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Everything posted by Look at Ray Ray Run
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Mike Clevinger to Sox per Rosenthal
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to CWSpalehoseCWS's topic in Pale Hose Talk
The last 272 innings, Cueto has produced a FIP just under 4. There's something about aging pitchers renaissances that I buy into a little more than bats. Savvy pitchers can get by in different ways. I don't know what the odds in regards to who has the better season in 2023, but I'd say it's a lot closer to 50/50 than many are giving Cueto credit for here. That said, the SOx are clearly banking on the higher upside in Clevinger. Whether that's the right choice or not, who knows. THey have a lot of holes though and going from Cueto to Clevinger likely won't be the thing that sinks there season so probably not worthy of any kinds of panic or frustrationg. -
Mike Clevinger to Sox per Rosenthal
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to CWSpalehoseCWS's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Think the concern is a second TJ, especially for a guy post-30, is pretty risky. No guarantee he ever bounces back. -
Mike Clevinger to Sox per Rosenthal
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to CWSpalehoseCWS's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Saying Clevinger has a zero % chance of producing a 2.4 WAR in 158 innings seems like quite the stretch. Is it unlikely? Sure. Is it a zero % chance? Well I'd certainly bet into that line. -
Mike Clevinger to Sox per Rosenthal
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to CWSpalehoseCWS's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Trading GIolito now would be a mistake. At this point, you ride with him and hope he bounces back and if he walks he walks. Gio had a down year, but he was also one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball, if not the unluckiest. His FIP was still sitting right around 4. his xFIP was 3.66, his BABIP against was 340. Some of the home run issues were self inflicted, sure... he made a lot of bad pitches, but those aren't always going to get hit out. I think a little change to his sequencing, a little work on his slider/curve in the off-season, and expecting him to come back as a 3.5-3.6 FIP/ERA guy next year is much more likely than him having a 4.9 ERA again imo. -
Mike Clevinger to Sox per Rosenthal
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to CWSpalehoseCWS's topic in Pale Hose Talk
It's a fine move. Bouncing back year 2 of a second tommy john isn't really a guaranteed thing, his stuff regressed, but he can still get people out. I'm not sure what the ceiling is anymore, but he's betting on himself so should be motivated. My concern revolves around this team having three huge injury question marks in the rotation: Lynn, his body is done holding up for full seasons at his weight and age, Kopech has never been able to stay healthy and his performance last year was very concerning imo, and Clevinger. Sox lack pitching depth. That's a concern for me, but on paper they're a talented and experienced group. -
Jim Bowden: Sox top 5 likeliest to sign judge
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to bmags's topic in Pale Hose Talk
If only 4 teams are in on Judge, Jimbo won't be wrong! -
White Sox Mgr Speculation Thread
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I think Ozzie already interviewed and feels more like the Sox doing him a service by publicly calling him a candidate. Can't see them bringing him back. -
White Sox Mgr Speculation Thread
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
His breakdown about how a bank won't let an owner borrow against team value because they would then have to accept an mlb team as payment if they default is one of the dumbest things I've read on Twitter in a long time. -
White Sox Mgr Speculation Thread
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I would cite sources but you'd discredit them as ignoring these amazing and valuable qualities. The fact is, the stuff you cited has a marginal impact, at best, over 162 games. I could cite sources, or the fact that high paid managers are making 5 million at most when 1 WAR players are making 8 million which should show you how much value people running teams and analyzing this stuff for a living put on their impact, but it's fair to say you'd ignore that so we'll just agree to disagree. -
White Sox Mgr Speculation Thread
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
I don't care if I'm in the minority, I'd love a Willie Harris hire. A guy who grinded his way through a big league career, played with a ton of energy, and I think would defer to analytics without pushback in a lot of ways because he's a first year guy. I don't care if it's irrational or not well received, I'd love me some Willie. Thome would be awful. Ozzie quit on the organization when things got bad, can't be trusted. -
White Sox Mgr Speculation Thread
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to southsider2k5's topic in Pale Hose Talk
oh my, managers are arguably worth less than 2 wins (unless you're la russa) in a 162 game regular season and you think they have some significant W/L impact on the post-season outcomes. You know why the best team doesn't win every year? Small sample variance. -
Kimbrel and Kopech are two of my best pals in the organization.
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I too think I'm the right person for the job.
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The standard I'm using should have said over the past two years. The past two years they're 2nd in baseball in pitching WAR. They were 10th in fWAR this year. 10th in FIP. Its not Katz fault the sox had an abysmal defense behind his pitchers.
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I would argue we haven't seen significant offensive growth from any of the young guys under menechino. Sheets had to go down to the minors to "find his way." Menechino and Katz aren't at all similar imo. Sox have had a top tier staff two years in a row under katz.
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Yeah, firing Katz makes no sense. Not even Katz can fix all the broken s%*# Hahn throws at him in the pen. If anything they should have given him a chance to improve some young guys out there, instead of weighing him down with aging vets who are overrated hacks like Kelly.
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Admitting a Wrong: Kenny Williams vs Rick Hahn
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to Look at Ray Ray Run's topic in Pale Hose Talk
Did you also notice his games played? lol -
Admitting a Wrong: Kenny Williams vs Rick Hahn
Look at Ray Ray Run replied to Look at Ray Ray Run's topic in Pale Hose Talk
so rick hahn makes none of the decisions what so ever and is just a figure head taking orders from everyone else?
