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Look at Ray Ray Run

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Everything posted by Look at Ray Ray Run

  1. The last 272 innings, Cueto has produced a FIP just under 4. There's something about aging pitchers renaissances that I buy into a little more than bats. Savvy pitchers can get by in different ways. I don't know what the odds in regards to who has the better season in 2023, but I'd say it's a lot closer to 50/50 than many are giving Cueto credit for here. That said, the SOx are clearly banking on the higher upside in Clevinger. Whether that's the right choice or not, who knows. THey have a lot of holes though and going from Cueto to Clevinger likely won't be the thing that sinks there season so probably not worthy of any kinds of panic or frustrationg.
  2. Think the concern is a second TJ, especially for a guy post-30, is pretty risky. No guarantee he ever bounces back.
  3. Saying Clevinger has a zero % chance of producing a 2.4 WAR in 158 innings seems like quite the stretch. Is it unlikely? Sure. Is it a zero % chance? Well I'd certainly bet into that line.
  4. Trading GIolito now would be a mistake. At this point, you ride with him and hope he bounces back and if he walks he walks. Gio had a down year, but he was also one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball, if not the unluckiest. His FIP was still sitting right around 4. his xFIP was 3.66, his BABIP against was 340. Some of the home run issues were self inflicted, sure... he made a lot of bad pitches, but those aren't always going to get hit out. I think a little change to his sequencing, a little work on his slider/curve in the off-season, and expecting him to come back as a 3.5-3.6 FIP/ERA guy next year is much more likely than him having a 4.9 ERA again imo.
  5. It's a fine move. Bouncing back year 2 of a second tommy john isn't really a guaranteed thing, his stuff regressed, but he can still get people out. I'm not sure what the ceiling is anymore, but he's betting on himself so should be motivated. My concern revolves around this team having three huge injury question marks in the rotation: Lynn, his body is done holding up for full seasons at his weight and age, Kopech has never been able to stay healthy and his performance last year was very concerning imo, and Clevinger. Sox lack pitching depth. That's a concern for me, but on paper they're a talented and experienced group.
  6. If only 4 teams are in on Judge, Jimbo won't be wrong!
  7. I think the sadder thing about the foodies is how many people on Twitter ask them real questions and then defend them and/or get defensive when others point out they're frauds. The internet is a sad place
  8. I got sent the job posting by some friends/family. To be fair I don't believe that was the total comp package but it's a massive pay cut for anyone good at that job. But hey, I'd get to work in baseball which makes My bills go away I guess.
  9. Except for the fact the sox have a tiny analytics department and invest poorly there and rick hahn and company were recently offering 65k for a Data engineer. Listening to analytics is good, assuming you have good analytics to listen too.
  10. Ironically enough the Royals org blows so them passing on him could be a good sign for me lol. They hired a guy I wanted nothing to do with.
  11. Very odd hire. Managers really don't mean much unless it's tlr, and it wasn't a retread which I like, but know nothing about the guy so really hard to like a move. Also, if it was Rick's hire, rick sucks so not a glowing endorsement
  12. I think Ozzie already interviewed and feels more like the Sox doing him a service by publicly calling him a candidate. Can't see them bringing him back.
  13. His breakdown about how a bank won't let an owner borrow against team value because they would then have to accept an mlb team as payment if they default is one of the dumbest things I've read on Twitter in a long time.
  14. I would cite sources but you'd discredit them as ignoring these amazing and valuable qualities. The fact is, the stuff you cited has a marginal impact, at best, over 162 games. I could cite sources, or the fact that high paid managers are making 5 million at most when 1 WAR players are making 8 million which should show you how much value people running teams and analyzing this stuff for a living put on their impact, but it's fair to say you'd ignore that so we'll just agree to disagree.
  15. I don't care if I'm in the minority, I'd love a Willie Harris hire. A guy who grinded his way through a big league career, played with a ton of energy, and I think would defer to analytics without pushback in a lot of ways because he's a first year guy. I don't care if it's irrational or not well received, I'd love me some Willie. Thome would be awful. Ozzie quit on the organization when things got bad, can't be trusted.
  16. oh my, managers are arguably worth less than 2 wins (unless you're la russa) in a 162 game regular season and you think they have some significant W/L impact on the post-season outcomes. You know why the best team doesn't win every year? Small sample variance.
  17. Kimbrel and Kopech are two of my best pals in the organization.
  18. I too think I'm the right person for the job.
  19. The standard I'm using should have said over the past two years. The past two years they're 2nd in baseball in pitching WAR. They were 10th in fWAR this year. 10th in FIP. Its not Katz fault the sox had an abysmal defense behind his pitchers.
  20. I would argue we haven't seen significant offensive growth from any of the young guys under menechino. Sheets had to go down to the minors to "find his way." Menechino and Katz aren't at all similar imo. Sox have had a top tier staff two years in a row under katz.
  21. Yeah, firing Katz makes no sense. Not even Katz can fix all the broken s%*# Hahn throws at him in the pen. If anything they should have given him a chance to improve some young guys out there, instead of weighing him down with aging vets who are overrated hacks like Kelly.
  22. so rick hahn makes none of the decisions what so ever and is just a figure head taking orders from everyone else?
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