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Colson Montgomery HR prediction


caulfield12

How many homers in 2026?  

34 members have voted

  1. 1. Colson homers? Make your predictions..

    • 50+
      3
    • 40-49
      1
    • 30-39
      16
    • 25-29
      8
    • 20-24
      2
    • 19 or fewer
      4


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https://www.soxon35th.com/what-colson-montgomerys-rookie-year-can-teach-us-about-his-future/&sa=U&ved=2ahUKEwjwp-2rjNOSAxWVq5UCHRZ5GG4QFnoECAoQAg&usg=AOvVaw249hPFBBEap_HHYbcY8AVB

 

Corey Seager had a 6.2 bWAR while "only" hitting 21 homers compared to his usual 30-33 range.

Colson Montgomery at one point projected to well over 50 homers extrapolated pace wise until the end of the season.

He's also now the only Sox Top 100 mlb player ranked at #88.

An above average SS in a smaller sample size...but not Top 10-12 either.

Until someone takes the position away from him, he's the Sox starting SS for at least the next 1 1/2 to 2 seasons.

I voted 25-29 but would have predicted 20-24 before 30+.

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2 hours ago, CWSpalehoseCWS said:

I'll go 29. I think he benefited greatly from coming up in the 2nd half - pitchers have the data on how to attack him this season. Mune will lead the team in HR's.

Let's hope so.

In a perfect world, it's:

 

Murakami

Colson

Teel

Benintendi/Vargas

Baldwin

Quero

Acuna

Meidroth

Braden Montgomery (not counting on that in 2026)

Roch Cholowsky   joking I hope

 

(Oops...already forgot Sosa, who actually led the team for much of the season in homers and finished with 22.)

 

Colson Montgomery SUMMARY

2025

Career

bWAR

3.3

AB

255

H

61

HR

21

BA

.239

 

 

Edited by caulfield12
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it really depends on if he just focuses on launch angle and 3 outcome approach...or if he starts to really focus on contact. 

Option 1 - 3 outcome - 240/310 / 35-40 HRs 

Option 2 - Contact focus - 265/325 / 25-30 HRs

Which one would we like? Based on his previous numbers I think Option 1 is probably more realistic. 

Edited by EloyJenkins
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His offense after coming up last year was encouraging.  But I've followed the Sox long enough to temper my excitement until I see how much he can sustain his success.   I'm voting 19 or fewer.  If he has 19+ HRs by Memorial Day, I'll be thrilled to be wrong about this.  

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21 minutes ago, 77 Hitmen said:

His offense after coming up last year was encouraging.  But I've followed the Sox long enough to temper my excitement until I see how much he can sustain his success.   I'm voting 19 or fewer.  If he has 19+ HRs by Memorial Day, I'll be thrilled to be wrong about this.  

Same, I also voted 19 or fewer. 

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40 minutes ago, T R U said:

Same, I also voted 19 or fewer. 

If he's healthy and plays 130+ games there is no way with today's ball and his swing he hits under 25. The key will be if he's 210/280/400 or closer to 250/330/480. The former is basically 1 WAR SS assuming average defense, the latter is 3+ WAR.

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12 hours ago, chitownsportsfan said:

240/320/440 595 PA 29 HR 85 RBI 3.2 fWAR

7 hours ago, CWSpalehoseCWS said:

I'll go 29. I think he benefited greatly from coming up in the 2nd half - pitchers have the data on how to attack him this season. Mune will lead the team in HR's.

How are you guys going to go 29 and not just give him an even 30 HR?  🤣

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