Everything posted by OmarComing25
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AL Cy Young
I'll be very shocked if Britton wins it.
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The problem is simple: it's home runs and .OPS
QUOTE (Dam8610 @ Sep 22, 2016 -> 10:43 PM) I think the problem with the offense is, as has been stated, striking out too much. This team does not seem to value not giving up outs. Not striking out means forcing the opposing defense to make a play to get an out. Considering that a given player's defensive value is typically increased by not screwing up, there is value to putting the ball in play. By striking out, an offense is limiting the amount of times that the opposing defense must make a play to record an out, thereby limiting the number of times they will screw up. Not striking out puts pressure on the other team and gives your offense more opportunities to score runs. This is a skill the White Sox should value more than they currently do, including teaching it throughout the system. The Sox are 18th in the MLB in K% this year and were 18th last year. They actually strike out less often than average, but that clearly hasn't helped. The bottom 5 walk rate they've had (haven't had a walk rate in the top 20 since 2009) is far more concerning.
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2016 MLB catch all thread
Kershaw once again leads the MLB in WAR among pitchers despite only pitching 135 innings. He has a 1.73 ERA yet is actually underperforming his peripherals. He should be a serious Cy Young contender.
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AL Cy Young
http://www.baseballmusings.com/cgi-bin/CyYoungTracker.py This is also probably a more accurate Cy Young tracker than the ESPN one (though it's probably undervaluing Britton).
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AL Cy Young
He'll have a case but while relievers have won it in the past, they all pitched significantly more innings. Britton is going to end up with less than 70 innings.
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2016 MLB catch all thread
Jon Gray with a complete game shutout with no walks and 16 strikeouts at Coors. That's crazy.
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Tyler Saladino
QUOTE (StrykerSox @ Sep 17, 2016 -> 01:19 PM) Saladino has had an 18 game hot streak (OPS of .935 in that span). Before that, he was at a .674 OPS. That puts him dead last among qualified MLB 2Bs. Now at .738, there are only five MLB two-baggers below him (Phillips, Gennett, Panik, Utley and Harrison). Let's not act like Saladino is some proven hitter who can only be prevented from starting at second next year by the acquisition of Moncada or better. He's had a nice 18 games, but he's been BAD for most of his career. If regular Tyler (as in the player we've seen for 88% of his career) shows up and he's a starter, we are going to sink hard. Are you also discounting every other player's best 18-game stretch? Why shouldn't it count?
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Chicago vs. KC 9/16/2016
QUOTE (GreenSox @ Sep 17, 2016 -> 12:10 AM) I don't know if it saves him or not, but it's pretty obvious that's what Ventura is trying to do. Development is usually the priority for non contenders in September. It's not even an afterthought for this organization. And Hahn hasn't done a thing to change it, so he obviously sanctions this behavior. It's not just Sale going 119 (he's throwing Q and Rodon like that too). As for tantrums, who's running this operation? Sale? And they're going to reach .500 - probably a little above. Who are they not developing that they should?
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Jose Abreu
http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2016/09/15...-sox-.html?_r=1 Apparently before the game yesterday Abreu told a boy with cancer he'd try to hit a homerun for him.
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2016 Cubs catch-all thread
Fangraphs has the Cubs at 17.2% odds to win it all (Red Sox are 2nd at 15.5%). That's about a 56% chance on average to win each series, that feels about right. Aside from the usual reasons to root against them, I don't want them to win because it's already almost impossible for a lot of people to talk about the Sox without mentioning the Cubs (and this doesn't happen vice-versa), but if the Cubs win it all then this will become 10 times worse, including (especially?) here.
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Police keep killing black people
QUOTE (Soxbadger @ Sep 15, 2016 -> 04:19 PM) I hope you are not using this to show that somehow there is not a disproportionate amount of minorities who are the victims of police shootings. According to the 2010 US survey the percentage of the US population was as follows: 72.4% white 12.6% black/african american So black people make up 12.6% of the population but account for 28% of the shootings. Ill let you figure out what the problem is (hint its that the ratio is completely out of whack.) And honestly, what is the point of just posting a quote and not actually giving your opinion on it. It leaves the reader trying to assume what you are trying to prove. My guess is that you were trying to show that there actually isnt a problem because more white people get shot. But thats like saying if there are 10million white people and 100 black people, that there is no problem when 150 white people get shot as compared to 99 black people. I mean 150 > 99 right? Old cliche, statistics never lie, but liars use statistics. Wouldn't the more relevant statistic in determining if there's a racial bias in police shootings be the percentage of victims that were shot where lethal force was not justified (the percentage of times where lethal force was justified but not taken could be enlightening too)? If the percentage of unjustified shootings is the same between white and black victims then it shouldn't matter that the numbers don't match the demographics of the general population. The fact that minorities tend to end up in such situations more often is definitely a problem, but that's really a separate issue than what we're talking about here.
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Adam Eaton
QUOTE (chw42 @ Sep 15, 2016 -> 04:52 PM) According to the way it's listed here: http://m.mlb.com/awards/ It seems like it's by individual positions. Yep, I was wrong. http://actasports.com/blog/changes-in-qual...ld-gold-gloves/
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Adam Eaton
QUOTE (chw42 @ Sep 15, 2016 -> 04:45 PM) Betts has a good case as well. Has more DRS than Eaton, but UZR likes Eaton a bit more. I don't see why both can't win. There's 3 OF spots. Edit: are the 3 OF spots regardless of position or do they take position into account? I thought it was just 3 OF spots regardless of position. EDIT: Nope I'm wrong. That's how it used to be, but they changed it a few years ago.
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Tyler Saladino
Player A is Baez. They're close in UZR but DRS significantly favors Baez.
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Sox in pursuit of Puig
QUOTE (ChiSoxFanMike @ Sep 15, 2016 -> 11:12 AM) That isn't what he said at all. It is what the question asked for though.
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This will solve all the problems, reliever/DH
QUOTE (Dam8610 @ Sep 14, 2016 -> 03:58 PM) Is starting every 5th day and DHing otherwise considered too taxing? I'm guessing it must be considering no one has done it yet. It would be interesting to see if this guy could pull it off. It probably is pretty taxing but to be fair I can't think of a pitcher who is/was a good enough hitter to make trying this worthwhile. Even a guy like Bumgarner would be a pretty s***ty DH.
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Adam Eaton
7th among AL position players but 9th overall, he'd be the first White Sox player to finish in the top ten in MLB in WAR since Albert Belle in 1998.
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2016 Cubs catch-all thread
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/whos-respon...pitching-stats/ I wonder how much this is going to affect Hendricks' Cy Young chances. He's been incredible, but it's not a coincidence that literally every Cubs SP is among the leaders in lowest BABIP allowed. He has the benefit of pitching in front of a historically great defense.
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AL Cy Young
QUOTE (caulfield12 @ Sep 13, 2016 -> 06:22 PM) This will never happen while so many 50+ year old BBWAA members are still voting. Even if you had players or managers voting, they wouldn't go off WAR, only the agents. You don't even have to look at WAR, among traditional metrics Porcello only stands out by W-L record. And if pitching in a pennant race matters, then he has nothing on Kluber.
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2016 Cubs catch-all thread
QUOTE (Balta1701 @ Sep 13, 2016 -> 02:56 PM) I totally just thought "wait a minute, the 2005 White Sox had the best record in baseball". Then realized you added "the past decade" and remembered how long this franchise has been moribund. I can has sad now. They actually didn't, the 2005 Cardinals were 1 game better at 100-62.
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AL Cy Young
There's no real standout so Porcello probably wins it because of his record and his other numbers are close enough to the other contenders. It's unfortunate though because if Sale/Quintana/Kluber/Tanaka also got more than 8 runs of game in run support like Porcello gets (which is far and away the most in baseball), then they'd all easily have 20 wins as well.
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K.C. Specials @ Chicago WHite Sox
QUOTE (caulfield12 @ Sep 9, 2016 -> 10:47 PM) Still won with three errors, so yay for that. Seven consecutive quality starts for Rodon? Can he sustain it into 2017 this time? 4-9 against KC on the season. Porcello probably clinched the Cy Young tonight. I wouldn't go that far. Porcello has nothing on Sale/Kluber except his record, and that's just because he's had far and away the best run support of any pitcher in baseball (over 8 runs a game, more than 1 run ahead of the pitcher in second place). He also doesn't have near the name recognition/reputation of those two.
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Jon Heyman: Sox have little interest in moving Sale or Quintana
QUOTE (soxforlife05 @ Sep 9, 2016 -> 10:11 PM) He did the exact same thing in the second half last year. Let's see him put together an entire season before we pencil him in as an ace. Well not exactly. Even in his good stretch last year he was walking a lot of hitters, and was still essentially a two-pitch pitcher. Now he's flashing an above-average changeup and has considerably cut down on the walks.
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Jose Abreu
QUOTE (chitownsportsfan @ Sep 8, 2016 -> 08:04 PM) bWAR doesn't hate his defense as much as Fangraphs. by fWAR he's 5.3, 3, 1.4. That thing that's alarming is his wRC+ 161 129 118 and his iso: .264 .212 .185 his power is declining big time. I am still of the opinion that he is older then advertised. He moves and play like a 31-34 year old. Not someone still in his late 20s. Thanks for a reasoned reply tho, those seem rare when talking WAR around here. Is his power really declining though or did he just have a bad first two months? Since the beginning of June his ISO is .213 and wRC+ is 143. Also, according to baseballheatmaps his average flyball distance has been increasing every year. In 2014 it was 305 feet, 2015 it was 307 feet, and in 2016 it's 315 feet. ESPN's Homerun tracker bears this out too. In 2014 14 out of his 36 homeruns were classified as "just enough" (39%). In 2015 12 of his 30 homeruns were of the "just enough" variety (40%). However, this year just 5 of his 23 homeruns were in that category (21%). Seems to me that he's gotten a bit unlucky this year with the number of flyballs that have left the park, at least compared to his first two seasons. He already has the same number of no-doubt homeruns as he did last year, and he's only 4 off the number he hit in 2014, so it's not yet out of the question that he could match that number this year. http://www.baseballheatmaps.com/graph/distanceleader.php http://www.hittrackeronline.com/index.php
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Jon Heyman: Sox have little interest in moving Sale or Quintana
QUOTE (Chicago White Sox @ Sep 8, 2016 -> 06:47 PM) For those arguing we may not get a haul for Sale, just look at the starting pitching market. Rich Hil, Jeremy Hellickson, & Andrew Cashner are the cream of the crop. Meanwhile, due to the second wild card, there will be tons of teams looking to compete and in need of pitching. Obviously nothing is a certainty, but we should be able to get an incredible package if our front office in executes properly. What kind of package do you think is realistic? One thing that I fear is that the teams most well-equipped to trade for Sale (Red Sox/Dodgers) are teams where money isn't really an issue, so the cheap contracts of Sale/Quintana might not be as attractive to them as they would be to other clubs. They might also prefer to give up a lighter package for someone like Archer/Odorizzi/Teheran/Gray and hold on to their assets.