Chicago White Sox Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 If Biden can win Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, & Michigan he wins. Several sites have already called Arizona for Biden and WI & MI is looking pretty good at the moment based on the vote remaining. Nevada scares me the most, but even there Biden should be the favorite. That path doesn’t even count Georgia where Biden is currently a slight favorite or Pennsylvania where he still has a shot. He wins either of those states and it’s more or less over for Trump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balta1701 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 6 minutes ago, Chicago White Sox said: If Biden can win Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, & Michigan he wins. Several sites have already called Arizona for Biden and WI & MI is looking pretty good at the moment based on the vote remaining. Nevada scares me the most, but even there Biden should be the favorite. That path doesn’t even count Georgia where Biden is currently a slight favorite or Pennsylvania where he still has a shot. He wins either of those states and it’s more or less over for Trump. Wisconsin has nothing left to count. Unless someone made a mistake somewhere it’s over. If Michigan turns pale blue today, I will take that deep breath. The others will take longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago White Sox Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, Balta1701 said: Wisconsin has nothing left to count. Unless someone made a mistake somewhere it’s over. If Michigan turns pale blue today, I will take that deep breath. The others will take longer. Green Bay reported? I thought that was still outstanding? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago White Sox Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Biden basically needs ~75% of the uncounted mail in votes to have a chance in Philadelphia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balta1701 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 7 minutes ago, Chicago White Sox said: Green Bay reported? I thought that was still outstanding? They returned their absentee ballots about 45 minutes ago and Biden picked up 4000 votes in that batch. Trump won that county but it narrowed when those ballots came through. They increased Biden’s lead. Edit: chair of WI dems: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balta1701 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 5 minutes ago, Chicago White Sox said: Biden basically needs ~75% of the uncounted mail in votes to have a chance in Philadelphia. That...seems likely? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whitesoxfan99 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Balta1701 said: That...seems likely? Sounds like it has been 78-21 thus far in Pennsylvania. If that trend holds Biden wins Pennsylvania. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago White Sox Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Balta1701 said: That...seems likely? Not sure if likely, but definitely in the realm of possible outcomes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago White Sox Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, whitesoxfan99 said: Sounds like it has been 78-21 thus far in Pennsylvania. If that trend holds Biden wins Pennsylvania. Awesome! Thanks for sharing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balta1701 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, whitesoxfan99 said: Sounds like it has been 78-21 thus far in Pennsylvania. If that trend holds Biden wins Pennsylvania. The mail votes in general? Because philly and Pittsburgh will be even more blue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balta1701 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Tony said: I feel like overall it’s got to be like 60/40 in favor of Biden right now overall, right? I think it’s better than that but not certain until I see Michigan. Math says Biden won, narrowly in the EC and probably a lot in popular vote. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whitesoxfan99 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, Balta1701 said: The mail votes in general? Because philly and Pittsburgh will be even more blue. Not entirely sure. https://mobile.twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1323958418177142792 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Hurtin Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 22 minutes ago, southsider2k5 said: Glad I didn't see it, but wouldn't expect anything else. I heard he was VERY gacked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balta1701 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Just now, whitesoxfan99 said: Not entirely sure. https://mobile.twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1323958418177142792 Philly and Pitt are definitely the most delayed from that thread, so plenty of votes there. I think MI makes it unnecessary later today. Still Dem county there and absentees to count, will push Biden ahead. Once it turns light blue, no other pool of Trump votes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pettie4sox Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 The betting market swing is incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyyle23 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 I wish I understood all of this better. I feel like I'm the cat in those videos of cats watching ping pong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dick Allen Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 14 minutes ago, Big Hurtin said: I heard he was VERY gacked. I guess he was sniffing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balta1701 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 8 minutes ago, Kyyle23 said: I wish I understood all of this better. I feel like I'm the cat in those videos of cats watching ping pong Last time I went to bed thinking the white supremacist had won as couldn’t sleep, fearing he would screw something up badly and hurt a lot of people (how bout that). Last night I slept decent, not great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caulfield12 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 Five major urban centers still to go in MI...in the end, lots are now predicting MI won’t even end up all that close. Not to mention Genessee County/Flint hasn’t even turned blue yet. MI should have results by this evening, according to Secretary of State. Lots of Clark and another major urban area in Nevada outstanding... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kyyle23 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 4 minutes ago, Balta1701 said: Last time I went to bed thinking the white supremacist had won as couldn’t sleep, fearing he would screw something up badly and hurt a lot of people (how bout that). Last night I slept decent, not great. It's been a very weird day and a half Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balta1701 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, Kyyle23 said: It's been a very weird day and a half 5 years dude. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southsider2k5 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 2 minutes ago, Kyyle23 said: It's been a very weird day and a half And will be for the next 10 weeks or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soxfan49 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 30 minutes ago, pettie4sox said: The betting market swing is incredible. Care to elaborate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Two-Gun Pete Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 (edited) First, I want to congratulate all on this thread for the general tone of civility. I think this can show how some iteration of the buster could be revived here. Second, I'm still holding my breath on election night. Despite the apparent leads Individual One holds right now, he pretty much has to run the table on these states that are outstanding. For VP Biden, it looks like there could be more remaining paths to win. This, despite the apparent deficits in the remaining states. I really don't know which situation I'd prefer, were I a candidate. Edited November 4, 2020 by Two-Gun Pete 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Balta1701 Posted November 4, 2020 Share Posted November 4, 2020 1 minute ago, soxfan49 said: Care to elaborate? LARR got great odds betting Biden to win last night, most of the odds strongly favored T at the time. Now Biden clear gambling favorite. Like betting the Patriots in 3rd quarter of Super Bowl against Atl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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