 PM) So why do the White Sox need a 1st year arb, 2.3 WAR center fielder in 2018? Isn't that 2.3 WAR basically going to waste if he does the same thing? I mean, I've kind of walked through this multiple times now, but the idea would be to buy low and take advantage of a desperate Red Sox front office. Most of the analytics community believes JBJ is the superior asset because he's younger, cheaper, under an additional year of control, and plays a premium position. I myself personally would probably avoid doing a 1 for 1 swap because I place significant value on what Abreu does off the field. Having said that, if the Red Sox gave me a secondary piece that was too good to pass up (Chavis being my example), I'd likely take such a deal and hope for JBJ's offensive game to rebound a little bit and look into trading at the deadline or next offseason. It's usually not too hard to find a taker for a talented, fairly young CF. Again, this all assumes my scouts believe that JBJ is likely to rebound and that I can get a nice secondary piece as part of the deal.

QUOTE (asindc @ Dec 11, 2017 -> 03:29 PM) Why should we be the team to take the risk on JBJ? What risk are you referring to? He was still like a 2.3 WAR player despite a down offensive year. If you guys think Abreu is the better or more valuable player that’s completely fine, but let’s not act like JBJ is some bum and don’t ignore the fact he’s younger, cheaper, & under control for an additional year.

QUOTE (Sockin @ Dec 11, 2017 -> 03:44 PM) https://twitter.com/ChuckGarfien/status/940333429912154114 @ChuckGarfien Hahn says there’s been a heightened level of trade talk since the meetings began. I really don’t think Carlos Sanchez will be on the White Sox 72 hours from now. A lot of teams are looking for 2B and Sanchez is probably one of the more attractive options.

QUOTE (steveno89 @ Dec 11, 2017 -> 02:15 PM) Kyle Glaser‏Verified account @KyleAGlaser Following Following @KyleAGlaser More Cashman mentions Sale deal last year, that Severino, Sanchez, Bird were among names White Sox floated as the price. 1:47 PM - 11 Dec 2017 Wow, haha. Big ask. I believe I through out a Severino/Judge/Mateo hypothetical and the general consensus was it was too light. If only we knew what those first two players would develop into just a year later.

QUOTE (ChiSox59 @ Dec 11, 2017 -> 12:58 PM) I doubt we could get JBJ + anything of significance. We could always hold JBJ and flip later, sure...but his clock will be ticking. Unless he has a huge year, the best time to trade him for max value would be now. QUOTE (soxfan2014 @ Dec 11, 2017 -> 01:00 PM) You really want a "buy-low type guy" to be the first piece in an Abreu deal? First off, let me say that I don't think the Red Sox would give up much beyond JBJ for Abreu. I'm just saying that if I'm the White Sox that's the type of return I'd need to give up someone as valuable to our organization as Jose. Having said that, it's real easy to make an argument that JBJ is the more valuable asset. Even without improvement with the bat, he's got an extra year of team control and will be paid a helluva lot less than Jose. That doesn't even account for the fact that JBJ plays a premium position while 1B is loaded with options (albeit most of them lesser). I mean most of the analytics community thinks the Red Sox would be crazy to even do a 1 for 1 trade and that's with projection systems like Steamer predicting a partial bounce-back for JBJ. Despite all that, I'd still be hesitant to trade Abreu in a one for one deal. But give me that second piece like Chavis and suddenly I become more willing to disrupt my clubhouse and make a trade. Again, I don't see Boston doing this, although I've seen some Red Sox fans suggest they'd be ok with such a deal. Their window is quickly closing and a prospect like Chavis shouldn't stand in their way of making a significant upgrade to their lineup today. I guess we'll see how desperate DD is now that the Yankees have added Stanton and have more moves to come.

Why can't we take on JBJ and try to flip him later? If our scouts believe he's closer to the hitter he was in 2015/2016 (wRC+ of 120ish) than last year (wRC+ of 90), then he's seems like an incredible buy low type guy. I would most definitely need a secondary piece that offers some long-term potential like Chavis, but a deal like this could make a ton of sense for us. Again, got to trust your scounts on this one.

QUOTE (southsider2k5 @ Dec 11, 2017 -> 12:35 PM) Let's be realistic here. Clint Frazier at his absolute ceiling is a guy you dump in about two seconds if you get Gio Stanton for basically nothing but his contract. It doesn't take the universe to figure that one out. That doesn't mean he has no value. That is an incredible overreaction to the reigning MVP and HR champ falling into your lap almost by accident. 100% agree. If you're the Yankees, you most definitely take Stanton for nothing and then use Frazier to get yourself a cost controlled starter. I think this has almost no reflection on what the Yankees' scouts think of Frazier and entirely about the Yankees adding a MVP caliber talent for nothing but money.

Nice write-up. Mind elaborating on what this line meant:

QUOTE (steveno89 @ Dec 11, 2017 -> 11:18 AM) When the new top 100 rankings come out sometime in January I fully expect Hansen to take a pretty significant leap. The stuff is there and the control is improving. Frazier is overrated, and unless he's a plus defensive center fielder I don't think the bat will stick at a corner. Power potential is great, but only if you make enough contact to use it. Fangraphs was really down on his 2017 performance, rating him below replacement level offsensively, and -5.8 defensively...which is cause for concern. Buyer beware. I think you're overreacting to Frazier's first taste of big league action. And while he no doubt has some swing & miss concerns, he never struck our at a ridiculous rate in the minors. I think you're sleeping on him quite a bit.

QUOTE (Dick Allen @ Dec 11, 2017 -> 09:32 AM) Fulmer beat SF, Det. And a Cleveland team that already clinched. The Sox bullpen pitched 4 hitless innimgs the game vs. Cleveland. Carson has some ability, but I think people taking his September starts as meaning much is crazy. Fulmer’s late year stint gives me some hope that Cooper can tap into Carson’s potential, but it doesn’t change his trade vlaue. And honestly, I still see him as a reliever and I think they’ll move him to that role permanently as soon as Rodon comes back & Kopech is called up.

QUOTE (Rowand44 @ Dec 11, 2017 -> 09:26 AM) This doesn't tell the story at all. He improved his walk rate a ridiculous amount as the season went on. He's still young as crap and the fact that he was able to make those improvements tells you what you need to know about him. This. Can’t evaluate prospects solely on their full season stats. In season trends are incredibly important and Kopech was spectacular down the stretch despite exceeding his career innings threshold. The kid is the real deal and perhaps the most piece of a quick rebuild.