Battlegrounds
Biden
Trump
Spread
Wisconsin
46.0
43.3
Biden +2.7
Pennsylvania
48.3
41.8
Biden +6.5
North Carolina
46.7
47.0
Trump +0.3
Florida
46.5
43.3
Biden +3.2
Georgia 47-46 Biden +1
Texas 43-43
https://www.yahoo.com/news/cnn-buries-own-poll-results-011348264.html
Only after all of this stuff did we learn that CNN has a new poll out, under the headline, “CNN Poll: Biden tops Trump nationwide, but battlegrounds tilt Trump.” Polls are expensive, news organizations tend to hype them breathlessly to generate headlines in rival media outlets, Wednesday was (obviously) a slow news day, and politics is one of CNN’s core topics. Yet CNN seemed oddly unenthused about its own poll. And the story to which the homepage linked doesn’t mention that Trump had never scored higher in a CNN poll. True, there are lots of noisy data in the piece, most of which cut against Trump. But on the other hand the single most surprising and hence most newsworthy detail of the poll was that Trump holds a seven-point lead over Biden in the battleground states. The CNN story doesn’t even tell us what that figure is — seven points seems like a pretty big number — and downplays its own finding by noting, “Given the small sample size in that subset of voters, it is difficult to determine with certainty whether the movement is significant or a fluke of random sampling.”
The headline of a different CNN news story about the same poll carries the headline, “CNN Poll: Negative ratings for government handling of coronavirus persist” over a picture of Trump looking downcast. This story, unlike the other one, mentions (but not till the fourth paragraph) that Trump’s approval rating of 45 percent “now matches his high point in CNN polling dating back to the start of his term.”
Btw, Realclearpolitics.com average/aggregate numbers on a rolling basis, they had Michigan in the Biden column and actually added NC. An uphill battle if Trump’s fighting for his political survival in FL, NC and even GA, but still 5 1/2 months left to go. At the rate things are going, Biden can coast while sheltering at home up until September, and will have an appreciable bounce from his VP pick as well in August. But Trump will use that financial advantage to hammer him the next 3 1/2 months unless Bloomberg fulfills his promise. See below...
https://theintercept.com/2020/04/10/bloomberg-hawkfish-biden-campaign/