Left center, but certainly not quite out where AOC is (very few Iowans are.)
Believe it or not, I followed the primaries pretty religiously here, desperate to find, well, anyone suited to lead America into the future.
The closest candidate I found was....Buttigieg. Because he’s articulate and unafraid to openly debate Republicans on religion, and he’s mostly likable in an earnest, Boy Scout way. Maybe if you squint really hard, you can imagine him as president, and why that would be good for the world.
Warren comes from the fact my best friend’s sister took law school classes with her and is a huge fan...and is normally more or less indifferent to the majority of politicians. Warren obviously is another one of the brightest candidates, and actually cares about policy. A wonk, just like Bill Clinton was, actually interested in the machinery of government.
The Obama people NEVER liked her, and then there’s the danger of losing that MA seat.
The party is caught between three imperatives...African American vote turnout (Obama, Bill Clinton), young and Latino turnout (see Sanders) and the Heartland/Rust Belt states. If it was a man, I perhaps would have chosen Sherrod Brown...but Klobuchar or Whitmer are the go to for that third reason.
Black voters didn’t connect with Klobuchar/Buttigieg, but they did warm to Sanders/Warren. The reality here is they actually liked Sanders’ ideas more than him personally, but many are among the most pragmatic voters (especially after four years of Trump) who were also scared Sanders wouldn’t be able to win running as a socialist (not running away from that label, at least.) They trust Biden, but don’t love him...not like Obama and Bill Clinton (at least while he was president.) In that sense, Biden is much like Gore here....just older and more folksy, but less policy-driven.
When push comes to shove, Harris gets the nod due to her age (52), her debate/campaigning skills (her campaign itself was terrible, but that’s a different issue) and for being both black and Indian, representing the diversity of the party and the world, for that matter. And that lack of genuine Native American blood is what will cost Warren in the end, as Trump would have hammered her on that. You simply can’t have four older white candidates to choose from if you want to motivate all the core groups I listed above to get out and vote. But I understand the attraction, as the Sanders/AOC wing is still slow to embrace Biden and feels they got sucker-punched twice by the DNC.
It would also make Trump consider the Nikki Haley card to counter Harris, but he would never admit a mistake by dumping Pence IMO (in the same way he is basically now stuck with Fauci, Redfield and Azar.). That’s a calculated risk, and Trump just might get THAT desperate in July and August if there’s no end in sight to Covid in order to shake things up.
https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/24/politics/donald-trump-tweets-joe-biden-comments/index.html
Five things Trump said in the last 48 hours that were arguably worse than Biden’s “gaffe”...but went largely unnoticed