OmarComing25

At least under the old rules the Sox would have still been in as 2nd wild card I guess?

If the standings stay as they are right now, then the Twins would get the Yankees in the playoffs yet again.

Against non-White Sox opponents the Tigers are 19-17 and the Royals are 19-19.

Last six games he has a 1:1 BB/K ratio at 7.7% each. This is a very arbitrary cutoff but just want to do a quick comparison: 7/24-8/23 36.4 K% 48.0% O-Swing% 55.6% Contact % 26.7% Swinging Strike% 39.8% O-Contact% 8/25-8/31 7.7 K% 41% O-Swing% 13.7% Swinging Strike% 76.3% Contact% 76% O-Contact% He's been making a ton of more contact lately and though his chase rate is still high it looks like he's making a big improvement there. He was already killing it with a 55% contact rate so if he can maintain 70% going forward he's going to have video game numbers.

Twins were swept twice by those same bums.

I know gamethreads are typically known for being hot take central but yeesh tonight has been something else.

Currently at .368, high but not crazy high where you expect an enormous regression.

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/a-tale-of-two-pitching-staffs-in-chicago/ Longenhagen with some nice praise for the Sox pitching staff.

Ah right, I was only looking at the players listed as RF.

Who though? The FA options all suck unless Castellanos opts out.

Damn so much for my theory

The last two games were close in the late innings and today is as well. For Hader not to come in once the last three days seems fishy. And yes they've had 4 games postponed but 2 innings in 9 games?

Hader has only pitched 2 innings for the season, is he hurt?

Went from 1-4 to the 3rd best record in the AL real quick!

Moncada hasn't looked comfortable the entire season so far and he's still killing it.

Foster's high fastball looks really good.

Going back to 1990, the best #4 picks have been: - Ryan Zimmerman (38.2 WAR) - Alex Fernandez (28.5 WAR) - Kerry Wood (23.9 WAR) - Gavin Floyd (16.0 WAR) - Kevin Gausman (13.7 WAR) - Dmitri Young (12.5 WAR) - Kyle Schwarber (9.3 WAR) Only 5 made the All-Star team (and 3 of those were mediocre players in Young, Jeffrey Hammonds, and Jason Grilli). Only 3 ever had a season worth 4 WAR or above. The history of #4 picks is very unremarkable. And it's not like the picks since 2010 who haven't had much time to make an impact are exactly killing it either. Only McKay and Schwarber have seemingly amounted to anything and it's obviously too early to say anything on McKay. I can understand wanting a prospect with a higher ceiling at #4 but this idea that you're looking for a "generational hitter" is just being unrealistic.

Statcast xwOBA for Moncada: 2018: .302 2019: .362 Statcast has Moncada’s xBABIP at 0.383 Interesting that it differs so much from Fangraphs' formula, but to say he hardly improved at all from 2018 seems like quite the hot take.

Only Mitch Keller and Brock Stewart had a higher gap between their allowed wOBA and their xwOBA than Diaz, if we could somehow buy low on him I'd be all for it.

Keuchel’s FIP was nearly a run higher than his ERA, however his xwOBA nearly exactly matched his actual wOBA, which suggests his ERA is a better predictor of his performance going forward. Would anyone be disappointed with a 3.75ish ERA next season?

I think RA9 WAR is much better than bWAR to evaluate a pitcher's career. I don't like the method bWAR uses to adjust for defense. It gave Nola a full win over deGrom in 2018 despite deGrom blowing him away in actual results because DRS viewed the Phillies as a historically awful defensive team. However, even if the Phillies defense was that bad, it clearly didn't affect Nola the same way it did the team's other pitchers considering he had a .251 BABIP so giving him such a huge boost for it doesn't make any sense. RA9 works much better if you care about results on the field IMO.

I definitely phrased that poorly. I don't think it's an either or scenario and I'm willing to overpay a bit for Wheeler. Just saying that in a hypothetical where you had to choose one or the other I'll take consistent playoffs over a one and done title. Agree it doesn't have much relevance to a potential Wheeler contract though.

To be fair they tattooed a few balls with 2 outs, just hit them right at fielders.

Has it really been a great World Series though? Aside from Game One every other game has been a blowout. There's been one single lead change in five games. There's been very little drama.

Just listened to the latest Statcast podcast and they had a segment about Anderson and Moncada and their BABIPs. Mentioned that they were among the highest in the history of the game (both at .403 coming into today) but then took a look at their expected BABIP based on Statcast and Anderson came out to .355 while Moncada was at .386. Said that Moncada could have the ability to sustain very high BABIPs going forward because he hits the ball so damn hard, is very fast and sprays the ball all over the field so he's impossible to shift.