0-5 in Houston this year. Due for a win.

Just now, Chick Mercedes said:

Dusty talking about doing “the little things”.  Kind of what the Sox lack if you could characterize their flaws 

The Wild Pitch and throw home was the turning point.

No need to play the infield in, Moncada needed to go to first after the spin. Sox exit down a bloop and a blast at that point, much different mindset, at least at that point.

 

I'd say Lance Lynn's postseason reputation was lived up to.

2 minutes ago, joesaiditstrue said:

I only bet on boxing, does baseball not allow you to just pick a winner?  what were the odds on Houston to just win the game?

Joe don't know.

5 minutes ago, Look at Ray Ray Run said:

Man, I always have to laugh at the betting advice on this site.

You don't "save" vig better on the run lines. There is still vig in a run line. + money does not mean no vig.

Pal, you are not putting up $130, you are putting up $100, and you are cashing for $255, to lay the 1/2. There is a spread between the two teams, but there is an advantage to play the run line in most situations playing the chalk.

Edited October 8, 20214 yr by South Side Hit Men

Just now, HoosierSox said:

0-5 in Houston this year. Due for a win.

I wonder why we play so poorly on the road this year. We had similar records at home and on the road last year. Is it really just a home crowd effect?

1 minute ago, oldsox said:

Joe don't know.

we will see what I know and don't know on Saturday, +1600 on Wilder by decision

18 minutes ago, joesaiditstrue said:

sox get to play with pressure for the first time all year tomorrow

Tony’s playing the bench players 

1 hour ago, Chicago White Sox said:

You are a hero my friend!  Just scored a pair in the lower bowl!

You’re also lucky you grabbed something lower. When I saw it the best i could get was 507. I feel like it’s so foul it’s almost…fair? Again, always glad to help. 

34 minutes ago, Unknown said:

These relievers work incredibly slow

I have to add Lopez was turtle speed as well. 

11 minutes ago, joesaiditstrue said:

it's pretty funny, these guys act as if you choke up on the bat it means you have a small dick

Basically if I could change the team, it would be trading for more  speed, defense, OBP, hustle, better baserunning. Not sure trade what, but the team is not quite finished. Crochet and Kopech coming online will help close the gap. But the post all star break team is what these guys are. They can’t sustain themselves if they need to scratch for runs around crooked number innings.

 

anyway, no time left to risk Rodon and Lynn. Go hard and aggressive game 2 and 3 with Giolito and Cease and let the chips fall where they may. 

Edited October 8, 20214 yr by Chick Mercedes

5 minutes ago, South Side Hit Men said:

Dude, you are not putting up $130, you are putting up $100, and you are cashing for $255, to lay the 1/2. There is a spread between the two teams, but there is an advantage to play the run line in most situations playing the chalk.

No, there is not.

I'm not going to spend a lot of time on this. All I'm going to tell you is you are not understanding prices and the cost of a run, and the cost against the % of games/wins decided by one run and not. There is no added value in betting a run line for teams that are favored. That is not a profitable angle. It is not some bet that are priced wrong and books are losing on over the entire sample. In some cases, in fact, books place 20 cent lines on run lines and 10 cent lines on ML, at which point RL's actually charge more juice/vig and have a significantly lesser ROI (require you to hit a higher % to be profitable when compared to the ML). In cases where they're both 10 cent lines, the cost of the run is (at times) inflated slightly over the 40-50 cents the run is worth. Meaning if a run is worth 45 cents (I can convert to % if that's easier), then the spread is around 30-35 cents meaning you're giving an additional 10 cents buying that extra run in addition to the 10 cents you're paying already with a -110 line. Even if the line is -180, they're still 10 cent lines which is why you see +160 on the other side.

Edited October 8, 20214 yr by Look at Ray Ray Run

8 minutes ago, South Side Hit Men said:

The Wild Pitch and throw home was the turning point.

No need to play the infield in, Moncada needed to go to first after the spin. Sox exit down a bloop and a blast at that point, much different mindset, at least at that point.

higher baseball IQ as a team is needed. 

Rough game but i must say it’s mellow here at Minute Maid.  Nobody gave me a hard time all day.  I’ll be insufferable when we win tomorrow tho 

20 minutes ago, Chicago White Sox said:

If you went bet $10 on the Astros, you would have made a cool $7.69.

It's well worth it to him. 

32 minutes ago, ShoeLessRob said:

Absolutely nothing positive to take from this game. 

Robert and Abreu each had 2 hits.  That was positive. 

The infield wasn't in on the left side.  Monacada played even withthe bag and Tim was at normal SS depth. 

14 minutes ago, Capn12 said:

 

I'd say Lance Lynn's postseason reputation was lived up to.

The guy is a completely different pitcher now than he used to be. Those stats don't mean dick. 

Edited October 8, 20214 yr by ron883

This loss is on @CaliSoxFanViaSWside and @hi8is. They should have never watched the game together. You don't try something new during a playoff game. 

1 minute ago, ron883 said:

The guy is a completely different pitcher than he used to be. Those stats don't mean dick. 

Just the same, it would be very disappointing if the Sox were willing to go out behind injured pitchers like Rodon and Lynn. They aren’t 100%, lets stop fucking around

1 minute ago, ron883 said:

This loss is on @CaliSoxFanViaSWside and @hi8is. They should have never watched the game together. You don't try something new during a playoff game. 

It went well except for the game. He brought his bulldog. Good guy and good dog !

2 minutes ago, Chick Mercedes said:

Just the same, it would be very disappointing if the Sox were willing to go out behind injured pitchers like Rodon and Lynn. They aren’t 100%, lets stop fucking around

Lynn looked healthy, he just has struggled with his command for a while. They also are saying they regret the game plan, which is infuriating after the fact.

Just now, fathom said:

Lynn looked healthy, he just has struggled with his command for a while. They also are saying they regret the game plan, which is infuriating after the fact.

What did they say?

3 minutes ago, Chick Mercedes said:

Just the same, it would be very disappointing if the Sox were willing to go out behind injured pitchers like Rodon and Lynn. They aren’t 100%, lets stop fucking around

I think Lynn is fine. This was a carbon copy of his outing in Houston in June, we had him being beaten badly in Houston if they got home field advantage pegged months ago as the likely result, well before his IL stint.

4 minutes ago, CaliSoxFanViaSWside said:

It went well except for the game. He brought his bulldog. Good guy and good dog !

He brought his damn dog to watch the game too? You don't mess with ritual this much. Make him leave the dog at home next time.